Skip to content

No. 4 Michigan upset by Penn State, how worrisome is their defense?

Feb 27, 2013, 9:14 PM EDT

Jermaine Marshall, Mitch McGary

The good folks down in Lawrence, KS, can probably count themselves Penn State fans after Wednesday night.

The Nittany Lions erased a 15 point second half deficit to knock off No. 4 Michigan 84-78 as the Wolverines took over sole possession of first place in the “worst loss of the season” standings.

I’m not talking about point spreads. I’m not talking about upsets. I’m talking about worst losses, and it doesn’t get much worse than this. Penn State was 0-14 in the Big Ten. They were picked to finish at the bottom of the Big Ten before they lost a first team all-Big Ten player in Tim Frazier to a ruptured achilles tendon. Pat Chambers’ club entered the game 200th in the RPI.

In a vacuum, that’s ugly.

But what makes it worse is what the loss means for the Wolverines. They are now two games behind Indiana in the Big Ten standings, failing to capitalize on the Hoosier’s loss to Minnesota last night. Michigan hosts Indiana in the final game of the regular season. They would have had a chance to at least earn a share of the regular season title by winning that game. Not anymore.

This could also end up costing Michigan a No. 1 seed. The Wolverines were already trending in the wrong direction, and adding a horrific loss to their resume clearly does not help. Michigan still has a chance — they host Indiana and Michigan State at home and still have the Big Ten tournament to play — but can a team that blows a 15 point second half lead to Penn State really run the table in the Big Ten with that kind of schedule?

But all that is, in the end, moot.

College basketball is about the NCAA tournament which means that what people aren’t going to remember if Michigan gets a No. 1 seed or wins one of the two Big Ten titles; they’re going to remember whether or not Michigan makes the Final Four or wins the national title.

And as of right now, can we really trust Michigan to be good enough defensively to make the Final Four?

The Big Lead looked at teams that have made the Final Four in the last five seasons. Only two of them had a defensive efficiency that ranked outside the top 30: Butler and VCU in 2011. Michigan is 42nd in defensive efficiency, according to Kenpom. According to John Gasaway’s Tuesday Truths column, Michigan has a defense that would rank sixth in the Big Ten.

And all of those numbers?

They were determined before Michigan gave up 84 points — 84 points!!! — to Penn State — Penn State!!!

Those red flags just got a bit bigger.

( MORNING UPDATE: Penn State scored 1.22 PPP against Michigan’s defense last night, which dropped the Wolverines to 59th in Kenpom’s defensive efficiency ratings. This performance has been coming, however; UM has given up 1.10 PPP over their last seven games. This is becoming a huge issue.)

You can find Rob on twitter @RobDauster.

Latest Posts
  1. 2014-15 Season Preview: The Top 20 Perimeter Attacks

    Oct 23, 2014, 1:38 PM EDT

    Rondae Hollis-Jefferson AP

    Who are the top 20 perimeters in the country this season?

  2. UNC AD Bubba Cunningham joins Dan Patrick to discuss the academic scandal (VIDEO)

    Oct 23, 2014, 12:04 PM EDT

    (AP Photo) (AP Photo)

    This scandal will be a stain on North Carolina’s sports and academic programs for a long time.

  3. Throwback Thursday: Dahntay Jones dunks, does pushups on defender (VIDEO)

    Oct 23, 2014, 11:07 AM EDT

    Screen Shot 2014-10-23 at 11.05.30 AM

    This is about as embarrassing as being POSTERIZED can get.

  4. Top 25 Countdown: No. 12 Wichita State

    Oct 23, 2014, 9:59 AM EDT

    Ron Baker, Fred VanVleet, Cleanthony Early

    The Shockers went to the Final Four in 2013 and undefeated in 2014. What is next for them?

  5. South Dakota State’s Cody Larson thrives despite return home amidst unmet expectations

    Oct 22, 2014, 10:46 PM EDT

    Cody Larson (AP Photo) Cody Larson (AP Photo)

    Cody Larson was South Dakotas Next Big Thing. He returned in infamy, but that has not stopped him from succeeding.

