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Updated Bracket: Who is No. 1 in the Midwest?

Mar 17, 2013, 3:30 PM EST

Cardinals head coach Pitino instructs guard Siva while playing the Orange during the second half of their NCAA men's championship final basketball game at the 2013 Big East Tournament in New York

Who will be the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region?

That’s one of the biggest questions we’ll all wait to have answered later tonight.  With Louisville’s win over Syracuse on Saturday, combined with Indiana’s loss to Wisconsin, the floor is open for debate.  It will come down to this:  Which of those two teams is the top overall seed when the Selection Committee puts together its final seeding list – often referred to as the s-curve.  Both the Cardinals and the Hoosiers would relish the opportunity to go through Indianapolis.  Based on Indiana’s outright Big Ten regular season title, we’re leaving the Hoosiers in the Midwest.  After a fresh review, we’ll see if that stands.  The other pending question at the top of the bracket is whether Kansas will be a one-seed over either Duke or Gonzaga?  Valid arguments can be made for all three.

At the bottom of the bracket, Mississippi is making a push toward an at-large bid (and an automatic berth).  By beating Vanderbilt, the Rebels avoided an untimely loss and play Florida in the SEC title game.  Given that scenario, the Rebels have slid into the First Four – along with Tennessee, La Salle, and Saint Mary’s.  That leaves Middle Tennessee as the first team out.  For a lot of reasons, it would be rewarding for the Committee to recognize the Blue Raiders on their excellent season.  And depending on your point of view, valid arguments can be made for any of the last few in or first few out.  It’s the nature of the bubble.

We’ll post a final update Sunday afternoon before the NCAA Selection Show.  It’s going to be a great tournament.

UPDATED: March 17, 2013 | 1:40 a.m. ET

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Mississippi vs. Saint Mary’s | South Region
  • Tennessee vs. La Salle | West Region
  • JAMES MADISON vs. LIBERTY | Midwest Region
  • SOUTHERN vs. N. CAROLINA A&T | East Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

EASTWashington, DC MIDWEST- Indianapolis
Lexington Dayton
1) LOUISVILLE 1) Indiana
16) SOUTHERN / NC A&T 16) LIBERTY / JAMES MADISON
8) North Carolina 8) OREGON
9) San Diego State 9) MEMPHIS
Austin San Jose
5) Oklahoma State 5) Saint Louis
12) BELMONT 12) BUCKNELL
4) Wisconsin 4) Marquette
13) AKRON 13) VALPARAISO
Dayton Austin
6) Butler 6) UCLA
11) Oklahoma 11) Temple
3) Ohio State 3) Florida
14) HARVARD 14) SOUTH DAKOTA ST
Lexington Philadelphia
7) CREIGHTON 7) Colorado State
10) Villanova 10) Minnesota
2) Miami-FL 2) Georgetown
15) ALBANY 15) IONA
SOUTH – Dallas WEST – Los Angeles
Philadelphia Salt Lake
1) Duke 1) GONZAGA
16) LIU-BROOKLYN 16) WESTERN KENTUCKY
8) Illinois 8) Missouri
9) Cincinnati 9) Wichita State
Kansas City San Jose
5) Arizona 5) UNLV
12) Saint Mary’s / Mississippi 12) Tennessee / La Salle
4) Kansas State 4) Syracuse
13) DAVIDSON 13) NEW MEXICO STATE
Auburn Hills Auburn Hills
6) Notre Dame 6) Pittsburgh
11) California 11) Boise State
3) Michigan State 3) Michigan
14) FLA GULF COAST 14) NORTHWESTERN STATE
Salt Lake Kansas City
7) VCU 7) NC State
10) Iowa State 10) Colorado
2) NEW MEXICO 2) Kansas
15) PACIFIC 15) MONTANA

NOTES on the BRACKET: Indiana is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Louisville, Duke, and Gonzaga. Next in line: Kansas, Georgetown, New Mexico, Miami-FL

Last Five teams in (at large): Boise State, Tennessee, La Salle, Mississippi, Saint Mary’s

First Five teams out (at large): Middle Tennessee, Kentucky, Virginia, Maryland, Massachusetts

Next five teams out (at large): Iowa, Alabama, Southern Miss, Arizona State, Stephen F. Austin

Breakdown by Conference …

Big East (8): Louisville, Syracuse, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Villanova

Big Ten (7): Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Illinois

Mountain West (5): San Diego State, UNLV, New Mexico, Colorado State, Boise State

Pac 12 (5): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, California

Big 12 (5): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Iowa State

Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, VCU, Temple, La Salle, Saint Louis

