Jan 22, 2013, 8:45 AM EDT
If Arizona continues its strong play during the next two months, it’ll be hard for the Selection Committee to keep the Wildcats off the top line out West. That’s where the Wildcats reside in our latest bracket projection. At No. 4 on the s-curve, Arizona trails Duke, Kansas, and Michigan in the chase for the overall No. 1 seed. Fresh off a win at Louisville on Saturday and Cincinnati at home Monday, Syracuse is an eyelash behind at No. 5. Others on the two-line: Louisville, Indiana, and Florida. When the Gators are good, they are really good.
The bubble remains a mystery. And an ever-changing target. Consider that six of the ten teams just outside the bracket on Saturday morning (s-curve spots 69-78) lost. Then we have a team like Virginia. The up-and-down Cavaliers notched a road win at Florida State, but it’s unrealistic for a team with an RPI in the mid 120’s to garner serious at-large consideration. So we have to still go a bit on potential at this point. Thus, Kentucky and Maryland are among the First Four participants.
Big Ten power paid off for Iowa this week. The Hawkeyes represent the eighth Big Ten team in the current Field of 68 after beating Wisconsin and Northwestern. By the time March rolls around, we’ll more likely end up with six or seven Big Ten teams in the Dance. Much of that will depend on whether an additional SEC or ACC team steps up to grab an at-large spot. The Mountain West remains strong with six teams in the bracket. But as MWC teams jockey for position, it might limit the number of top five seeds. We’ll have to see how it plays out.
Note: A few teams – including the First Four winners – had to be adjusted a seed line to account for conference conflicts and bracketing principles. This is a common occurrence during the actual bracketing process. For example, Iowa State drops to the 12-line because of related issues with the First Four and finding a spot for Iowa which needed to avoid another Big Ten opponent until a Regional final. While the committee attempts to avoid regular-season rematches in the first two rounds, exceptions can be made; in this case Iowa and Wichita State played but it’s the way the bracket came together.
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Maryland vs. Indiana State | Midwest Region
- Kentucky vs. Temple | West Region
- NORFOLK STATE vs. MERCER | Midwest Region
- CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN vs. LONG BEACH | East Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|EAST – Washington, DC||MIDWEST – Indianapolis|
|1) DUKE||1) MICHIGAN|
|16) LONG BEACH / CHARLESTON-SO||16) MERCER / NORFOLK ST|
|8) Mississippi||8) Notre Dame|
|9) Colorado State||9) Baylor|
|Auburn Hills||San Jose|
|5) Cincinnati||5) Miami-FL|
|12) BELMONT||12) BUCKNELL|
|4) Michigan State||4) Oregon|
|13) MID TENNESSEE ST||13) NO DAKOTA STATE|
|6) Wichita State||6) San Diego State|
|11) Iowa||11) Maryland / Indiana State|
|3) BUTLER||3) GONZAGA|
|14) VALPARAISO||14) HARVARD|
|7) UCLA||7) Wisconsin|
|10) North Carolina||10) Oklahoma State|
|2) FLORIDA||2) Louisville|
|15) SOUTHERN||15) WEBER STATE|
|WEST – Los Angeles||SOUTH – Dallas|
|San Jose||Kansas City|
|1) ARIZONA||1) KANSAS|
|16) NORTHEASTERN||16) BRYANT|
|8) Georgetown||8) Pittsburgh|
|9) Illinois||9) Colorado|
|5) Missouri||5) Ohio State|
|12) Iowa State||12) Wyoming|
|4) NEW MEXICO||4) NC State|
|13) S.F. AUSTIN||13) OHIO|
|6) Kansas State||6) VCU|
|11) Temple / Kentucky||11) Boise State|
|3) Minnesota||3) CREIGHTON|
|14) LOUISIANA TECH||14) DAVIDSON|
|7) UNLV||7) Marquette|
|10) MEMPHIS||10) Oklahoma|
|2) SYRACUSE||2) Indiana|
|15) VERMONT||15) NIAGARA|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Duke is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Kansas, Michigan, and Arizona.
Last Five teams in (at large): Iowa, Temple, Indiana State, Kentucky, Maryland
First Five teams out (at large): Arizona State, Texas A&M, Saint Louis, Saint Mary’s, BYU
Next Five teams out (at large): Rutgers, Xavier, Arkansas, Alabama, Virginia
Breakdown by Conference …
Big Ten (8): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Iowa
Big East (7): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh
Mountain West (6): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Wyoming, Boise State, Colorado State
Big 12 (6): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma, Iowa State
ACC (5): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Miami-FL, Maryland
Pac 12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon
SEC (4): Missouri, Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi
Atlantic 10 (3): Butler, VCU, Temple
Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Wichita State, Indiana State
West Coast (1): Gonzaga
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … BELMONT (Ohio Valley), BUCKNELL (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), NORTH DAKOTA ST (Summit), VALPARAISO (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), LOUISIANA TECH (WAC), NIAGARA (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), OHIO (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), LONG BEACH (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), VERMONT (American East), WEBER STATE (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN (Big South), BRYANT (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)
Jul 1, 2015, 10:05 PM EDT
Dillard becomes Oklahoma State’s fourth addition to the program.
Jul 1, 2015, 9:00 PM EDT
Next up for the United States is Italy, and they could run into hosts Greece in the semifinals.
Jul 1, 2015, 8:10 PM EDT
Jones recently received his qualifying score on the SAT, only to inform SDSU that he wanted to be released from his NLI.
Former Illinois women’s basketball players file lawsuit against athletic director, head coach and former assistant
Jul 1, 2015, 6:45 PM EDT
AD Mike Thomas stated in May that there would be an investigation into the allegations.
Jul 1, 2015, 5:03 PM EDT
KD, Stephen and Russ lead the way, and two of those three weren’t even ranked coming out of high school.
Jul 1, 2015, 4:50 PM EDT
Cal already has two members of its 2015 class on campus, and they added another to the mix Wednesday.
Jul 1, 2015, 3:54 PM EDT
He’s currently teammates with a soon-to-be Oregon Duck. Hmm …
Jul 1, 2015, 1:53 PM EDT
That makes three commitments in 24 hours for Cincinnati.
Jul 1, 2015, 12:30 PM EDT
Terrence Samuel was recruited over at UConn.
Jul 1, 2015, 11:24 AM EDT
Kansas is in South Korea repping the USA in the World University Games.
Jul 1, 2015, 10:00 AM EDT
Minnesota head coach Richard Pitino gave his take on the situation surrounding Jarvis Johnson.
Jul 1, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT
Missouri is missing sophomore forward Montaque Gill-Caesar from summer workouts.
Jun 30, 2015, 10:00 PM EDT
Virginia has some talented backcourt pieces committed in the 2016 class.
Jun 30, 2015, 9:00 PM EDT
Kansas head coach Bill Self had the jumper going before practice in South Korea.
Jun 30, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
Cincinnati landed a big man target right before the July live period.
Jun 30, 2015, 7:03 PM EDT
Shaka Smart landed the brother of a recent NBA draft pick.
Jun 30, 2015, 5:45 PM EDT
Should I mention he throws the ball off the backboard to himself?
Jun 30, 2015, 4:30 PM EDT
One of the best passers in the Class of 2016, Howard Washington, committed to Butler on Tuesday.
Jun 30, 2015, 3:35 PM EDT
Rick Barnes spoke publicly for the first time about accusations levied against Texas.
Jun 30, 2015, 2:30 PM EDT
A very weak class has some decent guards.
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