Jan 22, 2013, 8:45 AM EDT
If Arizona continues its strong play during the next two months, it’ll be hard for the Selection Committee to keep the Wildcats off the top line out West. That’s where the Wildcats reside in our latest bracket projection. At No. 4 on the s-curve, Arizona trails Duke, Kansas, and Michigan in the chase for the overall No. 1 seed. Fresh off a win at Louisville on Saturday and Cincinnati at home Monday, Syracuse is an eyelash behind at No. 5. Others on the two-line: Louisville, Indiana, and Florida. When the Gators are good, they are really good.
The bubble remains a mystery. And an ever-changing target. Consider that six of the ten teams just outside the bracket on Saturday morning (s-curve spots 69-78) lost. Then we have a team like Virginia. The up-and-down Cavaliers notched a road win at Florida State, but it’s unrealistic for a team with an RPI in the mid 120’s to garner serious at-large consideration. So we have to still go a bit on potential at this point. Thus, Kentucky and Maryland are among the First Four participants.
Big Ten power paid off for Iowa this week. The Hawkeyes represent the eighth Big Ten team in the current Field of 68 after beating Wisconsin and Northwestern. By the time March rolls around, we’ll more likely end up with six or seven Big Ten teams in the Dance. Much of that will depend on whether an additional SEC or ACC team steps up to grab an at-large spot. The Mountain West remains strong with six teams in the bracket. But as MWC teams jockey for position, it might limit the number of top five seeds. We’ll have to see how it plays out.
Note: A few teams – including the First Four winners – had to be adjusted a seed line to account for conference conflicts and bracketing principles. This is a common occurrence during the actual bracketing process. For example, Iowa State drops to the 12-line because of related issues with the First Four and finding a spot for Iowa which needed to avoid another Big Ten opponent until a Regional final. While the committee attempts to avoid regular-season rematches in the first two rounds, exceptions can be made; in this case Iowa and Wichita State played but it’s the way the bracket came together.
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Maryland vs. Indiana State | Midwest Region
- Kentucky vs. Temple | West Region
- NORFOLK STATE vs. MERCER | Midwest Region
- CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN vs. LONG BEACH | East Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|EAST – Washington, DC||MIDWEST – Indianapolis|
|1) DUKE||1) MICHIGAN|
|16) LONG BEACH / CHARLESTON-SO||16) MERCER / NORFOLK ST|
|8) Mississippi||8) Notre Dame|
|9) Colorado State||9) Baylor|
|Auburn Hills||San Jose|
|5) Cincinnati||5) Miami-FL|
|12) BELMONT||12) BUCKNELL|
|4) Michigan State||4) Oregon|
|13) MID TENNESSEE ST||13) NO DAKOTA STATE|
|6) Wichita State||6) San Diego State|
|11) Iowa||11) Maryland / Indiana State|
|3) BUTLER||3) GONZAGA|
|14) VALPARAISO||14) HARVARD|
|7) UCLA||7) Wisconsin|
|10) North Carolina||10) Oklahoma State|
|2) FLORIDA||2) Louisville|
|15) SOUTHERN||15) WEBER STATE|
|WEST – Los Angeles||SOUTH – Dallas|
|San Jose||Kansas City|
|1) ARIZONA||1) KANSAS|
|16) NORTHEASTERN||16) BRYANT|
|8) Georgetown||8) Pittsburgh|
|9) Illinois||9) Colorado|
|5) Missouri||5) Ohio State|
|12) Iowa State||12) Wyoming|
|4) NEW MEXICO||4) NC State|
|13) S.F. AUSTIN||13) OHIO|
|6) Kansas State||6) VCU|
|11) Temple / Kentucky||11) Boise State|
|3) Minnesota||3) CREIGHTON|
|14) LOUISIANA TECH||14) DAVIDSON|
|7) UNLV||7) Marquette|
|10) MEMPHIS||10) Oklahoma|
|2) SYRACUSE||2) Indiana|
|15) VERMONT||15) NIAGARA|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Duke is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Kansas, Michigan, and Arizona.
