Skip to content

Time to take Duke seriously as a Final Four contender

Feb 24, 2012, 12:56 AM EDT

image001

All we’ve talked about all season long is No. 5 Duke’s flaws.

They don’t have a play-making point guard. They don’t have enough of an interior presence. They don’t defend. Austin Rivers will never fit into a team concept.

Its been incessant. And I’m not innocent.

And through all that negativity, the Blue Devils have just kept on winning basketball games. Barring a collapse down the stretch, Duke has an inside track at taking one of the two No. 1 seeds that won’t be going to Kentucky or Syracuse. It may not be that close, either. Seriously, take a look at who the Blue Devils have beaten this season outside of the ACC: No. 6 Michigan State, No. 4 Kansas, No. 11 Michigan, Washington, Colorado State, Davidson, Belmont, Penn, Tennessee. That’s an insanely good non-conference resume.

Their two non-conference losses? At No. 8 Ohio State in early November when the Buckeyes played one of their best games of the season and at Temple, who is as under the radar as any team in the country right now.

And thanks to an impressive, 74-66 win over No. 15 Florida State in Tallahassee — fitting revenge for the three that Michael Snaer hit to beat Duke at the buzzer in Cameron — Duke is tied with North Carolina for first place in the conference and hosts their battle on the final day of the regular season. There is a very real chance that a sweep of the Tar Heels can be added to that resume.

Even if the Tar Heels knock off Duke on March 3rd and even with the flaws that this group has, the Blue Devils have to be considered a threat to make the Final Four after tonight’s performance.

Playing without a point guard like a Phil Pressey, a jitterbug that can get into the paint at will and make any pass to any player at any given time, the Blue Devils still managed to manufacture open looks from three all night against one of the best defenses in the country. Duke went 13-28 from beyond the arc against Florida State, with Andre Dawkins (22 points and 6-9 from three) and Austin Rivers (20 points, 4-8 from three, four assists and four boards) leading the way.

I’ts also worth mentioning that the Blue Devils, who were overmatched inside before being forced to play small as the Plumlees dealt with foul trouble throughout the game, were able to hang with the Seminoles inside. Bernard James got his — 13 points, nine boards, and five blocks — and the Seminoles did grab 16 offensive rebounds, but those are the kind of numbers you expect from FSU.

The fact that Duke held their own with one of the biggest frontlines in the country despite getting just one point and five boards from Mason Plumlee in 17 minutes is a good sign.

We can break down all of the stats we can get our hands on and watch film of every single possession of Duke basketball this season, and while it all may tell us that Duke is an inherently flawed basketball team, there is something to be said for winning. I may be in the minority here, but I firmly believe in advanced statistics and new and improved metrics to evaluate basketball at the same time that I believe in players and teams being “winners” or “clutch”.

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: winning is a skill. The confidence to execute in late-game situations and the mental capacity to perform under pressure is a trait that isn’t found in every player or team. Think about it like this: how many players that are good jump-shooters struggle from the free throw line? Its not always about technique. Confidence plays a role, too.

Its the same thing for executing under pressure.

They came back from 10 down in the final two minutes to beat North Carolina. They came back from 20 down in the final 11 minutes to beat NC State. They erased a 17 point deficit to force overtime in their loss to Miami. Most importantly, they are 24-4 on the season and 11-2 in ACC play.

While the reasons behind those big deficits are quite clear, you cannot talk about the Blue Devils without saying unequivocally that this group has put together as many impressive wins as anyone in the country.

And in a season where the field after the top two teams is about as easy to figure out as “Memento” on your first viewing after drinking a six-pack, we need to started talking about Duke as a legitimate Final Four contender.

Rob Dauster is the editor of the college basketball website Ballin’ is a Habit. You can find him on twitter @ballinisahabit.

Latest Posts
  1. Report: New Mexico State’s Sim Bhullar to enter 2014 NBA Draft

    Apr 16, 2014, 8:57 PM EDT

    Sim Bhullar, Barndon Ashley AP

    According to a report, New Mexico State center Sim Bhullar will forego his final two seasons of eligibility to turn pro.

  2. USC guard Byron Wesley to transfer for final season of eligibility

    Apr 16, 2014, 8:24 PM EDT

    Byron Wesley, Jarett Upchurch AP

    After leading USC in scoring last season, Byron Wesley announced that he’ll be transferring after graduating this summer.

  3. Arizona State guard Jahii Carson officially entering NBA Draft

    Apr 16, 2014, 7:25 PM EDT

    carson AP

    Arizona State’s Jahii Carson made official the news that’s been known since October: he’ll be entering the 2014 NBA Draft.

  4. Former Northwestern wing Kale Abrahamson transferring to Drake

    Apr 16, 2014, 6:32 PM EDT

    Kale Abrahamson AP

    Former Northwestern guard/forward Kale Abrahamson will finish out his career in his home state.

  5. UCLA’s Kyle Anderson, Zach LaVine officially enter 2014 NBA Draft

    Apr 16, 2014, 5:31 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    UCLA’s Kyle Anderson and Zach LaVine made official their decisions to enter the 2014 NBA Draft.

  6. Purdue center A.J. Hammons will return for junior season

    Apr 16, 2014, 4:40 PM EDT

    A.J. Hammons AP

    After considering leaving school to enter the NBA Draft, Purdue’s A.J. Hammons will return for his junior season.

  7. It’s beyond time for college basketball to return to NBA’s early entry calendar

    Apr 16, 2014, 4:00 PM EDT

    Jerami Grant AP

    Three years after shortening the time players have to make a decision regarding the NBA, it’s time for the NCAA to re-adopt the NBA’s pre-draft calendar.

  8. Report: Butler’s Rene Castro to transfer to Duquesne

    Apr 16, 2014, 2:30 PM EDT

    The Dukes have landed the for Massachusetts Player of the Year.

  9. Former Alabama player Devonta Pollard receiving interest from Kentucky

    Apr 16, 2014, 1:45 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP Photo

    There may not be a recruit with a more interesting back story that Devonta Pollard.

  10. Kansas State secures head coach Bruce Weber through 2019

    Apr 16, 2014, 12:15 PM EDT

    Bruce Weber Bruce Weber

    Getting Kansas State to the NCAA tournament earned Bruce Weber an extension.

  11. Olivier Hanlan to return to Boston College

    Apr 16, 2014, 11:49 AM EDT

    hanlan Getty Images

    Jim Christian wins his first recruiting battle as the head coach at BC.

  12. 2014 NBA Draft: What early entry decisions are we still waiting for?

    Apr 16, 2014, 11:26 AM EDT

    rodneyy hood Getty Images

    What Early Entry decisions will have the biggest impact on the 2014-2015 college basketball season?

  13. Hoop Summit mixtape for Jamal Murray, Canada’s next star (VIDEO)

    Apr 16, 2014, 10:20 AM EDT

    Jamal_Murray___POTW___Story3

    The next big thing to come from Canada isn’t going to be all that big.

  14. SMU and Gonzaga close to agreement for home-and-home beginning this season

    Apr 15, 2014, 10:13 PM EDT

    AP AP

    The Mustangs and Bulldogs are looking to meet in a home-and-home series.

  15. Royce Woolridge to transfer from Washington State

    Apr 15, 2014, 7:08 PM EDT

    Royce Woolridge Royce Woolridge

    Washington State loses three players, including a starting guard.

Featured video

Derrick Gordon says 'Why not me?'