Skip to content

Latest NCAA tournament projections all about 1 seeds, bubbles and more

Feb 21, 2011, 1:40 PM EDT

baylor%20texas%20basketball--1519367914_v2_320w

Put your fingers together very closely.  That’s the margin we now have in the race for No. 1 seeds.  At least among the five leading contenders – Ohio State, Pittsburgh, Texas, Kansas, and Duke.  San Diego State and BYU could be in play if one wins both the outright Mountain West title and the MTW conference tournament crown.  Despite losses by all top four seeds this week, the top line remains status-quo.  Kansas keeps a slight edge for the final No. 1 spot thanks to a few more Top 100 wins.  Winning the ACC (league and tourney) would likely vault the Blue Devils above the Jayhawks, but this is where we’re at for a few more days.

The bubble remains highly suspect, although we did lose a few teams this week.  More to come in an updated Bubble Banter (Tuesday).  Not sure you like any of the final few teams in or out?  Same here. We still have a lot to be decided.  Virginia Tech is once again right on the cutline, and the Hokies project to just miss (again) today.

As always, rebounds welcome.  Bring along some notes.  Follow more on Twitter at BracketguyDave.  Enjoy the hoops.  Next bracket update will be Friday as we begin two-a-weeks until Selection Sunday.

UPDATED: Monday, February 21 | Records reflect Division I games only – through February 20.

Teams in CAPS represent the projected conference champion for this bracket. Exceptions are made for those teams that traditionally use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc).

NOTE: In the new 68-team format you will notice two pairing games that represent the First Four pairings. In this bracket the First Four games in Dayton would be … Gonzaga vs. Richmond | Boston College vs. VCU | Texas Southern vs. McNeese State | Murray State vs. Hampton. The final four at-large teams are paired along with the teams seeded 65-68 on the S-curve. The matchups are indicated in the bracket below.

BRACKET PROJECTION …

EASTNewark   SOUTHEASTNew Orleans
Cleveland   Cleveland
1) OHIO STATE (25-2)   1) PITTSBURGH (24-3)
16) HAMPTON / MURRAY ST     16) NcNEESE ST / TX-SOUTHERN
8  UNLV (20-7)   8  Washington (18-8)
9) Old Dominion (22-6)   9) Tennessee (16-11)
     
Washington, DC   Tampa
5) Vanderbilt (20-6)   5) Syracuse (22-6)
12) CHARLESTON (21-7)   12) Gonzaga / Richmond
4) Connecticut (20-6)   4) North Carolina (20-6)
13) FAIRFIELD (22-5)   13) CLEVELAND STATE (21-5)
     
Tampa   Chicago
6) West Virginia (17-9)   6) St. John’s (17-9)
11) Colorado State (17-9)   11) Memphis (20-7)
3) FLORIDA (21-5)   3) Purdue (22-5)
14) COASTAL CAROLINA (21-3)   14) BUCKNELL (19-8)
     
Charlotte   Denver
7) Temple (21-5)   7) GEORGE MASON (23-5)
10) Kansas State (17-9)   10) Marquette (16-11)
2) DUKE (25-2)   2) BYU (24-2)
15) LONG ISLAND (22-5)   15) VERMONT (22-6)
     
SOUTHWEST – San Antonio   WEST – Anaheim
Tulsa   Tulsa
1) TEXAS (23-4)   1) Kansas (24-2)
16) LONG BEACH (15-10)   16) MONTANA (17-8)
8  Florida State (19-7)   8  Cincinnati (21-6)
9) UTAH STATE (24-3)   9) Illinois (17-10)
     
Denver   Washington, DC
5) ARIZONA (23-4)   5) Kentucky (19-7)
12) MISSOURI STATE (21-7)   12) Boston College / VCU
4) Louisville (20-7)   4) Villanova (21-6)
13) UTEP (19-6)   13) OAKLAND (19-9)
     
Tucson   Charlotte
6) Missouri (20-6)   6) Texas AM (20-5)
11) ST. MARY’S (20-6)   11) Michigan State (14-11)
3) Wisconsin (20-6)   3) Georgetown (21-6)
14) PRINCETON (19-5)   14) BELMONT (25-4)
     
Chicago   Tucson
7) XAVIER (20-6)   7) UCLA (19-8)
10) Alabama (18-8)   10) Georgia (18-8)
2) Notre Dame (21-5)   2) SAN DIEGO STATE (25-1)
15) KENT STATE (16-9)   15) FLA ATLANTIC (17-9)

 

 

NOTES on the BRACKET: Ohio State remains the No. 1 overall seed followed by Pittsburgh, Texas, and Kansas. The two seeds in order are Duke, San Diego State, BYU, Notre Dame

Last Five teams in (at large): Memphis, Boston College, Gonzaga, Richmond, VCU

First Five teams out (at large): Virginia Tech, Southern Mississippi, UAB, Clemson, Minnesota

Also Considered: Baylor, Butler, Penn State, Wichita State, Washington State

Bracket adjustments: None in this bracket.

