Mar 15, 2013, 5:23 PM EDT
The most important player for Michigan as we head into Selection Sunday isn’t their Player of the Year point guard, Trey Burke, or their first-team all-Big Ten shooting guard, Tim Hardaway.
It isn’t Nik Stauskas and it isn’t Mitch McGary, either.
The guy that will be the determining factor in how far Michigan will end up going in the NCAA tournament is Glenn Robinson III.
And it’s simple, really. Michigan is not a very good defensive basketball team. They weren’t early in the year, and they’ve progressively gotten worse as teams have started to figure out where they are the most vulnerable. Just look at what happened to them on Friday. After Wisconsin started ice-cold from the field, scoring all of six points in the first 13:34 while shooting 3-20 from the floor, they still managed to take home a 68-59 win in the Big Ten quarterfinals. Robinson had eight points on 4-8 shooting, another quiet night that has become an all-too-familiar trend.
Michigan gave up 62 points in the final 26 minutes to Wisconsin, who shot 19-37 from the floor during that stretch. That’s bad.
So what’s wrong with the Wolverines? Well, McGary big and burly, but he doesn’t have the lateral quickness to guard in space. Burke can make plays defensively, but he gambles and can also be beaten off the dribble.
Perhaps most importantly, when Michigan is at their best, they have four perimeter players on the floor, meaning only one of McGary, Jordan Morgan and Jon Horford plays at one time. That puts them at a serious disadvantage in the paint regardless of who is on the court, whether Robinson is at the four or John Beilein is playing four guards.
Here’s the thing about Robinson, however: not only is he the biggest wing that Jon Beilein has at his disposal, but he’s also the most talented. So not only does he have the best chance at holding his own in the post and on the glass, he’s the most capable of taking advantage of a mismatch on the perimeter.
The problem is that he doesn’t do that often enough.
Robinson is a knockdown three point shooter that has terrific athleticism and length, and at 6-foot-7, he’s mobile enough to put the ball on the floor and get to the rim in a single dribble. But he settles, limiting himself to being nothing but a spot-up three-point shooter.
The whole reason that Michigan was considered a title contender was because they had NBA caliber athletes playing the same roles in the same offense that Beilein has always run. But when Robinson disappears and Michigan is forced to use Spike Albrecht at the two, sliding Hardaway and Stauskas to the forward spots, it takes some of that advantage away.
And it really hurts them defensively.
So unless GR3 decides to play like the potential first round pick that he is, Michigan is not going to live up to their potential.
You can find Rob on twitter @RobDauster.
Sep 21, 2014, 8:25 PM EDT
Danny Manning finally has his first 2015 commitment and the player’s a very important one with regard to the future of the program.
Sep 21, 2014, 7:13 PM EDT
The Vikings have added some depth to their front court for the 2015-16 season.
Sep 21, 2014, 5:14 PM EDT
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Sep 21, 2014, 3:45 PM EDT
A good read on Colorado State’s new senior transfer, Antwan Scott, overcoming family obstacles while still succeeding on the court.
Sep 21, 2014, 2:40 PM EDT
Washington State picked up a commitment from a 2015 forward on Sunday.
Sep 21, 2014, 12:50 PM EDT
A former UC Irvine forward could make his NFL debut on Sunday with the Arizona Cardinals.
Sep 21, 2014, 10:43 AM EDT
Wisconsin picked up a 2015 commitment on Sunday morning.
Sep 21, 2014, 10:30 AM EDT
LSU is on the board in the 2017 class.
Sep 21, 2014, 9:30 AM EDT
Five-star 2016 guard Kobi Simmons is electric.
Sep 20, 2014, 11:29 PM EDT
Three Mountain West programs and one Big Ten program among the schools on the Las Vegas native’s list.
Sep 20, 2014, 7:50 PM EDT
The elite PG from New Jersey had his first in-person meeting with Kentucky head coach John Calipari on Thursday.
Sep 20, 2014, 6:18 PM EDT
The South Charleston HS floor general was one of the state’s best players last season, and he could prep for a year before joining the WVU program.
Sep 20, 2014, 5:03 PM EDT
The son of a former national champion has made a name for himself by scoring 28 points per game as a junior.
Sep 20, 2014, 3:35 PM EDT
Mount St. Mary’s rewarded head coach Jamion Christian with an extension.
Sep 20, 2014, 2:00 PM EDT
Gonzaga has one of its deepest teams of all time and the Bulldogs are challenging themselves with a difficult non-conference schedule.
Sep 20, 2014, 12:45 PM EDT
Bradley forward Auston Barnes has been charged with misdemeanor domestic battery following an August arrest.
Sep 20, 2014, 11:30 AM EDT
Pitt and head coach Jamie Dixon no longer hold a commitment from a former 2016 recruit.
Sep 20, 2014, 10:15 AM EDT
A three-star forward has four schools that are heavily involved.
Sep 20, 2014, 9:00 AM EDT
Matt McQuaid can really light it up from the perimeter.
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