Jan 8, 2013, 8:45 AM EST
Through the first two months of the college basketball season, no team has accomplished more than Duke. Thus, the Blue Devils hold the top spot on the s-curve and the No. 1 overall seed in our first bracket projection of 2013. For what it’s worth, Duke is No. 1 in the RPI, has played the nation’s third best schedule, is 10-0 vs. the RPI Top 50, and has wins over Louisville, Kentucky, Minnesota, VCU, Temple, and Ohio State. That’s about as good as it gets. The other No. 1 seeds are Louisville, Michigan, and Kansas.
As expected, the lower half of the current bracket is quite fluid. Even some national headliners have suspect resumes to this point: Kentucky, Pittsburgh, and North Carolina come to mind. Of those three, Kentucky seems most likely to push for a significantly higher seed come tournament time. We also have teams whose non-conference schedules could prove costly in March: Virginia (No. 329), Maryland (No. 323), Georgia Tech (No. 302), Charlotte (No. 300), Wyoming (No. 281), Iowa (No. 276), Pittsburgh (No. 255), and St. Mary’s (246) are just a few. How these teams – and others – handle conference play will define their seasons because their non-conference numbers won’t help much. (SOS numbers are from ESPN’s RPI rankings).
Quick note: The current bracket is for games played through Sunday, January 6. It does not include games played Monday (Jan. 7). Notre Dame’s win at Cincinnati will be included in the next bracket and s-curve update.
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Arizona State vs. Wisconsin | South Region
- Virginia vs. Oklahoma | West Region
- NORFOLK STATE vs. SOUTHERN | Midwest Region
- CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN vs. WAGNER | East Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|EAST – Washington, DC||MIDWEST – Indianapolis|
|1) DUKE||1) LOUISVILLE|
|16) CHARLESTON STHN / WAGNER||16) NORFOLK ST / SOUTHERN|
|8) Wyoming||8) Temple|
|9) MEMPHIS||9) UCLA|
|5) Ohio State||5) NC State|
|12) BUCKNELL||12) MURRAY STATE|
|4) Cincinnati||4) Illinois|
|13) DETROIT||13) MID TENNESSEE ST|
|6) Georgetown||6) New Mexico|
|11) Colorado State||11) Indiana State|
|3) CREIGHTON||3) MISSOURI|
|14) CANISIUS||14) UTAH STATE|
|7) Oklahoma State||7) VCU|
|10) Oregon||10) Marquette|
|2) Indiana||2) Minnesota|
|15) NORTHEASTERN||15) MERCER|
|WEST – Los Angeles||SOUTH – Dallas|
|Kansas City||Auburn Hills|
|1) KANSAS||1) MICHIGAN|
|16) WEBER STATE||16) STONY BROOK|
|8) Kentucky||8) Baylor|
|9) Miami-FL||9) Maryland|
|San Jose||San Jose|
|5) Notre Dame||5) BUTLER|
|12) Saint Louis||12) Arizona State / Wisconsin|
|4) Michigan State||4) SAN DIEGO STATE|
|13) NORTH DAKOTA ST||13) DAVIDSON|
|Salt Lake City||Lexington|
|6) UNLV||6) Kansas State|
|11) Virginia / Oklahoma||11) North Carolina|
|3) GONZAGA||3) Florida|
|14) S.F. AUSTIN||14) OHIO|
|Salt Lake City||Philadelphia|
|7) Wichita State||7) Colorado|
|10) Pittsburgh||10) Boise State|
|2) ARIZONA||2) Syracuse|
|15) HAWAII||15) HARVARD|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Duke is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Louisville, Michigan, and Kansas.
