Skip to content

Handicapping (way too early) the national scoring leader race

Dec 3, 2012, 6:00 PM EST

Lehigh Mountain Hawks guard C.J. McCollum (3) works to shoot against the Xavier Musketeers during a college basketball game in Greensboro Reuters

Points are the way teams win games. You can argue defense, you can argue rebounding. But if you don’t put the ball in the basket, you don’t win.

I know, that’s expert analysis.

Now that we’re a few weeks into the season some players are starting to show how good they are at putting said ball into said basket. With that in mind, let’s check out the leaders among points per game in Division I basketball, and their odds for ending the season as the nation’s top scorer, with a few dark horses at the end.

Leaders

C.J. McCollum, Lehigh (25.8 ppg)

Why?: Scored 20-or-more in six of eight games, including three 30-point outings so far. He’s the main focus on a good team and can do it all. That means that teams will have to guard him for the pass and box him out, not just play him for the shot.

Future outlook: Games against VCU and Bucknell loom, but the rest of the seasonal competition within the Patriot League will be sub-par (outside of the Bison) compared to McCollum. He’s also averaged at least 19 points in his four seasons. There’s something to be said about that.

Odds: 5-to-2

Kyle Vinales, Central Connecticut State (25.6 ppg)

Why?: This guy is a name not a ton of people know, but should. Only a sophomore, Vinales led all freshman in scoring in Division I last season at 17.9 points per game, albeit for a pretty bad team. Through six games, Vinales has played a ridiculous 40.8 minutes per game and has eclipsed the 20-point mark in the last five. He’s hit 45.6-percent of his shots overall and 39.5-percent from three.

Future outlook: A game at Indiana on Saturday will be the true test. In-conference, games against Wagner, Quinnipiac and Long Island loom. Those will be the proving ground.

Odds: 8-to-1

Isaiah Canaan, Murray State (22.5 ppg)

Why?: He’s everybody’s All-American and it’s mainly because he’s one of the best scorers in the country. The senior is connecting on 49.5-percent from the field and a crazy good 42.6-percent from three  in 33.6 minutes per game through six games. He’s the main perimeter scoring option and has the tools around him to fend off double teams.

Future outlook: Games at Dayton and at home against Valparaiso loom, but it’s the Ohio Valley Conference slate that worries anyone thinking Canaan can top the scoring charts. Belmont, Tennessee Tech and Tennessee State know how to defend, especially the latter two, who have seen Canaan over the past four years.

Odds: 15-to-1

Doug McDermott, Creighton (21.2 ppg)

Why?: Because he’s D-Mac. Because he’s one of the top contenders for National Player of the Year. He’s got the outside game (46.9-percent), hits his free throws (87.8-percent) and the post game (53.8-percent overall) to be the efficient scorer that everyone expects, and do it well. He’s got Grant Gibbs and Greg Enchenique to taper the double teams, too. So that helps.

Future outlook: A game at Nebraska on Thursday, with games at California and at home against Tulsa will be challenging. But the Missouri Valley Conference brings the contest of Illinois State (Jackie Carmichael), Northern Iowa (Seth Tuttle) and Wichita State (Cleanthony Early). It’s going to be tough.

Odds: 18-to-1

Stan Okoye, VMI (20.8 ppg)

Why?: Because Okoye plays for VMI and VMI always has someone who contends for that title every season in Duggar Baucom’s system. They run, they score. The 6-6 senior is hitting 48.1-percent of his shots overall in 31.2 minutes per game through eight games.

Future outlook: Outside of Wright State and George Washington, the rest of the Keydet’s non-conference slate is Charmin soft. In the Southern Conference, the biggest defensive threats to Okoye are Winthrop, Coastal Carolina and UNC-Asheville.

Odds: 25-to-1

Other potential candidates

Lamont “Momo” Jones, Iona (23 ppg); Erick Green, Virginia Tech (24.8); James Kinney, San Jose State (22.8); Kevin Foster, Santa Clara (22.5); Ray McCallum, Detroit (21.1).

Latest Posts
  1. Ben Simmons throws an alley-oop to himself off the backboard (VIDEO)

    Dec 21, 2014, 10:00 AM EST

    Kelly Kline/Under Armour Kelly Kline/Under Armour

    The nation’s top recruit also dropped 37 points in a win for Montverde Academy (Florida)

  2. No. 16 Washington hangs on to beat No. 15 Oklahoma in Las Vegas

    Dec 21, 2014, 12:10 AM EST

    Lorenzo Romar Lorenzo Romar

    With pieces that fit together better than last season’s 17-15 squad, the Huskies are off to a 10-0 start.

