Skip to content

St. Mary’s will sweat out the next week on the bubble

Mar 11, 2013, 11:47 PM EDT

WCC Basketball Tournament - Semifinals San Diego v Saint Mary's Getty Images

It’s going to be a long, long week in Moraga, CA.

After losing to No. 1 Gonzaga 65-51 in the WCC title game on Monday, the Gaels are officially a bubble team, missing out on a chance to win the league’s automatic bid and ensure themselves a trip to the Big Dance.

And the problem?

St. Mary’s looks like they are headed for the wrong side of the bubble.

The Gaels are now 27-6 on the season, but their profile is entirely built around a win over Creighton, who currently sits at 25th in the RPI. Beyond that? St. Mary’s has a pair of wins over BYU and … a win over Harvard at home … umm … and 22 wins over teams ranked outside the RPI’s top 100.

Now, the Gaels are 19-3 since Christmas. Those three losses all came to the No. 1 team in the country, Gonzaga. That’s not bad, but the problem is that by going 0-3 against the Zags, St. Mary’s missed out on their only three chances to land another marquee win. They needed one. Their non-conference schedule is ranked 121st nationally, and they have two sub-100 losses (Pacific and Georgia Tech) and a loss at Northern Iowa.

Oh, and it looks like they may have just lost one of their starters, Jorden Page, to a knee injury.

Is that a strong enough to earn an at-large bid?

Well, let’s compare them to other bubble teams. Tennessee has four top 50 wins — including Florida — and nine top 100 wins. Kentucky has seven top 100 wins and has beaten Missouri and Florida since Nerlens Noel went down. Say what you will about those two teams, it’s tough to find a way to argue that St. Mary’s has a stronger profile.

And all the rest of those high-major bubble teams will have more chances to build on their resume.

I want the Gaels in the tournament just like I want Middle Tennessee State to go dancing. But just because a good mid-major team is ‘good’ doesn’t mean that the committee is going to cut them a break.

It’s all about the profile. The Gaels simply may not have enough on it.

You can find Rob on twitter @RobDauster.

Latest Posts
  1. Highlights from San Francisco’s ‘Hilltop Hoopsfest’ event (VIDEO)

    Oct 19, 2014, 10:57 PM EDT

    Rex Walters AP

    Junior forward Mark Tollefsen may be one of the best dunkers in America.

  2. Louisville takes next step in season preparations with their annual Red-White Scrimmage

    Oct 19, 2014, 8:49 PM EDT

    Chris Jones, Dillon Avare Chris Jones, Dillon Avare

    Chris Jones’ three-pointer in the final seconds gave the White team a 75-72 win over the Red.

  3. Fractured foot to sideline Maryland forward 4-6 weeks

    Oct 19, 2014, 6:59 PM EDT

    Evan Smotrycz AP

    Evan Smotrycz was re-evaluated Saturday after suffering the injury at the end of practice Friday.

  4. Durand Johnson returns in Pittsburgh’s Blue-Gold Scrimmage

    Oct 19, 2014, 6:36 PM EDT

    Durand Johnson, Zach Gordon Durand Johnson, Zach Gordon

    Johnson last played in live action on January 11, when he suffered a torn ACL in the Panthers’ loss to Virginia.

  5. 6-foot-10 center verbally commits to Colorado State

    Oct 19, 2014, 4:42 PM EDT

    Larry Eustachy Larry Eustachy

    With three of their five seniors being front court players, Colorado State needs to add depth ahead of the 2015-16 season. Sunday’s commitment will help in this area.

  6. Led by senior forward Alan Williams, UCSB capable of earning first NCAA tournament bid since 2011

    Oct 19, 2014, 3:00 PM EDT

    UCSB's Alan Williams (AP Photo) AP

    Alan Williams gets most of the attention nationally, but he won’t be alone as the Gauchos look to rebound from last year’s disappointing finish.

  7. La Salle gets commitment from 2015 guard

    Oct 19, 2014, 2:00 PM EDT

    Wichita St. v La Salle Getty Images

    La Salle nabbed a talented combo guard.

  8. Kentucky center Dakari Johnson has lost 20 pounds

    Oct 19, 2014, 1:00 PM EDT

    Dakari Johnson AP

    A more mobile Dakari Johnson could be a scary thought.

  9. 2014-15 Big West Preview: UC Irvine, UCSB lead highly competitive race

    Oct 19, 2014, 12:00 PM EDT

    UC Irvine head coach Russell Turner (AP Photo) UC Irvine head coach Russell Turner (AP Photo)

    An entertaining regular season was followed by a wild conference tournament in 2013-14. Will that once again be the case?

  10. Purdue tests out ultra-big line-up during scrimmage

    Oct 19, 2014, 10:45 AM EDT

    A.J. Hammons AP

    Purdue is in the unique position of having two talented centers on the roster.

  11. Freshman Sam Logwood wins New Mexico dunk contest (VIDEO)

    Oct 19, 2014, 9:30 AM EDT

    adidas adidas

    Freshman wing Sam Logwood of New Mexico can get up.

  12. Three-star guard/forward becomes Texas Tech’s second 2015 commitment

    Oct 19, 2014, 1:10 AM EDT

    Texas Tech Texas Basketball AP

    With Texas Tech’s top two guards being upperclassmen, C.J. Williamson’s commitment is an important one for the program.

  13. Highlights from Arizona’s annual Red-Blue Game (VIDEO)

    Oct 19, 2014, 12:25 AM EDT

    Rondae Hollis-Jefferson AP

    Rondae Hollis-Jefferson led the victorious Red team with 13 points, and Stanley Johnson scored a game-high 17 to lead the Blue team.

  14. Chris Hawkins wins dunk contest at Memphis Madness (VIDEO)

    Oct 18, 2014, 10:59 PM EDT

    Josh Pastner Josh Pastner

    Southwest Tennessee CC transfer Chris Hawkins showed off his jumping ability in winning the dunk contest at Memphis Madness.

  15. Michigan State’s Tom Izzo discusses possibility of a game at The Palestra

    Oct 18, 2014, 9:30 PM EDT

    AP AP

    Michigan State’s played in many different places throughout Izzo tenure, but they’ve yet to visit The Palestra.

  16. UConn unveils championship banners at ‘First Night’ (VIDEO)

    Oct 18, 2014, 8:06 PM EDT

    Geno Auriemma, Kevin Ollie Geno Auriemma, Kevin Ollie

    UConn showed off its new trophies while also paying homage to some former greats during their annual preseason event Friday night.

  17. Indian Hills CC big man to announce college choice Monday

    Oct 18, 2014, 6:43 PM EDT

    Indian Hills Community College Indian Hills Community College

    Arkansas, Iowa State, Rutgers and Washington remain in contention for 6-foot-9 Malik Dime.

  18. Columbia loses two players, including guard who was expected to factor into their rotation

    Oct 18, 2014, 5:15 PM EDT

    Columbia University Athletics Columbia University Athletics

    Meiko Lyles’ departure means that one of Columbia’s other supplementary pieces will need to step forward.

  19. Report: Auburn commit Trayvon Reed’s trial gets delayed

    Oct 18, 2014, 4:00 PM EDT

    NBPA Top 100 camp NBPA Top 100 camp

    Trayvon Reed will have to wait until December to continue his legal proceedings..

  20. Behind Thompson and Comer, Dunk City looks to take flight once again this March

    Oct 18, 2014, 3:02 PM EDT

    AP AP

    Both Bernard Thompson and Brett Comer started all three games for Florida Gulf Coast during the 2013 Sweet 16 run. After a one-year hiatus, the Dunk City duo want back in the field of 68.