Skip to content

It’s Selection Sunday: What will be the talking points?

Mar 17, 2013, 7:45 AM EDT

NCAA_Logo AP

By the time the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee makes it back into the conference room on Sunday morning, the at-large bids will have long-been decided.

That’s always the case, as the committee will have argued their way through — for hours and hours and hours — all of the teams that are sitting on the bubble, coming up with a ranked order. The way things worked out this season, with the final game of the day with any bubble implications wrapping up around 6 p.m. ET, that fact was virtually assured.

They have decided whether or not Ole Miss will get an at-large bid if they don’t beat Florida and get the SEC’s automatic bid on Sunday afternoon. Whether the Rebels lose by 50 or because the referees pulled another Richmond is irrelevant.

Kentucky’s wait on Selection Sunday will be ‘agonizing’

In our latest bracket projection, we have Ole Miss as the second-to-last team in the tournament. But where things get interesting are if the committee currently has Ole Miss out of the tournament field with a loss, because that means there needs to be a contingency plan. If Ole Miss wins, they get slotted somewhere. If they lose, they drop out of the field and whoever that last team on the cut line is — Middle Tennessee State, Tennessee, La Salle, whoever — gets their spot.

While the focus of tournament talk during the week almost always seem to focus on the bubble — especially when a team like Kentucky is involved in that conversation — much of Saturday and essentially all of Sunday involves around finalizing the seed list and putting those teams into the bracket.

NCAA tournament projections: Is your team in the Big Dance?

Who gets the No. 1 seeds? Does, say, Gonzaga really have a stronger profile than New Mexico? Should Louisville or Indiana get the Midwest and the cozy confines of Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis? How is it possible that Team X is seeded above Team Y when they both played Team Z and Team X got blown out twice and Team Y beat them? How can five Atlantic 10 teams get slotted into the bracket if three are six or seven seeds and two more are 10 or 11 seeds?

And that doesn’t even take into account the games that are being played today. What if:

  • What if Ohio State beats Wisconsin? Can they climb up to the No. 2 seed line?
  • What is Wisconsin beats Ohio State? Are they a No. 3 seed?
  • Where do North Carolina get bracketed if they beat Miami, which would be their best win of the season?

As the committee builds the bracket throughout Sunday, they build it with these contingencies in mind. And if any of Sunday’s outcomes will significantly change one team’s profile — and remember, the committee’s goal is to minimize just how much value they give to the most recent results — they will build a separate bracket. Committee chair Mike Bobinski told us at the mock selection committee last month that there was one year where the committee had to build six different brackets on Sunday.

So yes, there will be plenty to discuss in that conference room until the brackets are announced at 6 p.m. ET on CBS.

And those discussions and decisions will play a major role in what the bracket you fill out for your office pool will look like.

Those conversations just won’t have all that much to do with the bubble’s cut line.

You can find Rob on twitter @RobDauster.

Latest Posts
  1. South Dakota State’s Cody Larson thrives despite return home amidst unmet expectations

    Oct 22, 2014, 10:46 PM EDT

    Cody Larson (AP Photo) Cody Larson (AP Photo)

    Cody Larson was South Dakotas Next Big Thing. He returned in infamy, but that has not stopped him from succeeding.

  2. Wisconsin raises more than $276,000 for cancer research

    Oct 22, 2014, 10:14 PM EDT

    Bo Ryan Bo Ryan

    Wisconsin held its third annual “Shooting Down Cancer” event Wednesday, with their goal being to #MakeBoPay.

  3. Two Memphis players to miss practice time for health reasons

    Oct 22, 2014, 9:13 PM EDT

    Austin Nichols AP

    Austin Nichols is the reigning American Athletic Conference ROY, and sophomore Avery Woodson is expected to compete for minutes in a crowded by inexperienced backcourt.

