Feb 13, 2012, 12:58 AM EDT
With Valentine’s Day arriving on Tuesday, the Missouri Tigers will find a lot to love about our latest bracket projection. Mizzou moves up to No. 3 on the s-curve – behind Kentucky and Syracuse – which positions the Tigers for a little home cooking in St. Louis via the Midwest Region. If Missouri fans are so inclined, they can send a kind word to East Lansing. Michigan State knocked off Ohio State in Columbus and bumped the Buckeyes out West. Kansas is right behind OSU and the two teams are slotted 1-2 in the West Region. If you have a different order, that’s fine. It was a very close call. After that, it’s Duke, Michigan State, and North Carolina on the two-line.
The middle of the bracket is a seeding nightmare. It’s hard to find a lot of differences between a 6 to 8 seed in this bracket, or for that matter, an 8 to 11 seed. You could slot them several ways. Hopefully, a few of these things will become more clear over the next three weeks. Other than Kentucky, it wasn’t a particularly good week for the SEC. Florida lost to Tennessee (again), Mississippi State lost to Georgia, and Alabama suspended several key players. Thus, the Tide take a little sharper hit this week, falling to an 11-seed in the East. That might be a tad low, but let’s see how the team comes back together if players are reinstated.
We still have a very weak bubble. That makes it easier for teams like Illinois, West Virginia, and others to work through losing streaks. When you start comparing resumes, quality wins help separate pretenders from contenders. Remember, a team’s record in it last 12 games is no longer an official criteria used by the Selection Committee.
I’ll be at the NCAA’s Mock Selection exercise later this week in Indianapolis. It will be fun to see how the group works through some of the selection and seeding issues with this year’s landscape. Enjoy a great week of hoops.
UPDATED: Monday, Feb. 13
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Miami-FL (14-8) vs. Minnesota (17-8) | West Region
- Xavier (16-9) vs. Seton Hall (17-8) | South Region
- MISS VALLEY ST (13-11) vs. STONY BROOK (15-8) | East Region
- NC-ASHEVILLE (16-7) vs. UT-ARLINGTON (18-5) | Midwest Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|EAST – Boston||SOUTH – Atlanta|
|1) SYRACUSE (25-1)||1) KENTUCKY (25-1)|
|16) STONY BROOK / MS VALLEY ST||16) NORFOLK STATE (17-7)|
|8) St. Louis (19-5)||8) Memphis (18-7)|
|9) Kansas State (16-7)||9) Connecticut (15-9)|
|5) San Diego State (18-4)||5) WICHITA STATE (21-4)|
|12) NC State (18-7)||12) Xavier / Seton Hall|
|4) Indiana (19-6)||4) Wisconsin (18-6)|
|13) MID TENNESSEE ST (22-4)||13) DAVIDSON (18-6)|
|6) Creighton (21-5)||6) TEMPLE (19-5)|
|11) Alabama (16-8)||11) CALIFORNIA (20-6)|
|3) Baylor (20-4)||3) Marquette (21-5)|
|14) NEVADA (19-4)||14) IONA (20-6)|
|7) Virginia (19-5)||7) Mississippi State (19-6)|
|10) HARVARD (20-3)||10) Purdue (16-9)|
|2) Michigan State (19-5)||2) North Carolina (21-4)|
|15) BELMONT (18-7)||15) BUCKNELL (19-6)|
|MIDWEST – St. Louis||WEST – Phoenix|
|1) MISSOURI (23-2)||1) OHIO STATE (21-4)|
|16) LONG ISLAND (18-7)||16) UT-ARLINGTON / NC-ASHEVILLE|
|8) Notre Dame (17-8)||8) SO. MISSISSIPPI (19-4)|
|9) New Mexico (19-4)||9) Iowa State (18-7)|
|5) Gonzaga (20-4)||5) ST. MARY’S (21-3)|
|12) Washington (17-8)||12) Minnesota / Miami-FL|
|4) Michigan (18-7)||4) Louisville (20-5)|
|13) LONG BEACH ST (17-6)||13) ORAL ROBERTS (23-5)|
|6) Florida (19-6)||6) Florida State (17-7)|
|11) Texas (16-9)||11) BYU (19-6)|
|3) Georgetown (18-5)||3) UNLV (20-4)|
|14) DREXEL (21-5)||14) AKRON (17-7)|
|7) MURRAY STATE (21-1)||7) Vanderbilt (17-8)|
|10) Illinois (16-9)||10) West Virginia (16-10)|
|2) DUKE (21-4)||2) Kansas (20-5)|
|15) VALPARAISO (16-9)||15) WEBER STATE (18-4)|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Kentucky is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Syracuse, Missouri, and Ohio State. Next in line are Kansas, Duke, Michigan State, North Carolina.