Last Five teams in (at large): Saint Louis, Virginia, Wisconsin, Arizona State, Oklahoma
First Five teams out (at large): Iowa, Iowa State, Dayton, California, Tennessee
Next Five teams out (at large): Belmont, Texas, BYU, Georgia Tech, Ole Miss
Breakdown by Conference …
Big East (7): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh
Big Ten (7): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin
ACC (6): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Maryland, Miami-FL, Virginia
Mountain West (6): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Wyoming, Boise State, Colorado State
Atlantic 10 (4): Butler, VCU, Temple, Saint Louis
Big 12 (5): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma
Pac 12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon
Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Wichita State, Indiana State
SEC (3): Missouri, Florida, Kentucky
West Coast (1): Gonzaga
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … MURRAY STATE (Ohio Valley), BUCKNELL (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), NORTH DAKOTA ST (Summit), DETROIT (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), UTAH STATE (WAC), CANISIUS (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), OHIO (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), HAWAII (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), STONY BROOK (American East), WEBER STATE (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN (Big South), WAGNER (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)
Jan 30, 2015, 12:19 AM EST
With Shannon Scott being a senior and D’Angelo Russell considered to be a possible lottery pick if he goes pro, JaQuan Lyle’s commitment is a nice insurance policy moving forward.
Jan 29, 2015, 10:57 PM EST
Ike Nwamu scored 20 points in the Bears’ 75-72 overtime win over Chattanooga, but should he have two (or three) more points to his credit?
Jan 29, 2015, 9:38 PM EST
Providence’s Kris Dunn posted the program’s first triple-double since 2006, and UMass held off Dayton in Amherst.
Jan 29, 2015, 8:44 PM EST
The third year of the event means an improved schedule, with all ten games being played on one day.
Bradley’s leading scorer one of three players facing disciplinary action following incident Thursday morning
Jan 29, 2015, 6:57 PM EST
Warren Jones is averaging a team-best 13.8 points per game for Bradley, which has lost six of its last seven games.
Jan 29, 2015, 5:46 PM EST
Leland King led Brown in scoring and was also tied for the team lead in rebounds per game.
Jan 29, 2015, 4:42 PM EST
Rasheed Sulaimon played 12 minutes in the Blue Devils’ loss at No. 8 Notre Dame Wednesday night.
Jan 29, 2015, 4:15 PM EST
The Eastern Washington guard has received more attention nationally in recent weeks, and it’s well-deserved.
Jan 29, 2015, 3:28 PM EST
At the very least, he’s the most valuable player in the country.
Jan 29, 2015, 2:30 PM EST
Donnie Tyndall’s trail of destruction in Hattiesburg continues to grow.
Jan 29, 2015, 1:09 PM EST
Melo Trimble vs. D’Angelo Russell will be worth the two hours.
Jan 29, 2015, 11:49 AM EST
That hashtag, though.
Jan 29, 2015, 11:14 AM EST
It looks like T.J.’s got jokes.
Jan 29, 2015, 10:04 AM EST
Cottrill was once ranked above Shabazz Napier and Aaron Craft, among many others.
Jan 29, 2015, 9:08 AM EST
Rysheed Jordan averages 13.4 points.
Jan 29, 2015, 12:14 AM EST
I love this move.
Jan 28, 2015, 11:24 PM EST
Rhode Island moved to 14-5 overall and 6-2 in Atlantic 10 play with the win over Fordham.
Jan 28, 2015, 10:52 PM EST
The Huskies will be short one perimeter option when they take on Cincinnati Thursday night.
Jan 28, 2015, 9:56 PM EST
Jerian Grant was the headliner for the Fighting Irish, but he had plenty of help as they erased a ten-point second half deficit.
Jan 28, 2015, 9:37 PM EST
The night is only getting started.
- Duke dismisses reserve shooting guard from program 11
- Chase for 180: Already a good shooter, Tyler Harvey’s been even better in 2014-15 0
- Film Session: The case for Jerian Grant as National Player of the Year 1
- Jerian Grant, No. 8 Notre Dame erase another double-digit deficit as they beat No. 4 Duke 7
- Late Night Snacks: No. 8 Notre Dame outlasts No. 4 Duke in a thriller 2
- 2015 McDonald’s All-American rosters announced 2
- Player of the Year Power Rankings: It’s essentially a two-man race at this point 3
- Duke dismisses reserve shooting guard from program (12)
- Jerian Grant, No. 8 Notre Dame erase another double-digit deficit as they beat No. 4 Duke (7)
- Coach K earns career win No. 1,000 in No. 5 Duke’s win over St. John’s (4)
- Kentucky lands commitment from international Class of 2016 big man (4)
- Wichita State guard Conner Frankamp arrested on Saturday night (4)