Skip to content

1 seeds still up for grabs in new NCAA tourney projections

Mar 8, 2013, 1:15 PM EST

Kendall Williams AP

We should be in for an exciting week.  It’s not often that so many potential at-large spots and seeding questions remain this close to Selection Sunday.  Which means several teams – many from the SEC in particular – will be paying close attention to conference tournament results.  A surprise winner or two could jolt the at-large pool.

For now, Duke reclaims the overall top seed.  Ryan Kelly has returned and is playing at a high level.  That brings the Blue Devils’ full profile back into play, and it’s pretty good.  But the race isn’t over.  Gonzaga, Kansas, Indiana, Louisville, Georgetown, New Mexico, and a second Big Ten team are all contenders for a No. 1 seed.  Conference tournaments could play a decisive role.

The bubble remains what it is.  So despite some losses this week, not a lot has changed.  Thankfully, a week remains to help sort things out.  Given the turmoil, several teams could still make a late push.  We have a long way to go and a short time to get there.  Buckle up.

Quick note: As we’ve entered conference tournament play, teams in ALL-CAPS no longer appear in the bracket.  We’ll begin using the CAPS as a indication of a team’s automatic bid.  The first of which will be handed out on Saturday.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Virginia vs. Tennessee | East Region
  • Iowa State vs. La Salle | South Region
  • Norfolk State vs. Charleston-Southern | South Region
  • Southern vs. Northeastern | Midwest Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

EASTWashington, DC MIDWEST- Indianapolis              
Philadelphia Dayton
1) Duke 1) INDIANA
16) Mercer 16) Southern / Northeastern
8) Illinois 8) Missouri
9) Memphis 9) Cincinnati
San Jose Salt Lake
5) Arizona 5) Saint Louis
12) Belmont 12) Middle Tennesse State
4) Marquette 4) UNLV
13) Bucknell 13) Louisiana Tech
Kansas City Austin
6) Pittsburgh 6) VCU
11) Tennessee / Virginia 11) Boise State
3) Kansas State 3) Miami-FL
14) S.F. Austin 14) Montana
Auburn Hills Lexington
7) Butler 7) Oregon
10) California 10) Wichita State
2) Michigan State 2) Louisville
15) Niagara 15) South Dakota State
SOUTH – Dallas WEST – Los Angeles
Kansas City Salt Lake
1) Kansas 1) Gonzaga
16) Norfolk St / Charleston-So 16) Long Beach State
8) Colorado State 8) San Diego State
9) Creighton 9) Colorado
San Jose Dayton
5) Wisconsin 5) Oklahoma State
12) Saint Mary’s 12) Villanova
4) Syracuse 4) Ohio State
13) Davidson 13) Akron
Lexington Auburn Hills
6) Notre Dame 6) UCLA
11) Iowa State / La Salle 11) Temple
3) Florida 3) Michigan
14) Stony Brook 14) Valparaiso
Austin Philadelphia
7) North Carolina 7) NC State
10) Minnesota 10) Oklahoma
2) New Mexico 2) Georgetown
15) Robert Morris 15) Princeton

NOTES on the BRACKET: Duke is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Gonzaga, Indiana, and Kansas. Next in line: Louisville, New Mexico, Georgetown, Michigan State.

Last Five teams in (at large): Saint Mary’s, La Salle, Iowa State, Tennessee, Virginia

First Five teams out (at large): Kentucky, Mississippi, Alabama, Iowa, Massachusetts

Next Five teams out (at large): Arkansas, Maryland, Baylor, Xavier, Providence

Breakdown by Conference …

Big East (8): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Villanova

Big Ten (7): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Illinois

Mountain West (5): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Colorado State, Boise State

Pac 12 (5): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, California

Big 12 (5): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Iowa State

Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, VCU, Temple, La Salle, Saint Louis

ACC (5): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Miami-FL, Virginia

SEC (3): Missouri, Florida, Tennessee

Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s

Conference USA (1): Memphis

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … BELMONT (Ohio Valley), BUCKNELL (Patriot), MIDDLE TENNESSE ST (Sunbelt), SOUTH DAKOTA STATE(Summit), VALPARAISO (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), LOUISIANA TECH (WAC), NIAGARA (MAAC), STEPHEN F. AUSTIN (Southland), AKRON (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), PRINCETON (IVY), LONG BEACH (Big West), NORTHEASTERN (Colonial), STONY BROOK (American East), MONTANA (Big Sky), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), CHARLESTON-SOUTHERN (Big South), ROBERT MORRIS (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)

Latest Posts
  1. Late Night Snacks: No. 10 Texas wins the 2K Classic without Isaiah Taylor

    Nov 21, 2014, 11:55 PM EST

    AP AP

    Here is everything you need to know from Friday night hoops.

