Sep 22, 2012, 7:45 PM EDT
P.J. Hairston is used to not getting much respect. During recruiting, he complained that Duke didn’t spell his name right. Then he spent much of his freshman season at UNC buried on the bench behind a lineup of future NBA draft choices. Still, he carved out around 13 minute per game and a respectable backup scoring average of 5.7 points per game.
Hairston might have actually made more of his minutes had he shot better. His overall shooting percentage was barely above 30%, and his three-point mark was an even less sightly 27%. As a sophomore, those numbers must improve.
If you believe in the predictive powers of advanced math, good news! Drew Cannon of Kenpom.com ran a bunch of charts this week, full of symbols like <,>,. and %, that strongly suggest that Hairston is ready to blow up in all the right ways. Cannon, in his usual fashion, made crucial distinctions in his predictions, naming Indiana’s Jordan Hulls as a player likely to take more deep shots and make fewer of them (fewer than his insane 47% from last season, mind you). Hairston showed up alongside South Dakota’s Nate Wolters as a player Cannon expects to both shoot more and make more next season.
Hairston started off the year hot, but ended the season at just 27 percent. Wolters made just 24 percent of his three-point attempts. Players rarely shoot so frequently at that level of success, and do so even more rarely when they play for teams who have such high effective field goal percentages. The projections pin Hairston at 38 percent and Wolters at 35 percent for 2013.
Hairston’s ability to create drama from the perimeter — should it materialize as expected — will be a huge boon to the inside play of James Michael McAdoo, and go a long ways toward keeping the Tar Heels on track as royalty in the increasingly more competitive ACC.
- #FredHoibergWatch officially commences today, as Bulls fire Thibodeau 3
- There’s only one way the NCAA gets UNC investigation wrong: a 2016 postseason ban 43
- Academic issues expected to sideline St. John’s point guard for fall semester, maybe longer 7
- North Carolina announces receipt of Notice of Allegations from NCAA 3
- LSU’s ’25 is coming’ campaign doesn’t try to hide that they’re monetizing Ben Simmons 2
- Looking Forward: Catching up on the American’s offseason 1
- Five-star center Caleb Swanigan has committed to Purdue 8
- There’s only one way the NCAA gets UNC investigation wrong: a 2016 postseason ban (43)
- Four men’s teams banned from 2016 postseason due to APR scores (10)
- Academic issues expected to sideline St. John’s point guard for fall semester, maybe longer (7)
- Report: Class of 2016 four-star wing considering college among playing options for next season (5)
- Frank Kaminsky writes a farewell letter to Wisconsin fans (5)