ACC (4): Duke, NC State, North Carolina, Miami-FL

SEC (4): Missouri, Florida, Tennessee, Mississippi

Missouri Valley (2): CREIGHTON, Wichita State

West Coast (2): GONZAGA, Saint Mary’s

Conference USA (1): Memphis

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … BELMONT (Ohio Valley), WESTERN KENTUCKY (Sun Belt), BUCKNELL (Patriot), SOUTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit), VALPARAISO (Horizon), DAVIDSON (Southern), NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC), IONA (MAAC), NORTHWESTERN STATE (Southland), AKRON (MAC), FLORIDA GULF COAST (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), PACIFIC (Big West), JAMES MADISON (Colonial), ALBANY (American East), MONTANA (Big Sky), NORTH CAROLINA A&T (MEAC), LIBERTY (Big South), LIU-BROOKLYN (NEC), SOUTHERN (SWAC)

  1. bouwel92 - Mar 17, 2013 at 2:28 AM

    Out of curiousity, is their any way that Louisiana Tech can make it in. In all honesty im not a big basketball fan, so i don’t understand the way the teams get in, because obviously it’s not just by their record, but i’ve always been a Tech fan so i was wonderin if somebody could tell me.

    • florida727 - Mar 17, 2013 at 9:56 AM

      I’m not a bracketology expert by any stretch, but I’ll take a shot at it after looking at the LA Tech basketball website.

      First of all, you guys play in the WAC which, unfortunately is not one of the so-called power conferences, so you almost have to win the conference tournament to get the automatic invite to the tournament. Only New Mexico State is going to the NCAAs out of the WAC, and even though you split with them during the regular season, you lost in a blowout by 18, which hurts you in the “smell test”.

      The 26-6 overall record certainly works in your favor, as does the 16-2 conference record. However…

      Good win v. bad losses kills you guys. You lost to McNeese State, Northwestern State, and Denver. Only N-State is going to the tournament. What really hurt you was losing in the first round of your conference tournament to UT-San Antonio… a team you’d beaten twice during the regular season, including a 25-point blowout in your favor. That’s a REALLY bad loss, and at the worst possible time. The selection committee looks hard at end-of-season performance, and this one absolutely kills you. If you’d have gotten to the conference finals, then lost to NM State, maybe, again MAYBE you’d have gotten some consideration.

      But, at 26-6 don’t be surprised if the NIT picks you up. At least it’s more basketball for you guys. And that’s not all bad.

  2. madtownthrowdown - Mar 17, 2013 at 8:38 AM

    What did Wisconsin ever do to deserve the East? Can’t you just give them a break and send them to the South.

  3. joneildu - Mar 17, 2013 at 10:44 AM

    Louisville is ahead of IU in every metric. Better RPI, better BPI, better Kenpom, better Sagarin, better SoS, better record, won conf reg season and conf tournament. The teams they lost to are better on average in RPI. The teams they beat are better in average in RPI. No double digit losses, no bad losses, 15 of their 17 conference wins were by double digits, including every game in the tournament. IU has lost 3 of 6, UL has won 13 of 14 in the conference with the most tournament teams. How is it even debatable?

  4. joneildu - Mar 17, 2013 at 10:46 AM

    I think the only metric IU has on Louisville is vs the RPI top 25. But if we’re crutching on RPI, Louisville leads that overall as well, so…again, how is this debatable?

    • metalhead65 - Mar 17, 2013 at 11:19 AM

      because IU plays in the best conference in the country and won it’s conference out right that’s why. the stupid tourney results can’t take that away and if tourney results mean more then why bother playing a regular season?

      • joneildu - Mar 17, 2013 at 1:28 PM

        Louisville won its conference and tournament. And they did it against a more difficult schedule with less losses. Tourney results matter. By definition, the regular season is meaningless. Yu can go 0-25 in the regular season and make the tournament. And you can win 20+ games, lose in the tourney, and be out. Your argument would hold water if the Big East were the SEC. It’s not, however. They put 8 teams in the tournament.

      • joneildu - Mar 17, 2013 at 1:32 PM

        If you’re honestly trying to argue that a missed Michigan layup undoes Louisville’s entire Big East tournament run, I laugh at you. The committee said they see the conference as an extension of the regular season. If that’s the case, IU didn’t win the Big 10 outright, Louisville won the Big East outright.

    • arlingtonsynn - Mar 17, 2013 at 4:41 PM

      UL: 4-3 vs. RPI Top 25.
      IU: 7-2.

      This is why its debated and rightfully so.

  5. bouwel92 - Mar 17, 2013 at 12:35 PM

    @Florida. Thanks for the info. I’m just now startin to get into basketball and tryin to understand it. I thought bein there record was good, and being they were WAC Co-champs that that would be good enough, but hey NIT is better than nothing.

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