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Big East rules our updated NCAA tournament projections

Feb 13, 2011, 11:35 PM EDT

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This Valentine’s Day some teams are feeling the love more than others.  If you’re Colorado State, Baylor, Richmond, Washington State, and Wichita State you are the final invitees to this week’s Dance.  Congratulations.  For now.  Our bubble remains as big as ever.  We’re also seeing a late push by Butler and even Gonzaga to get back in the at-large picture.  And then there’s Colorado, which now owns a sweep of K-State thanks to a heart-swelling close-up replay that saved the Buffaloes from a last-second loss in Boulder.  On the flip side, few cities have a bigger heartache this year than Manhattan, Kansas.

More news and updates at Bracketville.  As always, rebounds are welcome.  Hope you’re ready for an exciting finish.  No reason to think these next couple of weeks won’t be wild.  Just image Championship Week if we get a couple of upsets.

UPDATED: Monday, February 14 | Records reflect Division I games only – through February 13.

Teams in CAPS represent the projected conference champion for this bracket. Exceptions are made for those teams that traditionally use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc).

NOTE: In the new 68-team format you will notice two pairing games that represent the First Four pairings. In this bracket the First Four games in Dayton would be … Baylor vs. Richmond | Wichita State vs. Washington State | Texas Southern vs. McNeese State | Murray State vs. Long Beach. The final four at-large teams are paired along with the teams seeded 65-68 on the S-curve. The matchups are indicated in the bracket below.

Next Update: Monday, February 21.

BRACKET PROJECTION …

EASTNewark   SOUTHEASTNew Orleans
Cleveland   Cleveland
1) OHIO STATE (24-1)   1) PITTSBURGH (23-2)
16) LONG BEACH / MURRAY ST     16) HAMPTON (18-5)
8  Washington (17-7)   8  GEORGE MASON (21-5)
9) Virginia Tech (16-7)   9) Illinois (16-9)
     
Tucson   Washington, DC
5) Missouri (18-6)   5) Syracuse (20-6)
12) Alabama (16-8)   12) Baylor / Richmond
4) Louisville (19-6)   4) North Carolina (18-6)
13) CLEVELAND STATE (20-5)   13) OAKLAND (17-9)
     
Tampa   Denver
6) West Virginia (16-8)   6) Texas AM (18-5)
11) MISSOURI STATE (20-6)   11) MEMPHIS (19-6)
3) FLORIDA (20-5)   3) Wisconsin (19-5)
14) COASTAL CAROLINA (20-2)   14) BELMONT (23-4)
     
Charlotte   Denver
7) Temple (19-5)   7) St. John’s (15-9)
10) Minnesota (17-8)   10) Georgia (17-7)
2) DUKE (23-2)   2) BYU (23-2)
15) VERMONT (21-5)   15) FLORIDA ATLANTIC (16-9)
     
SOUTHWEST – San Antonio   WEST – Anaheim
Tulsa   Tulsa
1) KANSAS (24-1)   1) Texas (22-3)
16) TX SOUTHERN / McNEESE ST   16) MONTANA (16-7)
8  Florida State (18-7)   8  ST. MARY’S (20-4)
9) UNLV (18-7)   9) Cincinnati (19-6)
     
Washington, DC   Tampa
5) Kentucky (17-7)   5) Vanderbilt (18-6)
12) Wichita St / Washington St   12) Colorado State (16-7)
4) Villanova (19-6)   4) Connecticut (19-5)
13) CHARLESTON (19-7)   13) FAIRFIELD (19-5)
     
Chicago   Charlotte
6) XAVIER (18-6)   6) ARIZONA (21-4)
11) Marquette (15-10)   11) Boston College (16-9)
3) Purdue (20-5)   3) Georgetown (20-5)
14) KENT STATE (16-7)   14) PRINCETON (18-4)
     
Chicago   Tucson
7) UCLA (18-7)   7) Tennessee (15-10)
10) Old Dominion (20-6)   10) UTAH STATE (23-3)
2) Notre Dame (21-4)   2) SAN DIEGO STATE (23-1)
15) BUCKNELL (18-8)   15) LONG ISLAND (20-5)

 

NOTES on the BRACKET: Ohio State is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Kansas, Pittsburgh, and Texas. The two seeds in order are Duke, San Diego State, BYU, Notre Dame

Last Five teams in (at large): Colorado State, Baylor, Richmond, Washington State, Wichita State

First Five teams out (at large): Kansas State, VCU, New Mexico, Michigan State, Duquesne

Also Considered: Oklahoma State, Southern Mississippi, UAB, Gonzaga, Clemson, Butler, Colorado

Bracket adjustments: Vanderbilt moves up a line (5) and West Virginia falls one line (6) due to Big East conficts/restrictions.

Here is the team breakdown by Conference …

Big East (11): PITTSBURGH, Connecticut, Syracuse, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Villanova, West Virginia, Louisville, Cincinnati, St. John’s, Marquette

SEC (6): FLORIDA, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama

Big 12 (5): KANSAS, Texas, Texas AM, Missouri, Baylor

Big Ten (5): OHIO STATE, Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota

ACC (5): DUKE, North Carolina, Boston College, Virginia Tech, Florida State

Mountain West (4): SAN DIEGO STATE, BYU, UNLV, Colorado State

Pac 10 (4): ARIZONA, UCLA, Washington, Washington State

Atlantic 10 (3): XAVIER, Temple, Richmond

Colonial (2): GEORGE MASON, Old Dominion

Missouri Valley (2): MISSOURI STATE, Wichita State

West Coast (1): ST. MARY’S

Conference USA (1): MEMPHIS

Horizon (1): CLEVELAND STATE

Auto Bid conference champions … Utah State (WAC), Murray State (OVC), Fairfield (MAAC), Kent State (MAC), Montana (Big Sky), Charleston (Southern), Oakland (Summit), Long Beach (Big West), Long Island (NEC), Belmont (Atlantic Sun), Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt), Princeton (Ivy), Coastal Carolina (Big South), Hampton (MEAC), Bucknell (Patriot), Vermont (America East), McNeese State(Southland), Texas Southern (SWAC)