  3. George Mason beats preseason MAAC favorite Iona (VIDEO)

    Dec 20, 2014, 10:26 PM EST

    George Mason Patriots vs the Old Dominion Monarchs George Mason Patriots vs the Old Dominion Monarchs

    George Mason’s last win over a Division I opponent prior to Saturday came against another MAAC program, Manhattan, on November 29.

  4. POSTERIZED: Notre Dame’s Demetrius Jackson dunks on Purdue 7-footer (VIDEO)

    Dec 20, 2014, 9:00 PM EST

    Demetrius Jackson (AP Photo) Demetrius Jackson (AP Photo)

    Jackson scored 22 points, with two coming on an emphatic dunk on Purdue freshman Isaac Haas.

  5. Late Night Snacks: Villanova survives Syracuse while UNC, SMU get big wins

    Dec 20, 2014, 8:41 PM EST

    Jayvaughn Pinkston (Getty Images) Getty Images

    It’s already been a busy day in college hoops, with two buzzer-beaters and two ranked teams already going down.

  6. Chris Thomas, Malcolm Riley lead Texas Southern past No. 25 Michigan State

    Dec 20, 2014, 7:57 PM EST

    Mike Davis Mike Davis

    While Michigan State’s 4-for-21 night from three didn’t help matters, Texas Southern shot better than 53 percent from the field.

  7. Report: Former Marquette guard/forward transferring to Iowa State

    Dec 20, 2014, 7:18 PM EST

    Deonte Burton, Tim Coleman Deonte Burton, Tim Coleman

    Burton was one of two sophomores to leave the Marquette program earlier this month.

  8. No. 1 Kentucky dismantles UCLA

    Dec 20, 2014, 5:46 PM EST

    kentucky ucla AP

    Kentucky completely embarrassed UCLA on Saturday.

  9. Wake Forest freshman guard suspended six games for violation of NCAA rules

    Dec 20, 2014, 5:04 PM EST

    cd0ymzcznguwzdbhnduynddiytjhm2yyzthlmtjjotqwyyznpwrmm2riyzjmntcznwyymwm1yzy1zmqxndg1ztbimtdi AP

    Mitchell Wilbekin could miss up to six games, and classmates Cornelius Hudson and Rondale Watson missed Saturday’s game for conduct detrimental to the team.

  10. Rayvonte Rice gives Illinois ‘Braggin’ Rights’ for a second consecutive year (VIDEO)

    Dec 20, 2014, 4:31 PM EST

    Rayvonte Rice, Joseph Young AP

    Illinois has now won two straight in the series, thanks to Rice’s three-pointer as time expired.

  11. No. 7 Villanova’s wild rally forces OT, where they beat Syracuse (VIDEO)

    Dec 20, 2014, 3:26 PM EST

    AP Photo AP Photo

    Not surprising, considering Gus Johnson is on the call.

  12. No. 24 North Carolina handles No. 12 Ohio State

    Dec 20, 2014, 3:23 PM EST

    north carolina ohio state AP

    North Carolina had its most impressive showing of the season in a convincing win over Ohio State on Saturday in Chicago.

  13. Mixtape for top 2016 recruit Josh Jackson (VIDEO)

    Dec 20, 2014, 1:30 PM EST

    (Scott Phillips/NBC Sports) (Scott Phillips/NBC Sports)

    Josh Jackson put on a show last night. Here’s a mixtape of what he can do.

  14. Alex Murphy to play, Eli Carter out vs. Wake Forest

    Dec 20, 2014, 11:49 AM EST

    AP Photo AP Photo

    This will be the first time that Murphy plays this season.

  15. More ridiculous plays from 2016 acrobat Kwe Parker at City of Palms (VIDEO)

    Dec 20, 2014, 10:00 AM EST

    (Nike) (Nike)

    Kwe Parker might only be a junior in high school, but he’s one of the best leapers in the country.

  16. Pregame Shootaround: A tremendous day of hoops filled with intriguing top-25 battles

    Dec 20, 2014, 9:00 AM EST

    TaShawn Thomas AP

    If you don’t feel like watching lower-tier bowl games, you’ll be happy to know that Saturday is loaded with great games.