Jan 8, 2013, 8:45 AM EST
Through the first two months of the college basketball season, no team has accomplished more than Duke. Thus, the Blue Devils hold the top spot on the s-curve and the No. 1 overall seed in our first bracket projection of 2013. For what it’s worth, Duke is No. 1 in the RPI, has played the nation’s third best schedule, is 10-0 vs. the RPI Top 50, and has wins over Louisville, Kentucky, Minnesota, VCU, Temple, and Ohio State. That’s about as good as it gets. The other No. 1 seeds are Louisville, Michigan, and Kansas.
As expected, the lower half of the current bracket is quite fluid. Even some national headliners have suspect resumes to this point: Kentucky, Pittsburgh, and North Carolina come to mind. Of those three, Kentucky seems most likely to push for a significantly higher seed come tournament time. We also have teams whose non-conference schedules could prove costly in March: Virginia (No. 329), Maryland (No. 323), Georgia Tech (No. 302), Charlotte (No. 300), Wyoming (No. 281), Iowa (No. 276), Pittsburgh (No. 255), and St. Mary’s (246) are just a few. How these teams – and others – handle conference play will define their seasons because their non-conference numbers won’t help much. (SOS numbers are from ESPN’s RPI rankings).
Quick note: The current bracket is for games played through Sunday, January 6. It does not include games played Monday (Jan. 7). Notre Dame’s win at Cincinnati will be included in the next bracket and s-curve update.
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Arizona State vs. Wisconsin | South Region
- Virginia vs. Oklahoma | West Region
- NORFOLK STATE vs. SOUTHERN | Midwest Region
- CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN vs. WAGNER | East Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|EAST – Washington, DC||MIDWEST – Indianapolis|
|1) DUKE||1) LOUISVILLE|
|16) CHARLESTON STHN / WAGNER||16) NORFOLK ST / SOUTHERN|
|8) Wyoming||8) Temple|
|9) MEMPHIS||9) UCLA|
|5) Ohio State||5) NC State|
|12) BUCKNELL||12) MURRAY STATE|
|4) Cincinnati||4) Illinois|
|13) DETROIT||13) MID TENNESSEE ST|
|6) Georgetown||6) New Mexico|
|11) Colorado State||11) Indiana State|
|3) CREIGHTON||3) MISSOURI|
|14) CANISIUS||14) UTAH STATE|
|7) Oklahoma State||7) VCU|
|10) Oregon||10) Marquette|
|2) Indiana||2) Minnesota|
|15) NORTHEASTERN||15) MERCER|
|WEST – Los Angeles||SOUTH – Dallas|
|Kansas City||Auburn Hills|
|1) KANSAS||1) MICHIGAN|
|16) WEBER STATE||16) STONY BROOK|
|8) Kentucky||8) Baylor|
|9) Miami-FL||9) Maryland|
|San Jose||San Jose|
|5) Notre Dame||5) BUTLER|
|12) Saint Louis||12) Arizona State / Wisconsin|
|4) Michigan State||4) SAN DIEGO STATE|
|13) NORTH DAKOTA ST||13) DAVIDSON|
|Salt Lake City||Lexington|
|6) UNLV||6) Kansas State|
|11) Virginia / Oklahoma||11) North Carolina|
|3) GONZAGA||3) Florida|
|14) S.F. AUSTIN||14) OHIO|
|Salt Lake City||Philadelphia|
|7) Wichita State||7) Colorado|
|10) Pittsburgh||10) Boise State|
|2) ARIZONA||2) Syracuse|
|15) HAWAII||15) HARVARD|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Duke is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Louisville, Michigan, and Kansas.