  6. Wisconsin raises more than $276,000 for cancer research

    Oct 22, 2014, 10:14 PM EDT

    Bo Ryan Bo Ryan

    Wisconsin held its third annual “Shooting Down Cancer” event Wednesday, with their goal being to #MakeBoPay.

  7. Two Memphis players to miss practice time for health reasons

    Oct 22, 2014, 9:13 PM EDT

    Austin Nichols AP

    Austin Nichols is the reigning American Athletic Conference ROY, and sophomore Avery Woodson is expected to compete for minutes in a crowded by inexperienced backcourt.

  8. Fresno State guard knocks down five straight half-court shots (VIDEO)

    Oct 22, 2014, 7:03 PM EDT

    Cezar Guerrero Cezar Guerrero

    Cezar Guerrero knocked down five straight from half-court during the team’s Red and White Hoops Night event Tuesday.

  9. Newcomer’s knee issue stretches Oregon’s thin rotation even further

    Oct 22, 2014, 6:43 PM EDT

    altman AP

    Oregon didn’t have much depth to begin with due to various personnel issues, so Michael Chandler’s lingering knee problem is a major concern.

  10. Bruce Pearl invades marketing class to promote ‘Pearl Jam’ (VIDEO)

    Oct 22, 2014, 5:00 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    People don’t come more intense than Bruce Pearl.

  11. Three-star guard commits to SMU, reclassifies to 2016

    Oct 22, 2014, 4:25 PM EDT

    Larry Brown Larry Brown

    Given SMU’s depth on the perimeter, LaGerald Vick’s decision to move back in classes will help both parties in the future.

  12. 2014-15 Season Preview: 20 Impact Freshmen

    Oct 22, 2014, 4:06 PM EDT

    Justin Jackson (left) and Jahlil Okafor (right) at the McDonald's All-American Game Justin Jackson (left) and Jahlil Okafor (right) at the McDonald's All-American Game

    College basketball will have plenty of impact freshmen this season. Here’s a look at some that could step in and contribute right away.

  13. Report: Texas plans to start paying their athletes $10,000 stipend

    Oct 22, 2014, 3:18 PM EDT

    Rick Barnes AP

    The Longhorns are the first school in the country to do this.

  14. Stanford lands a commitment from four-star seven-footer

    Oct 22, 2014, 2:55 PM EDT

    dawkins Getty Images

    The Cardinal now have three four-star recruits in the Class of 2015.

  15. UNC investigation states bogus classes pushed by academic counselors to athletes

    Oct 22, 2014, 2:09 PM EDT

    Roy Williams Getty Images

    Wednesday’s report is much more damning than either of the previous two that have been released.

  16. SEC preseason media poll and all-SEC team announced

    Oct 22, 2014, 1:00 PM EDT

    SEClogo

    There is one big name that wasn’t named to the preseason first team.

  17. 2014-2015 Season Preview: NDSU, SDSU take step back in Summit League hierarchy

    Oct 22, 2014, 12:00 PM EDT

    Scott Sutton (AP Photo) Scott Sutton (AP Photo)

    The top half of the Summit League will be a tight race all season long.

  18. The Big East releases their preseason poll, all-league teams

    Oct 22, 2014, 11:00 AM EDT

    BigEastLogo

    The Big East coaches love Villanova, but are they sleeping on Marquette?

  19. Report: ULM freshman charged with rape

    Oct 22, 2014, 10:00 AM EDT

    keith richard AP

    ULM has some off-the-court issues to address with the season looming.

  20. Top 25 Countdown: No. 13 VCU Rams

    Oct 22, 2014, 9:00 AM EDT

    Treveon Graham (AP Photo) Treveon Graham (AP Photo)

    Fun fact about Shaka Smart: He has still never won a conference regular season title.