  4. Fresno State guard knocks down five straight half-court shots (VIDEO)

    Oct 22, 2014, 7:03 PM EDT

    Cezar Guerrero Cezar Guerrero

    Cezar Guerrero knocked down five straight from half-court during the team’s Red and White Hoops Night event Tuesday.

  5. Newcomer’s knee issue stretches Oregon’s thin rotation even further

    Oct 22, 2014, 6:43 PM EDT

    altman AP

    Oregon didn’t have much depth to begin with due to various personnel issues, so Michael Chandler’s lingering knee problem is a major concern.

  6. Bruce Pearl invades marketing class to promote ‘Pearl Jam’ (VIDEO)

    Oct 22, 2014, 5:00 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    People don’t come more intense than Bruce Pearl.

  7. Three-star guard commits to SMU, reclassifies to 2016

    Oct 22, 2014, 4:25 PM EDT

    Larry Brown Larry Brown

    Given SMU’s depth on the perimeter, LaGerald Vick’s decision to move back in classes will help both parties in the future.

  8. 2014-15 Season Preview: 20 Impact Freshmen

    Oct 22, 2014, 4:06 PM EDT

    Justin Jackson (left) and Jahlil Okafor (right) at the McDonald's All-American Game Justin Jackson (left) and Jahlil Okafor (right) at the McDonald's All-American Game

    College basketball will have plenty of impact freshmen this season. Here’s a look at some that could step in and contribute right away.

  9. Report: Texas plans to start paying their athletes $10,000 stipend

    Oct 22, 2014, 3:18 PM EDT

    Rick Barnes AP

    The Longhorns are the first school in the country to do this.

  10. Stanford lands a commitment from four-star seven-footer

    Oct 22, 2014, 2:55 PM EDT

    dawkins Getty Images

    The Cardinal now have three four-star recruits in the Class of 2015.

  11. UNC investigation states bogus classes pushed by academic counselors to athletes

    Oct 22, 2014, 2:09 PM EDT

    Roy Williams Getty Images

    Wednesday’s report is much more damning than either of the previous two that have been released.

  12. SEC preseason media poll and all-SEC team announced

    Oct 22, 2014, 1:00 PM EDT

    SEClogo

    There is one big name that wasn’t named to the preseason first team.

  13. 2014-2015 Season Preview: NDSU, SDSU take step back in Summit League hierarchy

    Oct 22, 2014, 12:00 PM EDT

    Scott Sutton (AP Photo) Scott Sutton (AP Photo)

    The top half of the Summit League will be a tight race all season long.

  14. The Big East releases their preseason poll, all-league teams

    Oct 22, 2014, 11:00 AM EDT

    BigEastLogo

    The Big East coaches love Villanova, but are they sleeping on Marquette?

  15. Report: ULM freshman charged with rape

    Oct 22, 2014, 10:00 AM EDT

    keith richard AP

    ULM has some off-the-court issues to address with the season looming.

  16. Top 25 Countdown: No. 13 VCU Rams

    Oct 22, 2014, 9:00 AM EDT

    Treveon Graham (AP Photo) Treveon Graham (AP Photo)

    Fun fact about Shaka Smart: He has still never won a conference regular season title.

  17. Report: Stanford guard to miss action with a broken wrist

    Oct 21, 2014, 11:00 PM EDT

    Pac 12 Basketball Tournament - Stanford v California Getty Images

    Stanford’s back court depth took a hit this week.

  18. James Madison announces suspensions for two players

    Oct 21, 2014, 9:45 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Suspensions have been handed down for two James Madison players involved in a fall altercation.

  19. Nebraska lands commitment from 2016 forward

    Oct 21, 2014, 8:38 PM EDT

    Tim Miles AP

    Nebraska has been recruiting the state of Illinois very hard and it paid off with a 2016 commitment.

  20. Kansas State loses forward for the season

    Oct 21, 2014, 8:15 PM EDT

    La Salle v Kansas State Getty Images

    Kansas State has taken a hit to its front court depth this week.