Feb 13, 2012, 12:58 AM EDT
With Valentine’s Day arriving on Tuesday, the Missouri Tigers will find a lot to love about our latest bracket projection. Mizzou moves up to No. 3 on the s-curve – behind Kentucky and Syracuse – which positions the Tigers for a little home cooking in St. Louis via the Midwest Region. If Missouri fans are so inclined, they can send a kind word to East Lansing. Michigan State knocked off Ohio State in Columbus and bumped the Buckeyes out West. Kansas is right behind OSU and the two teams are slotted 1-2 in the West Region. If you have a different order, that’s fine. It was a very close call. After that, it’s Duke, Michigan State, and North Carolina on the two-line.
The middle of the bracket is a seeding nightmare. It’s hard to find a lot of differences between a 6 to 8 seed in this bracket, or for that matter, an 8 to 11 seed. You could slot them several ways. Hopefully, a few of these things will become more clear over the next three weeks. Other than Kentucky, it wasn’t a particularly good week for the SEC. Florida lost to Tennessee (again), Mississippi State lost to Georgia, and Alabama suspended several key players. Thus, the Tide take a little sharper hit this week, falling to an 11-seed in the East. That might be a tad low, but let’s see how the team comes back together if players are reinstated.
We still have a very weak bubble. That makes it easier for teams like Illinois, West Virginia, and others to work through losing streaks. When you start comparing resumes, quality wins help separate pretenders from contenders. Remember, a team’s record in it last 12 games is no longer an official criteria used by the Selection Committee.
I’ll be at the NCAA’s Mock Selection exercise later this week in Indianapolis. It will be fun to see how the group works through some of the selection and seeding issues with this year’s landscape. Enjoy a great week of hoops.
UPDATED: Monday, Feb. 13
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Miami-FL (14-8) vs. Minnesota (17-8) | West Region
- Xavier (16-9) vs. Seton Hall (17-8) | South Region
- MISS VALLEY ST (13-11) vs. STONY BROOK (15-8) | East Region
- NC-ASHEVILLE (16-7) vs. UT-ARLINGTON (18-5) | Midwest Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|EAST – Boston||SOUTH – Atlanta|
|1) SYRACUSE (25-1)||1) KENTUCKY (25-1)|
|16) STONY BROOK / MS VALLEY ST||16) NORFOLK STATE (17-7)|
|8) St. Louis (19-5)||8) Memphis (18-7)|
|9) Kansas State (16-7)||9) Connecticut (15-9)|
|5) San Diego State (18-4)||5) WICHITA STATE (21-4)|
|12) NC State (18-7)||12) Xavier / Seton Hall|
|4) Indiana (19-6)||4) Wisconsin (18-6)|
|13) MID TENNESSEE ST (22-4)||13) DAVIDSON (18-6)|
|6) Creighton (21-5)||6) TEMPLE (19-5)|
|11) Alabama (16-8)||11) CALIFORNIA (20-6)|
|3) Baylor (20-4)||3) Marquette (21-5)|
|14) NEVADA (19-4)||14) IONA (20-6)|
|7) Virginia (19-5)||7) Mississippi State (19-6)|
|10) HARVARD (20-3)||10) Purdue (16-9)|
|2) Michigan State (19-5)||2) North Carolina (21-4)|
|15) BELMONT (18-7)||15) BUCKNELL (19-6)|
|MIDWEST – St. Louis||WEST – Phoenix|
|1) MISSOURI (23-2)||1) OHIO STATE (21-4)|
|16) LONG ISLAND (18-7)||16) UT-ARLINGTON / NC-ASHEVILLE|
|8) Notre Dame (17-8)||8) SO. MISSISSIPPI (19-4)|
|9) New Mexico (19-4)||9) Iowa State (18-7)|
|5) Gonzaga (20-4)||5) ST. MARY’S (21-3)|
|12) Washington (17-8)||12) Minnesota / Miami-FL|
|4) Michigan (18-7)||4) Louisville (20-5)|
|13) LONG BEACH ST (17-6)||13) ORAL ROBERTS (23-5)|
|6) Florida (19-6)||6) Florida State (17-7)|
|11) Texas (16-9)||11) BYU (19-6)|
|3) Georgetown (18-5)||3) UNLV (20-4)|
|14) DREXEL (21-5)||14) AKRON (17-7)|
|7) MURRAY STATE (21-1)||7) Vanderbilt (17-8)|
|10) Illinois (16-9)||10) West Virginia (16-10)|
|2) DUKE (21-4)||2) Kansas (20-5)|
|15) VALPARAISO (16-9)||15) WEBER STATE (18-4)|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Kentucky is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Syracuse, Missouri, and Ohio State. Next in line are Kansas, Duke, Michigan State, North Carolina.
