Skip to content

Handicapping (way too early) the national scoring leader race

Dec 3, 2012, 6:00 PM EDT

Lehigh Mountain Hawks guard C.J. McCollum (3) works to shoot against the Xavier Musketeers during a college basketball game in Greensboro Reuters

Points are the way teams win games. You can argue defense, you can argue rebounding. But if you don’t put the ball in the basket, you don’t win.

I know, that’s expert analysis.

Now that we’re a few weeks into the season some players are starting to show how good they are at putting said ball into said basket. With that in mind, let’s check out the leaders among points per game in Division I basketball, and their odds for ending the season as the nation’s top scorer, with a few dark horses at the end.

Leaders

C.J. McCollum, Lehigh (25.8 ppg)

Why?: Scored 20-or-more in six of eight games, including three 30-point outings so far. He’s the main focus on a good team and can do it all. That means that teams will have to guard him for the pass and box him out, not just play him for the shot.

Future outlook: Games against VCU and Bucknell loom, but the rest of the seasonal competition within the Patriot League will be sub-par (outside of the Bison) compared to McCollum. He’s also averaged at least 19 points in his four seasons. There’s something to be said about that.

Odds: 5-to-2

Kyle Vinales, Central Connecticut State (25.6 ppg)

Why?: This guy is a name not a ton of people know, but should. Only a sophomore, Vinales led all freshman in scoring in Division I last season at 17.9 points per game, albeit for a pretty bad team. Through six games, Vinales has played a ridiculous 40.8 minutes per game and has eclipsed the 20-point mark in the last five. He’s hit 45.6-percent of his shots overall and 39.5-percent from three.

Future outlook: A game at Indiana on Saturday will be the true test. In-conference, games against Wagner, Quinnipiac and Long Island loom. Those will be the proving ground.

Odds: 8-to-1

Isaiah Canaan, Murray State (22.5 ppg)

Why?: He’s everybody’s All-American and it’s mainly because he’s one of the best scorers in the country. The senior is connecting on 49.5-percent from the field and a crazy good 42.6-percent from three¬† in 33.6 minutes per game through six games. He’s the main perimeter scoring option and has the tools around him to fend off double teams.

Future outlook: Games at Dayton and at home against Valparaiso loom, but it’s the Ohio Valley Conference slate that worries anyone thinking Canaan can top the scoring charts. Belmont, Tennessee Tech and Tennessee State know how to defend, especially the latter two, who have seen Canaan over the past four years.

Odds: 15-to-1

Doug McDermott, Creighton (21.2 ppg)

Why?: Because he’s D-Mac. Because he’s one of the top contenders for National Player of the Year. He’s got the outside game (46.9-percent), hits his free throws (87.8-percent) and the post game (53.8-percent overall) to be the efficient scorer that everyone expects, and do it well. He’s got Grant Gibbs and Greg Enchenique to taper the double teams, too. So that helps.

Future outlook: A game at Nebraska on Thursday, with games at California and at home against Tulsa will be challenging. But the Missouri Valley Conference brings the contest of Illinois State (Jackie Carmichael), Northern Iowa (Seth Tuttle) and Wichita State (Cleanthony Early). It’s going to be tough.

Odds: 18-to-1

Stan Okoye, VMI (20.8 ppg)

Why?:¬†Because Okoye plays for VMI and VMI always has someone who contends for that title every season in Duggar Baucom’s system. They run, they score. The 6-6 senior is hitting 48.1-percent of his shots overall in 31.2 minutes per game through eight games.

Future outlook: Outside of Wright State and George Washington, the rest of the Keydet’s non-conference slate is Charmin soft. In the Southern Conference, the biggest defensive threats to Okoye are Winthrop, Coastal Carolina and UNC-Asheville.

Odds: 25-to-1

Other potential candidates

Lamont “Momo” Jones, Iona (23 ppg); Erick Green, Virginia Tech (24.8); James Kinney, San Jose State (22.8); Kevin Foster, Santa Clara (22.5); Ray McCallum, Detroit (21.1).

Latest Posts
  1. Washington lands a commitment from Jermaine Haley

    Jul 28, 2014, 3:36 PM EDT

    DRIVE Basketball DRIVE Basketball

    Haley is the first member of Washington’s 2016 recruiting class.