Here is the team breakdown by Conference …

Big East (11): PITTSBURGH, Connecticut, Syracuse, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Villanova, West Virginia, Louisville, St. John’s, Cincinnati, Marquette

SEC (6): FLORIDA, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama

Big 12 (5): KANSAS, Texas, Texas AM, Missouri, Kansas State

Big Ten (5): OHIO STATE, Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan State

ACC (4): DUKE, North Carolina, Florida State, Boston College

Mountain West (4): SAN DIEGO STATE, BYU, UNLV, Colorado State

Pac 10 (3): ARIZONA, UCLA, Washington

Atlantic 10 (3): XAVIER, Temple, Richmond

Colonial (3): GEORGE MASON, Old Dominion, VCU

West Coast (2): ST. MARY’S, Gonzaga

Conference USA (2): UTEP, Memphis

Missouri Valley (1): MISSOURI STATE

Horizon (1): CLEVELAND STATE

Auto Bid conference champions … Utah State (WAC), Murray State (OVC), Fairfield (MAAC), Kent State (MAC), Montana (Big Sky), Charleston (Southern), Oakland (Summit), Long Beach (Big West), Long Island (NEC), Belmont (Atlantic Sun), Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt), Princeton (Ivy), Coastal Carolina (Big South), Hampton (MEAC), Bucknell (Patriot), Vermont (America East), McNeese State(Southland), Texas Southern (SWAC)

Latest Posts
  1. Bo Ryan helped raise more than $1 million for cancer this weekend

    May 4, 2015, 11:54 AM EDT

    Bo Ryan Bo Ryan

    Ryan has set records for his ability to raise money at events like this.

  2. Remembering when NBA MVP Stephen Curry first became a star (VIDEOS)

    May 4, 2015, 11:27 AM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Curry burst onto the national scene with a huge 2008 NCAA tournament run.

  3. SMU loses Class of 2016 commitment

    May 4, 2015, 10:51 AM EDT

    Screen Shot 2015-05-04 at 10.49.59 AM

    LeGerald Vick could end up moving into the class of 2015.

  4. Pittsburgh adds to interior depth as graduate forward Rafael Maia commits

    May 3, 2015, 11:30 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    Maia led the Ivy League in rebounding in each of his three seasons playing at Brown.

  5. Notre Dame lands four-star 2016 point guard Temple Gibbs Jr.

    May 3, 2015, 10:55 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    Notre Dame’s first commitment in the 2016 class is an important one.

  6. Four-star point guard becomes Texas A&M’s first 2016 commitment

    May 3, 2015, 10:05 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    The Aggies are on the board in 2016, and they’ve landed one of the top distributors in the class.

  7. Excerpts of Wisconsin forward’s testimony in Kessler lawsuit unsealed Thursday

    May 3, 2015, 8:25 PM EDT

    Nigel Hayes, Frank Kaminsky AP

    Nigel Hayes believes that each individual school should be allowed to decide how much they give an athlete should they be allowed to pay them in the future.

  8. Former Penn State forward headed to Houston Texans rookie minicamp

    May 3, 2015, 6:10 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    The Texans will hold its rookie minicamp next weekend.

  9. UNLV-bound Derrick Jones wins yet another dunk contest (VIDEO)

    May 3, 2015, 5:00 PM EDT

    Kelly Kline/Getty Images Getty Images

    Jones hasn’t played a college game yet, but when he arrives on campus at UNLV he’ll be one of the best dunkers in college basketball.

  10. Colorado transfer will finish his career at Arkansas

    May 3, 2015, 4:00 PM EDT

    (AP) AP

    Former Colorado guard Dustin Thomas is heading to Arkansas.

  11. Report: Bo Ryan has no future plans to retire from Wisconsin

    May 3, 2015, 3:30 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Wisconsin head coach Bo Ryan will be around for at least a few more years, it seems.

  12. Gonzaga lands Washington transfer Nigel Williams-Goss

    May 3, 2015, 1:55 PM EDT

    (AP) AP

    Gonzaga landed a huge transfer in former Washington guard Nigel Williams-Goss.

  13. Louisville’s Rick Pitino raises separate funds for charter jet use in recruiting

    May 3, 2015, 1:20 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Louisville head coach Rick Pitino’s charter jet use is examined in a new report.

  14. Former Old Dominion forward Richard Ross offered to join Minnesota Vikings mini-camp

    May 3, 2015, 10:45 AM EDT

    (AP) AP

    Former Old Dominion forward Richard Ross is continuing to pursue the NFL and has been invited to a mini-camp.

  15. UTEP receives commitment from former Oregon guard

    May 2, 2015, 11:00 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    After being dismissed from Oregon, Dominic Artis spent a year at Diablo Valley CC in California but did not play basketball.

  16. Former Mercer guard Ike Nwamu commits to UNLV

    May 2, 2015, 9:33 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Nwamu averaged 15.1 points per game and shot 37.4 percent from three at Mercer last season.

  17. Former Alabama forward headed to UTPA for final season of eligibility

    May 2, 2015, 7:41 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Dakota Slaughter didn’t see much playing time at Alabama, but that could change at UTPA.

  18. Four-star shooting guard Kenny Williams commits to North Carolina

    May 2, 2015, 5:36 PM EDT

    Jon Lopez/Nike Jon Lopez/Nike

    A high-level perimeter shooter, Williams can help a team that was lacking in that area in 2014-15.

  19. East Carolina plans on meeting full cost of attendance for scholarship athletes

    May 2, 2015, 5:00 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    ECU scholarship athletes in football, men’s basketball and women’s basketball will receive an extra $4,025 in scholarship money beginning August 1.