Last Five teams in (at large): Washington, Minnesota, Seton Hall, Miami-FL, Xavier
First Five teams out (at large): Northwestern, Arizona, Mississippi, Dayton, Cincinnati
Next Five teams out (at large): Colorado State, UCF, Oregon, Arkansas, Colorado
Bracket adjustments: There are several one-line adjustments to accommodate both conference conflicts, bracketing principles, and efforts to avoid regular-season rematches.
Here is the team breakdown by Conference …
Big Ten (8): Ohio State, Michigan State, Indiana, Wisconsin, Michigan, Purdue, Illinois, Minnesota
Big East (8): Syracuse, Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, Marquette, West Virginia, Notre Dame, Seton Hall
ACC (6): North Carolina, Duke, Virginia, Florida State, NC State, Miami-FL
Big 12 (6): Baylor, Missouri, Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Texas
SEC (5): Kentucky, Florida, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Alabama
Atlantic 10 (3): Temple, St. Louis, Xavier
Mountain West (3): UNLV, San Diego State, New Mexico
West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary’s, BYU
Conference USA (2): Memphis, Southern Mississippi
Pac 12 (2): California, Washington
Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State
Sun Belt (1): Middle Tennessee State
Conference leaders/champions … Valparaiso (Horizon), Akron (MAC), Drexel (CAA), Nevada (WAC), Murray State (OVC), Iona (MAAC), Weber State (Big Sky), Davidson (Southern), Oral Roberts (Summit), Long Beach State (Big West), Long Island (NEC), Belmont (Atlantic Sun), Harvard (Ivy), NC-Asheville (Big South), Norfolk State (MEAC), Bucknell (Patriot), Stony Brook (America East), UT-Arlington(Southland), Mississippi Valley State (SWAC)
Oct 1, 2014, 8:59 PM EDT
Amida Brimah averaged 4.1 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game as a freshman, and he’s fully recovered from offseason shoulder surgery.
Oct 1, 2014, 7:14 PM EDT
The Big Ten is the first of the five conferences granted autonomy to send recommendations to the NCAA.
Oct 1, 2014, 6:06 PM EDT
With Missouri’s top three scorers from last season having moved on, Johnathan Williams III will be a key figure in 2014-15.
Oct 1, 2014, 4:45 PM EDT
Spencer averaged 9.1 points and 3.2 rebounds per game last season.
Oct 1, 2014, 4:07 PM EDT
Both with charged with drunk driving offenses during the offseason.
Oct 1, 2014, 3:03 PM EDT
SDSU’s front court depth will take an early season hit.
Oct 1, 2014, 1:39 PM EDT
Haith earned a commitment from a three-star point guard from Western New York.
Oct 1, 2014, 11:52 AM EDT
Van Vleet has been attending speaking engagements this offseason, trying to give back to the youth.
Oct 1, 2014, 11:02 AM EDT
Jawun Evans is one of the top three point guards in the class.
Oct 1, 2014, 9:55 AM EDT
Do you think the MLB needs some ice for that burn?
Sep 30, 2014, 11:00 PM EDT
A former Baylor commit is suing his former high school for allegedly altering his grades.
Sep 30, 2014, 9:42 PM EDT
Missouri is losing a wing shooter.
Sep 30, 2014, 8:50 PM EDT
Can an SEC program reel in a top-5 player in the 2015 class during a weekend visit?
Sep 30, 2014, 7:44 PM EDT
Harvard landed another quality recruit.
Sep 30, 2014, 6:20 PM EDT
IUPUI unveiled a new court design this week.
Sep 30, 2014, 5:10 PM EDT
Western Kentucky fans were given three options and selected one for the upcoming season.
Sep 30, 2014, 3:55 PM EDT
NBA teams know all about efficiency stats and advanced analytics. College freshmen and sophomores may not.
Sep 30, 2014, 1:56 PM EDT
Evans may be the best point guard in the Class of 2015, but it’s up for debate.
Sep 30, 2014, 1:17 PM EDT
Ernie Kent lands his third commitment in the Class of 2015.
Sep 30, 2014, 10:22 AM EDT
The pair will replace Digger Phelps and Jalen Rose.
- Oklahoma State lands commitment from elite point guard in 2015 0
- John Calipari hiring an analytics director is smart, necessary, strictly for his players 0
- Marcus Smart’s mom reportedly hospitalized the day he shoved Texas Tech fan 0
- Four-star point guard verbally commits to Clemson 0
- Top 2015 and 2016 prospects comment on high school-to-pro move in new report 0
- Four-star 2015 shooting guard commits to Illinois 0
- Florida State gets commitment from 7-foot-4 2015 center 2
- Wichita State gets commitment from three-star 2015 point guard (2)
- Frank Haith lands first commitment as head coach at Tulsa (2)
- Three-star point guard down to Maryland, Providence, UNLV and Virginia Tech (1)
- Former SMU commit picks Michigan State (1)
- Alex Poythress dunks over 7-foot Dakari Johnson (VIDEO) (1)