Skip to content

It’s Selection Sunday: What will be the talking points?

Mar 17, 2013, 7:45 AM EDT

NCAA_Logo AP

By the time the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee makes it back into the conference room on Sunday morning, the at-large bids will have long-been decided.

That’s always the case, as the committee will have argued their way through — for hours and hours and hours — all of the teams that are sitting on the bubble, coming up with a ranked order. The way things worked out this season, with the final game of the day with any bubble implications wrapping up around 6 p.m. ET, that fact was virtually assured.

They have decided whether or not Ole Miss will get an at-large bid if they don’t beat Florida and get the SEC’s automatic bid on Sunday afternoon. Whether the Rebels lose by 50 or because the referees pulled another Richmond is irrelevant.

Kentucky’s wait on Selection Sunday will be ‘agonizing’

In our latest bracket projection, we have Ole Miss as the second-to-last team in the tournament. But where things get interesting are if the committee currently has Ole Miss out of the tournament field with a loss, because that means there needs to be a contingency plan. If Ole Miss wins, they get slotted somewhere. If they lose, they drop out of the field and whoever that last team on the cut line is — Middle Tennessee State, Tennessee, La Salle, whoever — gets their spot.

While the focus of tournament talk during the week almost always seem to focus on the bubble — especially when a team like Kentucky is involved in that conversation — much of Saturday and essentially all of Sunday involves around finalizing the seed list and putting those teams into the bracket.

NCAA tournament projections: Is your team in the Big Dance?

Who gets the No. 1 seeds? Does, say, Gonzaga really have a stronger profile than New Mexico? Should Louisville or Indiana get the Midwest and the cozy confines of Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis? How is it possible that Team X is seeded above Team Y when they both played Team Z and Team X got blown out twice and Team Y beat them? How can five Atlantic 10 teams get slotted into the bracket if three are six or seven seeds and two more are 10 or 11 seeds?

And that doesn’t even take into account the games that are being played today. What if:

  • What if Ohio State beats Wisconsin? Can they climb up to the No. 2 seed line?
  • What is Wisconsin beats Ohio State? Are they a No. 3 seed?
  • Where do North Carolina get bracketed if they beat Miami, which would be their best win of the season?

As the committee builds the bracket throughout Sunday, they build it with these contingencies in mind. And if any of Sunday’s outcomes will significantly change one team’s profile — and remember, the committee’s goal is to minimize just how much value they give to the most recent results — they will build a separate bracket. Committee chair Mike Bobinski told us at the mock selection committee last month that there was one year where the committee had to build six different brackets on Sunday.

So yes, there will be plenty to discuss in that conference room until the brackets are announced at 6 p.m. ET on CBS.

And those discussions and decisions will play a major role in what the bracket you fill out for your office pool will look like.

Those conversations just won’t have all that much to do with the bubble’s cut line.

You can find Rob on twitter @RobDauster.

Latest Posts
  1. Top-50 recruit Payton Pritchard commits to Oregon

    Aug 28, 2015, 5:19 PM EDT

    pritchard Getty Images

    The ex-Oklahoma commit decides to state in-state.

  2. Under Armour Elite 24 highlights (VIDEO)

    Aug 28, 2015, 4:22 PM EDT

    elite 24

    Last week, 24 of the best high school basketball players participated in the 10th annual event.

  3. Point guard becomes Iowa’s third 2016 commitment

    Aug 28, 2015, 3:24 PM EDT

    Fran McCaffery AP

    Three of Jordan Bohannon’s older brothers have played Division I college basketball, but he’s the first to pick their father’s alma mater.

  4. Former Butler forward Andrew Smith fighting cancer for second time

    Aug 28, 2015, 1:49 PM EDT

    Andrew Smith, Devon Scott AP

    During his first bout with the disease Smith suffered cardiac arrest and lapsed into a coma that lasted for three days.

  5. Maryland officially unveils new Gary Williams Court design (VIDEO)

    Aug 28, 2015, 12:54 PM EDT

    (AP) AP

    The team many expect to be a national title contender has a new court to play on this season.

  6. Indiana head coach Tom Crean laments team’s lack of leadership

    Aug 28, 2015, 11:20 AM EDT

    Buyout aside, 2015-16 will be big for Tom Crean (AP Photo) AP

    Crean addressed the recent off-court issues at a school event in Indianapolis.

  7. Four-star 2016 center Schnider Herard announces final five schools

    Aug 28, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT

    Nike Elite Youth Basketball League Getty Images

    Herard has scheduled official visits to three of the five remaining schools on his list.

  8. Former Missouri wing headed to San Diego State

    Aug 27, 2015, 9:45 PM EDT

    Riley LaChance, Montaque Gill-Caesar AP

    The 6-foot-6 Canadian averaged 9.1 points and 3.0 rebounds per game last season.

  9. Report: 2016 point guard Myles Powell trims list to five

    Aug 27, 2015, 9:27 PM EDT

    Kelly Kline/Under Armour/Getty Images Kelly Kline/Under Armour/Getty Images

    Georgetown, Georgia Tech and Saint Joseph’s failed to make the cut for the New Jersey native.

  10. Big Ten releases full conference schedule

    Aug 27, 2015, 7:43 PM EDT

    (AP) AP

    Early favorite Maryland and reigning champion Wisconsin both open league play at home.

  11. Former Arkansas forward joins Middle Tennessee State program

    Aug 27, 2015, 4:44 PM EDT

    (Getty Images) Getty Images

    Williams’ arraignment on first degree suspicion of forgery charges was postponed until September 2.

  12. New mixtape for 2016’s biggest riser, Wenyen Gabriel (VIDEO)

    Aug 27, 2015, 3:35 PM EDT

    Kelly Kline/adidas Kelly Kline/adidas

    Gabriel is a five-star prospect with offers from Kentucky and Duke.

  13. Throwback Thursday: When we realized Russell Westbrook was a freak (VIDEO)

    Aug 27, 2015, 12:15 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Westbrook wasn’t a top 25 prospect in high school. He was a top three player in the NBA last year.

  14. Blue Ribbon announces their preseason all-american team

    Aug 27, 2015, 10:50 AM EDT

    Blue Ribbon

    It’s the first preseason all-american team that we’ve seen this summer.

  15. Cody Zeller, Indiana president speak out against recent athlete legal issues

    Aug 27, 2015, 9:41 AM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Zeller handed out a warning. Michael McRobbie was a bit more upset.

  16. Five-star 2016 combo guard cuts list to four

    Aug 26, 2015, 10:38 PM EDT

    Kelly Kline/adidas Kelly Kline/adidas

    Frank Jackson will take an official visit to one of the four schools this weekend.

  17. Highlights of Michigan State’s Italy trip-opening win over Basket Fiorentina

    Aug 26, 2015, 9:31 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    Bryn Forbes scored 18 points to lead a balanced scoring attack for the Spartans.

  18. Indiana president none too pleased with recent legal issues involving student-athletes

    Aug 26, 2015, 7:35 PM EDT

    Michael McRobbie AP

    Michael McRobbie’s address came two days after Emmitt Holt and Thomas Bryant were cited for illegal possession of alcohol.