Skip to content

No doubting ‘Canes — they’re a 1 seed in our new NCAA tourney projections

Feb 12, 2013, 8:57 AM EST

Kenny Kadji AP

Healthy and playing some sugar-sweet basketball, the Miami Hurricanes are the latest team to grab a No. 1 seed in our latest bracket.  Miami sits atop the East Region.  Despite a last-second loss at Illinois, Indiana remains the No. 1 overall seed thanks to an impressive road win at Ohio State on Sunday.  Michigan and Duke are the other top seeds.  Based on recent history, however, the race for the top line is far from over.  Arizona, Florida, Gonzaga, and Michigan State are in the mix, too.  And it’s not too late for Syracuse to move back up.  Then there’s Kansas, which put together an impressive bounce-back against rival Kansas State on Monday.

Bracket rules what they are, there are a few quirks in this edition – such as potential third-round rematches between Illinois and Gonzaga and Kentucky and Duke.  While the Selection Committee tries to avoid such rematches in the first two/three rounds, it’s not a hard-and-fast rule.  In these cases, other conflicts created the rematch scenarios.  In fact, Illinois is one a few teams that moved a seed line to avoid bracket conflicts.  A true nine seed (s-curve No. 36), the Illini couldn’t be placed in the top half of any region because of other Big Ten opponents.  Such moves are not uncommon.

As for the bottom of the bracket – or the bubble – Baylor, Temple, La Salle, Saint Mary’s, and St. John’s are the last five teams in today.  One could make a case for a handful of others. Virginia is a particularly challenging case and is the first team out.  The Cavaliers are 6-0 vs. Top 100 RPI teams – including a win at Wisconsin.  But they also have several troubling losses – none more than Old Dominion at home.  UVA also has a very weak non-conference strength of schedule.  It’s hard to be confident in the Cavaliers’ profile given the above scenario.

We have a long way to go.  Other teams knocking on the door?  Villanova, Arizona State, Massachusetts, Boise State, and Stanford.  And that might change by midweek.  It’s been one of those seasons.  Enjoy another great week of hoops.

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • St. John’s vs. La Salle | East Region
  • Temple vs. St. Mary’s | Midwest Region
  • NORFOLK STATE vs. FLORIDA GULF COAST | Midwest Region
  • UNC-ASHEVILLE vs. SOUTHERN | East Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

EASTWashington, DC MIDWEST- Indianapolis
Lexington Dayton
1) MIAMI-FL 1) INDIANA
16) UNC-ASHEVILLE / SOUTHERN 16) FLA GULF COAST / NORFOLK ST
8) CREIGHTON 8) VCU
9) MEMPHIS 9) Colorado State
Austin San Jose
5) Ohio State 5) Marquette
12) St. John’s / La Salle 12) Temple / Saint Mary’s
4) BUTLER 4) Kansas State
13) LEHIGH 13) AKRON
Philadelphia Dayton
6) Oregon 6) San Diego State
11) North Carolina 11) Colorado
3) SYRACUSE 3) Louisville
14) DAVIDSON 14) HARVARD
Auburn Hills Lexington
7) UNLV 7) NC State
10) Oklahoma 10) Iowa State
2) Michigan State 2) FLORIDA
15) VERMONT 15) NORTHEASTERN
SOUTH – Dallas WEST – Los Angeles
Auburn Hills Philadelphia
1) Michigan 1) Duke
16) BRYANT 16) LONG BEACH
8) Missouri 8) Kentucky
9) Saint Louis 9) Wichita State
Austin Kansas City
5) Oklahoma State 5) Wisconsin
12) MID TENNESSEE ST 12) BELMONT
4) Pittsburgh 4) Georgetown
13) LOUISIANA TECH 13) VALPARAISO
Salt Lake Kansas City
6) Notre Dame 6) Cincinnati
11) Baylor 11) Indiana State
3) NEW MEXICO 3) KANSAS
14) MONTANA 14) S.F. AUSTIN
Salt Lake San Jose
7) UCLA 7) Minnesota
10) Illinois 10) Mississippi
2) GONZAGA 2) ARIZONA
15) NIAGARA 15) WESTERN ILLINOIS

NOTES on the BRACKET: Indiana is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Miami-FL, Michigan, and Duke.

Last Five teams in (at large): Baylor, Temple, La Salle, Saint Mary’s, St. John’s

First Five teams out (at large): Virginia, Villanova, Arizona State, Massachusetts, Boise State

Next Five teams out (at large): Stanford, Charlotte, Bucknell, California, Florida State

Breakdown by Conference …

Big East (8): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh, St. John’s

Big Ten (7): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Illinois

Big 12 (6): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oklahoma, Iowa State

Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, VCU, Temple, La Salle, Saint Louis

ACC (4): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Miami-FL

Pac 12 (4): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon

SEC (4): Missouri, Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi

Mountain West (4): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Colorado State

Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Wichita State, Indiana State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s

Conference USA (1): Memphis

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … BELMONT (Ohio Valley), LEHIGH (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), WESTERN ILLINOIS(Summit), VALPARAISO (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), LOUISIANA TECH (WAC), NIAGARA (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), AKRON (MAC), FLORIDA GULF COAST (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), LONG BEACH (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), VERMONT (American East), MONTANA (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), UNC-ASHEVILLE (Big South), BRYANT (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)

Latest Posts
  1. BYU, Oklahoma among eight teams to participate in 2015 Diamond Head Classic

    Dec 21, 2014, 10:31 PM EST

    Lon Kruger AP

    Four of the eight teams in the field reached the NCAA tournament last season.