  2. Seven takeaways from Las Vegas for the final AAU weekend of 2014

    Jul 28, 2014, 2:59 PM EDT

    (adidas) (adidas)

    Our Raphielle Johnson spent five days at the tournaments out in Vegas last week. Here are his thoughts on them.

  3. One college coach’s unique connection to the Peach Jam

    Jul 28, 2014, 2:00 PM EDT

    AP/Jon-Michael Sullivan AP/Jon-Michael Sullivan

    Miami of Ohio assistant coach Trey Meyer is a native of North Augusta and grew up working, playing and coaching at Peach Jam.

  4. Kwe’Shaun Parker could win the NBA dunk contest right now (VIDEO)

    Jul 28, 2014, 1:36 PM EDT

    Screen Shot 2014-07-28 at 1.34.37 PM

    The scary part? The rising junior’s game is finally starting to develop.

  5. Report: Houston transfer Valentine Izundu is heading west

    Jul 28, 2014, 1:00 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP Photo

    Izundu played very limited minutes as a sophomore

  6. Kentucky’s budget for chartered jets is massive

    Jul 28, 2014, 12:33 PM EDT

    Kentucky Speedway Kentucky Speedway

    Want to guess how much they spend on planes for recruiting?

  7. July Live Period Week Three Superlatives

    Jul 28, 2014, 11:00 AM EDT

    Adidas Hoops Adidas Hoops

    The best of the best from the final week of the July live evaluation period from Las Vegas and Louisville.

  8. Ben Simmons does not make Australia’s national team

    Jul 28, 2014, 9:57 AM EDT

    Ben Simmons (Kelly Kline/Under Armour) Ben Simmons (Kelly Kline/Under Armour)

    Thon Maker won’t be on the team either, but it is loaded with former college stars.

  9. Skal Labissiere is considering Europe, but that doesn’t mean there’s a market for him

    Jul 28, 2014, 9:00 AM EDT

    "NBPA Top 100 Camp"

    Skal Labissiere may want to go to Europe. That does not mean Europe wants him.

  10. Official visit schedule set for five-star 2015 center Stephen Zimmerman

    Jul 27, 2014, 9:39 PM EDT

    Nike EYBL Nike EYBL

    Despite not being included among the five official visits, Indiana and UNLV remain options for Zimmerman.

  11. Louisville’s Montrezl Harrell breaks his second backboard of the summer

    Jul 27, 2014, 5:41 PM EDT

    AP AP

    Nearly three months after breaking a backboard during a pickup game, the rising junior took out another one this weekend.

  12. Arizona commit Ray Smith calls ACL tear ‘a blessing’

    Jul 27, 2014, 3:05 PM EDT

    ray-smith

    Ray Smith tore his ACL earlier this month.

  13. Assigned Reading: Michael Hausfeld, the man taking on the NCAA

    Jul 27, 2014, 1:35 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Ed O’Bannon’s lead attorney didn’t even know who he was when he first met him.

  14. Kwe Parker throws down 360 cradle dunk … again (VIDEO)

    Jul 27, 2014, 12:00 PM EDT

    picresized_th_1406475062_Screen Shot 2014-07-27 at 11.28.23 AM

    It’s been a summer of viral dunks for the 6-foot-2 recruit

  15. Las Vegas Saturday Recap: Bennie Boatwright, Justin Simon lead Dream Vision into adidas Super 64 semis

    Jul 27, 2014, 10:29 AM EDT

    Kelly Kline/adidas Kelly Kline/adidas

    Also some notes on junior college guard Andre Spight and 2015 guard Justin Foreman.

  16. North Carolina announces plans for program that aims to help former athletes complete their degree

    Jul 26, 2014, 6:34 PM EDT

    Nate Britt, Roy Williams AP

    North Carolina is the latest school making the positive step of looking to help its former athletes obtain their college degrees.

  17. Saint Louis will need some of six-man recruiting class to step up in 2014-15

    Jul 26, 2014, 3:00 PM EDT

    Jim Crews AP

    With Saint Louis losing five experienced seniors, the incoming freshman class could be expected to contribute immediately this season.