Jan 22, 2013, 8:45 AM EDT
If Arizona continues its strong play during the next two months, it’ll be hard for the Selection Committee to keep the Wildcats off the top line out West. That’s where the Wildcats reside in our latest bracket projection. At No. 4 on the s-curve, Arizona trails Duke, Kansas, and Michigan in the chase for the overall No. 1 seed. Fresh off a win at Louisville on Saturday and Cincinnati at home Monday, Syracuse is an eyelash behind at No. 5. Others on the two-line: Louisville, Indiana, and Florida. When the Gators are good, they are really good.
The bubble remains a mystery. And an ever-changing target. Consider that six of the ten teams just outside the bracket on Saturday morning (s-curve spots 69-78) lost. Then we have a team like Virginia. The up-and-down Cavaliers notched a road win at Florida State, but it’s unrealistic for a team with an RPI in the mid 120’s to garner serious at-large consideration. So we have to still go a bit on potential at this point. Thus, Kentucky and Maryland are among the First Four participants.
Big Ten power paid off for Iowa this week. The Hawkeyes represent the eighth Big Ten team in the current Field of 68 after beating Wisconsin and Northwestern. By the time March rolls around, we’ll more likely end up with six or seven Big Ten teams in the Dance. Much of that will depend on whether an additional SEC or ACC team steps up to grab an at-large spot. The Mountain West remains strong with six teams in the bracket. But as MWC teams jockey for position, it might limit the number of top five seeds. We’ll have to see how it plays out.
Note: A few teams – including the First Four winners – had to be adjusted a seed line to account for conference conflicts and bracketing principles. This is a common occurrence during the actual bracketing process. For example, Iowa State drops to the 12-line because of related issues with the First Four and finding a spot for Iowa which needed to avoid another Big Ten opponent until a Regional final. While the committee attempts to avoid regular-season rematches in the first two rounds, exceptions can be made; in this case Iowa and Wichita State played but it’s the way the bracket came together.
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Maryland vs. Indiana State | Midwest Region
- Kentucky vs. Temple | West Region
- NORFOLK STATE vs. MERCER | Midwest Region
- CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN vs. LONG BEACH | East Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|EAST – Washington, DC||MIDWEST – Indianapolis|
|1) DUKE||1) MICHIGAN|
|16) LONG BEACH / CHARLESTON-SO||16) MERCER / NORFOLK ST|
|8) Mississippi||8) Notre Dame|
|9) Colorado State||9) Baylor|
|Auburn Hills||San Jose|
|5) Cincinnati||5) Miami-FL|
|12) BELMONT||12) BUCKNELL|
|4) Michigan State||4) Oregon|
|13) MID TENNESSEE ST||13) NO DAKOTA STATE|
|6) Wichita State||6) San Diego State|
|11) Iowa||11) Maryland / Indiana State|
|3) BUTLER||3) GONZAGA|
|14) VALPARAISO||14) HARVARD|
|7) UCLA||7) Wisconsin|
|10) North Carolina||10) Oklahoma State|
|2) FLORIDA||2) Louisville|
|15) SOUTHERN||15) WEBER STATE|
|WEST – Los Angeles||SOUTH – Dallas|
|San Jose||Kansas City|
|1) ARIZONA||1) KANSAS|
|16) NORTHEASTERN||16) BRYANT|
|8) Georgetown||8) Pittsburgh|
|9) Illinois||9) Colorado|
|5) Missouri||5) Ohio State|
|12) Iowa State||12) Wyoming|
|4) NEW MEXICO||4) NC State|
|13) S.F. AUSTIN||13) OHIO|
|6) Kansas State||6) VCU|
|11) Temple / Kentucky||11) Boise State|
|3) Minnesota||3) CREIGHTON|
|14) LOUISIANA TECH||14) DAVIDSON|
|7) UNLV||7) Marquette|
|10) MEMPHIS||10) Oklahoma|
|2) SYRACUSE||2) Indiana|
|15) VERMONT||15) NIAGARA|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Duke is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Kansas, Michigan, and Arizona.