Last Five teams in (at large): Washington, Minnesota, Seton Hall, Miami-FL, Xavier
First Five teams out (at large): Northwestern, Arizona, Mississippi, Dayton, Cincinnati
Next Five teams out (at large): Colorado State, UCF, Oregon, Arkansas, Colorado
Bracket adjustments: There are several one-line adjustments to accommodate both conference conflicts, bracketing principles, and efforts to avoid regular-season rematches.
Here is the team breakdown by Conference …
Big Ten (8): Ohio State, Michigan State, Indiana, Wisconsin, Michigan, Purdue, Illinois, Minnesota
Big East (8): Syracuse, Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, Marquette, West Virginia, Notre Dame, Seton Hall
ACC (6): North Carolina, Duke, Virginia, Florida State, NC State, Miami-FL
Big 12 (6): Baylor, Missouri, Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Texas
SEC (5): Kentucky, Florida, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Alabama
Atlantic 10 (3): Temple, St. Louis, Xavier
Mountain West (3): UNLV, San Diego State, New Mexico
West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary’s, BYU
Conference USA (2): Memphis, Southern Mississippi
Pac 12 (2): California, Washington
Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State
Sun Belt (1): Middle Tennessee State
Conference leaders/champions … Valparaiso (Horizon), Akron (MAC), Drexel (CAA), Nevada (WAC), Murray State (OVC), Iona (MAAC), Weber State (Big Sky), Davidson (Southern), Oral Roberts (Summit), Long Beach State (Big West), Long Island (NEC), Belmont (Atlantic Sun), Harvard (Ivy), NC-Asheville (Big South), Norfolk State (MEAC), Bucknell (Patriot), Stony Brook (America East), UT-Arlington(Southland), Mississippi Valley State (SWAC)
Mar 30, 2015, 10:46 AM EDT
Neubauer was with Eastern Kentucky for 10 years and John Beilein for nine seasons before that.
Mar 30, 2015, 10:05 AM EDT
R.J. Hunter and his father/coach became a sensation during the tournament.
Mar 30, 2015, 9:43 AM EDT
This is not a surprise, as Turner was expected to be a one-and-done player.
Mar 29, 2015, 11:19 PM EDT
Chris Mullin has zero head coaching experience.
Mar 29, 2015, 10:33 PM EDT
George Mason had parted ways with Paul Hewitt earlier this month.
Mar 29, 2015, 9:48 PM EDT
The former St. Bonaventure guard had previously completed his Bachelor’s degree.
Mar 29, 2015, 8:36 PM EDT
Michigan State knocked of Louisville in the Elite Eight on Sunday.
Mar 29, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
40-0, Izzo, Coach K, Bo Ryan, Wisconsin-UK, Duke-UK? Let’s get it.
Mar 29, 2015, 7:15 PM EDT
Three one-seeds have made it to the Final Four, with No. 7 Michigan State being the exception.
Mar 29, 2015, 7:10 PM EDT
Duke is the third No. 1 seed to reach Indianapolis.
Mar 29, 2015, 6:56 PM EDT
Duryea has been with the program for 14 seasons.
Mar 29, 2015, 6:25 PM EDT
We now know who plays when during the Final Four.
Mar 29, 2015, 6:04 PM EDT
Hurley just completed his third season with the Rams.
Mar 29, 2015, 5:02 PM EDT
This is the first Final Four Michigan State has been to since 2009.
Mar 29, 2015, 2:24 PM EDT
Dave Leitao is the leading candidate to become the head coach at DePaul for a second time.
Mar 29, 2015, 12:00 PM EDT
Five-star big man Ivan Rabb makes a clutch free throw to win a California state title.
Mar 29, 2015, 10:30 AM EDT
Wisconsin and Kentucky get to play again after last season’s thrilling National Semifinal.
Mar 29, 2015, 8:37 AM EDT
The label of “best coach yet to reach a Final Four” will remain Miller’s for another offseason, whether that’s fair or not.
Mar 28, 2015, 11:07 PM EDT
The Wildcats knocked off a tough Notre Dame team.
Mar 28, 2015, 8:35 PM EDT
Dekker scored 20 of his 27 points in the second half at Wisconsin beat Arizona in the Elite Eight for the second straight year.
- Tournament darling R.J. Hunter is heading to the NBA 0
- Texas freshman Myles Turner declares for the NBA Draft 1
- The Final Four is set, and it’s going to be insane 20
- No. 7 Michigan State reaches the Final Four for the seventh time under Izzo 15
- Wisconsin vs. Kentucky: The Final Four rematch we deserved to see 7
- No. 2 Arizona, Sean Miller’s quest to reach Final Four once again falls short 7
- Andrew Harrison’s late free throws send No. 1 Kentucky to the Final Four 79
- Andrew Harrison’s late free throws send No. 1 Kentucky to the Final Four (83)
- Kentucky’s John Calipari is the National Coach of the Year, and it’s not close (36)
- Kentucky responds to Daxter Miles Jr.’s pregame comments (30)
- Updated tournament records: Big Ten teams make up half of Final Four (27)
- West Virginia freshman on Kentucky: ‘They’re going to be 36-1′ (20)