Last Five teams in (at large): Iowa, Temple, Indiana State, Kentucky, Maryland
First Five teams out (at large): Arizona State, Texas A&M, Saint Louis, Saint Mary’s, BYU
Next Five teams out (at large): Rutgers, Xavier, Arkansas, Alabama, Virginia
Breakdown by Conference …
Big Ten (8): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Iowa
Big East (7): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh
Mountain West (6): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Wyoming, Boise State, Colorado State
Big 12 (6): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma, Iowa State
ACC (5): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Miami-FL, Maryland
Pac 12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon
SEC (4): Missouri, Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi
Atlantic 10 (3): Butler, VCU, Temple
Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Wichita State, Indiana State
West Coast (1): Gonzaga
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … BELMONT (Ohio Valley), BUCKNELL (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), NORTH DAKOTA ST (Summit), VALPARAISO (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), LOUISIANA TECH (WAC), NIAGARA (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), OHIO (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), LONG BEACH (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), VERMONT (American East), WEBER STATE (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN (Big South), BRYANT (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)
Aug 23, 2014, 10:45 AM EDT
Minnesota picked up another commitment in the 2015 class on Friday night.
Aug 23, 2014, 9:30 AM EDT
Matthew Moyer is the newest member of the Syracuse Orange.
Aug 22, 2014, 11:30 PM EDT
2015 guard Eric Davis had a strong summer and is one of the better guards in the country.
Aug 22, 2014, 10:30 PM EDT
Louisville is updating its floor with the move to the ACC.
Aug 22, 2014, 9:00 PM EDT
Auburn made a recruiting move on Friday night with the addition of Danjel Purifoy.
Aug 22, 2014, 7:30 PM EDT
Missouri has a fair amount of quality teams on its non-conference schedule.
Aug 22, 2014, 6:10 PM EDT
An Oregon State incoming guard is improving in the hospital after collapsing earlier in the week.
Aug 22, 2014, 5:05 PM EDT
College Basketball Talk’s recruiting column explores the week’s topics.
Aug 22, 2014, 3:20 PM EDT
Dominic Woodson is now officially a Tennessee Volunteer.
Aug 22, 2014, 2:37 PM EDT
Aaron Brown averaged 9.9 points per game and shot 39 percent from three last season, and he’ll be eligible to play immediately.
Aug 22, 2014, 1:28 PM EDT
Having stated their intention of appealing the ruling in the Ed O’Bannon lawsuit, the NCAA filed a notice of appeal on Thursday.
Aug 22, 2014, 12:07 PM EDT
Five-star center Tyler Davis becomes Texas A&M’s first commitment, and he’s an important addition for Billy Kennedy.
Aug 22, 2014, 11:15 AM EDT
Austin Hatch, who saw his first action in a Michigan uniform on Saturday, discussed his return to the court on The Today Show.
Aug 22, 2014, 10:30 AM EDT
Upon completion, Hinkle Fieldhouse will have a brand new look while preserving the building’s storied past.
Aug 22, 2014, 9:44 AM EDT
The conference tournament will now span five days, with there being a doubleheader on Wednesday, March 11 (11 seed vs. 14 seed, 12 seed vs. 13 seed).
Aug 21, 2014, 11:06 PM EDT
More than two months after his older brother left the football program, Mickey Mitchell has decided to decommit from Ohio State.
Aug 21, 2014, 10:14 PM EDT
6-foot-7 forward Kevin Puryear was a point forward for his high school team last season.
Aug 21, 2014, 8:45 PM EDT
The Toronto Blue Jays aren’t thrilled with Creighton filing an application to trademark its logo, which was unveiled last September.
Aug 21, 2014, 7:21 PM EDT
Rick Barnes entered last season on nearly every pundit’s “hot seat” rankings, only to turn things around and win 24 games.
Aug 21, 2014, 5:55 PM EDT
Mo’ne Davis is currently focused on winning a LLWS title, but down the line she really wants to run the point at UConn.
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