  2. The ‘Chaminade Crew’ and how Jonathan Holmes has changed the culture of Texas hoops

    Nov 21, 2014, 11:05 PM EST

    AP AP

    Like the rest of the 2011 recruiting class, Jonathan Holmes could have left Texas. Instead he made the decision to stay, and he and the Longhorns are better because of it.

  3. Early struggles of Syracuse, Kaleb Joseph example of the downside of early entry

    Nov 21, 2014, 8:48 PM EST

    AP Photo AP Photo

    Syracuse is in this position because Tyler Ennis turned out to be better than anyone expected.

  4. UPDATE: Texas loses starting point guard to left wrist injury, out 4-6 weeks

    Nov 21, 2014, 8:00 PM EST

    Anthony Clemmons, Isaiah Taylor Anthony Clemmons, Isaiah Taylor

    Isaiah Taylor injured his left wrist on a hard fall with just over two minutes remaining in Texas’ win over Iowa Thursday night.

  5. UConn advances to Puerto Rico Tip-Off championship game with 75-64 win over Dayton

    Nov 21, 2014, 4:45 PM EST

    AP AP

    UConn will play the winner of Boston College-West Virginia.

  6. Burning Questions: If you could change one on-court rule in college basketball, what would it be?

    Nov 21, 2014, 4:30 PM EST

    ncb_g_shot_clock1x_600x600 Getty Images

    Let’s just say that we aren’t too fond of the current shot clock or the rules regarding hanging on the rim.

  7. Four-star power forward becomes Mississippi State’s second 2016 commitment

    Nov 21, 2014, 3:43 PM EST

    Rick Ray Rick Ray

    Mississippi State’s taken steps forward when it comes to improving the depth and talent in their program.

  8. Burning Questions: Who’s poised to surprise (or disappoint) people in the Big Ten?

    Nov 21, 2014, 1:53 PM EST

    Tom Izzo Tom Izzo

    Two of the four writers picked Indiana as a team that can surprise people in the Big Ten.

  9. Texas A&M receives good news regarding transfer guard

    Nov 21, 2014, 1:02 PM EST

    Danuel House Danuel House

    Less than a week after TaShawn Thomas was cleared to play, Danuel House received the good news regarding his waiver request.

  10. New Mexico point guard out indefinitely with left ankle injury

    Nov 21, 2014, 12:13 PM EST

    Cullen Neal Cullen Neal

    Cullen Neal leads the Lobos in scoring and is second in assists, so this is a big loss.

  11. Friday’s Pregame Shootaround: Ten ranked teams, including No. 1 Kentucky, in action

    Nov 21, 2014, 11:10 AM EST

    South Carolina State v Virginia Getty Images

    Also of note is George Washington’s trip to Charlottesville, and Dayton facing UConn in Puerto Rico.

  12. Minnesota, Temple included in next year’s Puerto Rico Tipoff field

    Nov 21, 2014, 9:52 AM EST

    Richard Pitino AP

    Both Miami (2007) and Minnesota (2010) have won the event in the past.

  13. Late Night Snacks: No. 22 SMU, No. 23 Syracuse fall

    Nov 21, 2014, 1:39 AM EST

    Indiana's James Blackmon Jr. (AP Photo) Indiana's James Blackmon Jr. (AP Photo)

    There was also a double-overtime game in Charleston, and a buzzer-beating tip-in in Puerto Rico.

  14. California takes a step forward in comfortable win over No. 23 Syracuse

    Nov 21, 2014, 12:36 AM EST

    Cuonzo Martin, David Kravish Cuonzo Martin, David Kravish

    One impressive stretch of perimeter shooting may stand out, but Cal’s execution against the Syracuse zone was good for most of the night.