Last Five teams in (at large): Iowa, Temple, Indiana State, Kentucky, Maryland
First Five teams out (at large): Arizona State, Texas A&M, Saint Louis, Saint Mary’s, BYU
Next Five teams out (at large): Rutgers, Xavier, Arkansas, Alabama, Virginia
Breakdown by Conference …
Big Ten (8): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Iowa
Big East (7): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh
Mountain West (6): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Wyoming, Boise State, Colorado State
Big 12 (6): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma, Iowa State
ACC (5): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Miami-FL, Maryland
Pac 12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon
SEC (4): Missouri, Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi
Atlantic 10 (3): Butler, VCU, Temple
Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Wichita State, Indiana State
West Coast (1): Gonzaga
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … BELMONT (Ohio Valley), BUCKNELL (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), NORTH DAKOTA ST (Summit), VALPARAISO (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), LOUISIANA TECH (WAC), NIAGARA (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), OHIO (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), LONG BEACH (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), VERMONT (American East), WEBER STATE (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN (Big South), BRYANT (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)
Sep 30, 2014, 2:10 PM EDT
Those can’t be called dorms. Maybe luxury resort housing.
Sep 30, 2014, 1:56 PM EDT
Evans may be the best point guard in the Class of 2015, but it’s up for debate.
Sep 30, 2014, 1:17 PM EDT
Ernie Kent lands his third commitment in the Class of 2015.
Sep 30, 2014, 10:22 AM EDT
The pair will replace Digger Phelps and Jalen Rose.
Sep 30, 2014, 8:48 AM EDT
The Owls may not have landed Jalen Brunson, but they did bring in an elite “legacy” in the back court.
Sep 29, 2014, 11:45 PM EDT
Long Beach State has four commits in 2015.
Sep 29, 2014, 9:50 PM EDT
Pauley Pavilion has gone under plenty of changes in the last few seasons and dealt with a flooding issue several months back.
Sep 29, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT
UNLV continues to tap into the local powerhouse.
Sep 29, 2014, 7:47 PM EDT
All four commits are ranked in the Rivals150.
Sep 29, 2014, 7:15 PM EDT
Spoiler: Kentucky is going to dunk a lot this season.
Sep 29, 2014, 6:30 PM EDT
A decision could come within the next three weeks.
Sep 29, 2014, 5:15 PM EDT
John Calipari’s loaded roster has required a new position on the Kentucky staff.
Sep 29, 2014, 3:54 PM EDT
Logwood had previously signed with Auburn.
Sep 29, 2014, 3:13 PM EDT
Spoelstra is now the head coach of the Miami Heat.
Sep 29, 2014, 2:36 PM EDT
New head coach Mike Rhoades is from the Shaka Smart coaching tree.
Sep 29, 2014, 1:36 PM EDT
Will this hurt Cuonzo Martin’s program?
Sep 29, 2014, 12:47 PM EDT
Deville Smith has completed the tough task of playing for four different schools in four seasons.
Sep 29, 2014, 11:53 AM EDT
This provides more context into why Smart did what he did.
Sep 29, 2014, 11:05 AM EDT
There is only one truly strange ranking in this top 25.
Sep 28, 2014, 11:40 PM EDT
The Yellow Jackets will have new uniforms as they look to account for the loss of four of their top five scorers from last season.
- Marcus Smart’s mom reportedly hospitalized the day he shoved Texas Tech fan 0
- Four-star point guard verbally commits to Clemson 0
- Top 2015 and 2016 prospects comment on high school-to-pro move in new report 0
- Four-star 2015 shooting guard commits to Illinois 0
- Florida State gets commitment from 7-foot-4 2015 center 2
- CBT’s Recruiting Roundup: Nebraska invades Chicago, Wake Forest lands big recruit, Wisconsin gets another system fit 0
- Four-star forward becomes Nebraska’s third 2015 commitment 0