  2. Late Night Snacks: No. 6 Virginia, No. 17 Maryland pick up wins

    Dec 21, 2014, 8:22 PM EST

    VMI v Maryland Getty Images

    Virginia limited Harvard to 27 points, Maryland won at Oklahoma State, and Georgia picked up a solid home win.

  3. No. 17 Maryland moves to 11-1 with win at Oklahoma State

    Dec 21, 2014, 7:04 PM EST

    Jake Layman AP

    Could the Terps be the second-best team in the Big Ten? At the very least they’ve earned their place in the conversation.

  4. ACC suspends Louisville junior forward Montrezl Harrell one game

    Dec 21, 2014, 5:31 PM EST

    Ohio State v Louisville Getty Images

    Harrell was assessed a flagrant 2 foul in Saturday’s win over Western Kentucky.

  5. South Carolina coaching staff dons special holiday sweaters (PHOTO)

    Dec 21, 2014, 4:42 PM EST

    Frank Martin (Scott Phillips) Frank Martin (Scott Phillips)

    Coaches donning festive holiday sweaters doesn’t happen all that often in college basketball.

  6. Brad Stevens on Indiana speculation: ‘I’m the head coach of the Boston Celtics. This is the job.’

    Dec 21, 2014, 3:46 PM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Brad Stevens left Butler in 2013, agreeing to a six-year deal with the Boston Celtics, but that will not stop his name being linked to one specific college job.

  7. New Year’s Resolutions: Ohio State Buckeyes

    Dec 21, 2014, 3:01 PM EST

    AP AP

    The Buckeyes are 9-2, dropping both of their key non-conferences games against ranked opponents.

  8. Harvard’s first half offensive struggles tie unwanted NCAA record

    Dec 21, 2014, 1:43 PM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Harvard did not set the record for lowest field goal percentage or lowest first-half points, but the Crimson did tie an NCAA record on Sunday afternoon.

  9. Jim Boeheim and Jay Wright want to keep Syracuse-Villanova rivalry going

    Dec 21, 2014, 1:15 PM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    The Orange and Wildcats have split a home-and-home series since the old Big East disbanded several years ago.

  10. Louisville’s Montrezl Harrell apologizes for ejection (VIDEO)

    Dec 21, 2014, 11:15 AM EST

    AP AP

    The Louisville forward spoke about the incident that took place at the end of the first half against Western Kentucky following the game.

  11. Ben Simmons throws an alley-oop to himself off the backboard (VIDEO)

    Dec 21, 2014, 10:00 AM EST

    Kelly Kline/Under Armour Kelly Kline/Under Armour

    The nation’s top recruit also dropped 37 points in a win for Montverde Academy (Florida)

  12. No. 16 Washington hangs on to beat No. 15 Oklahoma in Las Vegas

    Dec 21, 2014, 12:10 AM EST

    Lorenzo Romar Lorenzo Romar

    With pieces that fit together better than last season’s 17-15 squad, the Huskies are off to a 10-0 start.

  13. George Mason beats preseason MAAC favorite Iona (VIDEO)

    Dec 20, 2014, 10:26 PM EST

    George Mason Patriots vs the Old Dominion Monarchs George Mason Patriots vs the Old Dominion Monarchs

    George Mason’s last win over a Division I opponent prior to Saturday came against another MAAC program, Manhattan, on November 29.

  14. POSTERIZED: Notre Dame’s Demetrius Jackson dunks on Purdue 7-footer (VIDEO)

    Dec 20, 2014, 9:00 PM EST

    Demetrius Jackson (AP Photo) Demetrius Jackson (AP Photo)

    Jackson scored 22 points, with two coming on an emphatic dunk on Purdue freshman Isaac Haas.

  15. Late Night Snacks: Villanova survives Syracuse while UNC, SMU get big wins

    Dec 20, 2014, 8:41 PM EST

    Jayvaughn Pinkston (Getty Images) Getty Images

    It’s already been a busy day in college hoops, with two buzzer-beaters and two ranked teams already going down.

  16. Chris Thomas, Malcolm Riley lead Texas Southern past No. 25 Michigan State

    Dec 20, 2014, 7:57 PM EST

    Mike Davis Mike Davis

    While Michigan State’s 4-for-21 night from three didn’t help matters, Texas Southern shot better than 53 percent from the field.

  17. Report: Former Marquette guard/forward transferring to Iowa State

    Dec 20, 2014, 7:18 PM EST

    Deonte Burton, Tim Coleman Deonte Burton, Tim Coleman

    Burton was one of two sophomores to leave the Marquette program earlier this month.

  18. No. 1 Kentucky dismantles UCLA

    Dec 20, 2014, 5:46 PM EST

    kentucky ucla AP

    Kentucky completely embarrassed UCLA on Saturday.

  19. Wake Forest freshman guard suspended six games for violation of NCAA rules

    Dec 20, 2014, 5:04 PM EST

    cd0ymzcznguwzdbhnduynddiytjhm2yyzthlmtjjotqwyyznpwrmm2riyzjmntcznwyymwm1yzy1zmqxndg1ztbimtdi AP

    Mitchell Wilbekin could miss up to six games, and classmates Cornelius Hudson and Rondale Watson missed Saturday’s game for conduct detrimental to the team.