Last Five teams in (at large): Saint Louis, Virginia, Wisconsin, Arizona State, Oklahoma
First Five teams out (at large): Iowa, Iowa State, Dayton, California, Tennessee
Next Five teams out (at large): Belmont, Texas, BYU, Georgia Tech, Ole Miss
Breakdown by Conference …
Big East (7): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh
Big Ten (7): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin
ACC (6): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Maryland, Miami-FL, Virginia
Mountain West (6): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Wyoming, Boise State, Colorado State
Atlantic 10 (4): Butler, VCU, Temple, Saint Louis
Big 12 (5): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma
Pac 12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon
Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Wichita State, Indiana State
SEC (3): Missouri, Florida, Kentucky
West Coast (1): Gonzaga
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … MURRAY STATE (Ohio Valley), BUCKNELL (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), NORTH DAKOTA ST (Summit), DETROIT (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), UTAH STATE (WAC), CANISIUS (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), OHIO (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), HAWAII (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), STONY BROOK (American East), WEBER STATE (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN (Big South), WAGNER (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)
Dec 18, 2014, 8:44 PM EST
Jabari McGhee suffered the injury in Tennessee’s loss to NC State on Wednesday.
Dec 18, 2014, 7:09 PM EST
Branden Dawson is the team’s leading rebounder, as he’s grabbing 8.7 boards per contest.
Dec 18, 2014, 5:59 PM EST
Gaston Diedhiou was denied admission to Minnesota during the summer, and he is now eligible immediately after passing an English proficiency exam.
Dec 18, 2014, 5:08 PM EST
While the focus has been on the Aztecs’ shooting percentages, their ability to find quality looks has been a big reason why they’ve struggled.
Dec 18, 2014, 3:45 PM EST
When do we start counting Duke-UConn as a rivalry?
Dec 18, 2014, 3:33 PM EST
Agau was buried on the Louisville bench with a number of young guys in front of him.
Dec 18, 2014, 2:34 PM EST
A deep look into the early-season struggles of Marcus Paige and whether or not they are fixable.
Dec 18, 2014, 12:48 PM EST
The last two times these teams have squared off in big games, the outcome has been memorable.
Dec 18, 2014, 10:53 AM EST
Three-point shooting might be the key to the Virginia season.
Dec 18, 2014, 9:59 AM EST
She may not be playing anymore, but Lauren’s time with the basketball program has not yet come to an end.
Dec 18, 2014, 8:45 AM EST
David Nwaba scored 11 second-half points to help lead the Mustangs back from a 14-points halftime deficit. Here are two of those points.
Dec 18, 2014, 8:00 AM EST
Doolin finished the game with 15 points, three assists and no turnovers, and made two huge plays to get UNLV the two-point win over Portland.
Dec 18, 2014, 12:04 AM EST
This is the first win that the American has landed over a ranked team.
Dec 18, 2014, 12:00 AM EST
Dawson’s injury occurred on the same night that freshman Javon Bess made his regular season debut for the Spartans.
Dec 17, 2014, 10:33 PM EST
Copes played in just four games this season due to injury.
Dec 17, 2014, 10:07 PM EST
The best part is that it was very much intentional
Dec 17, 2014, 9:20 PM EST
Delaware State’s Amere May scored more points than anyone in college basketball has this season.
Dec 17, 2014, 8:19 PM EST
With Lavon Long and Brett Bisping now sidelined, the Saints are without their two best rebounders.
Dec 17, 2014, 6:55 PM EST
Defense and turnovers will be the keys for Texas when Big 12 play begins.
Dec 17, 2014, 5:56 PM EST
After shooting 40.7% from the field and 29.4% from three as a sophomore, Anderson’s off to a hot start for the sixth-ranked Cavaliers.
- Michigan State starting forward to miss next two games with non-displaced wrist fracture 0
- Film Session: What’s plaguing Marcus Paige? 1
- Throwback Thursday: UConn ‘Shocks The World’ against Duke (VIDEO) 1
- New Year’s Resolutions: Virginia Cavaliers 1
- Chase for 180: So far, so good for Virginia’s Justin Anderson 0
- New Year’s Resolutions: Kansas Jayhawks 1
- Wichita State’s offensive struggles highlighted by come-from-behind win vs. Alabama 2
- Gregg Marshall writes to Wichita State students after seeing empty seats in student section (PHOTO) (7)
- Report: David Robinson’s son will be preferred walk-on at Duke in 2015-16 (VIDEO) (6)
- West Virginia’s Bob Huggins torches Marshall after coach calls Huggs ‘afraid’ (5)
- Without Alex Poythress, No. 1 Kentucky’s offense looks comfortable in win over No. 21 North Carolina (4)
- Lauren Hill’s playing career over, to become honorary coach (4)