Skip to content

Report shows success of NBA first round picks since 2003

Jun 25, 2013, 6:41 PM EDT

Two days before the 2013 NBA Draft and Syracuse point guard Michael Carter-Williams is projected as a lottery pick. In recent years, fellow Orange first round picks such as Jonny Flynn, Wesley Johnson and Fab Melo have given the impression that Jim Boeheim may not be the best at developing players for stardom in the NBA.

Chris Carlson at the Post-Standard wanted to show that the Hall of Fame coach isn’t a poor developer of NBA talent, and to do so he compiled all 12 programs since 2003 that have sent six or more players in the first round. He broke them into two categories — players with above-average player efficiency rating (PER) and players with below-average PER. He used the average PER, which is 15 according to basketball-reference.com, as a way to separate the two categories.

Below is the chart that shows the success based on PER:

source:

Before Kansas fans take to the comment section, Carlson acknowledges that although players like Nick Collison and Kirk Hinrich fall before the average of 15, he would consider their careers as successes. Even so, Andrew Wiggins will likely help Kansas’ ranking in the next few years.

This chart was mainly to show that Syracuse is among several programs that have had first round picks fail to pan out in the association.

Top 10 picks that have below-average career PERs:

Syracuse: Jonny Flynn (11.3 PER in 163 games) and Wes Johnson (9.5 PER in 195)
Duke: Shelden Williams (12.5 PER in 361) and Austin Rivers (5.9 PER in 61)
BYU: Jimmer Fredette (12.5 PER in 130) and Rafael Araujo (6.3 PER in 139)
Kansas: Thomas Robinson (10.9 PER in 70), Kirk Hinrich (13.6 in 694)
North Carolina: Marvin Williams (13.5 PER in 560), Harrison Barnes (11 in 81)

Take this study as you will, but it does prove one thing: the NBA is a tough league.

“It’s hard,” Boeheim told the Post-Standard. “You can be a good college player and just not make the NBA. It’s very difficult to do. Guys that people think will make it don’t make it. It’s not easy. There’s are more good players now, not necessarily impact players, but more good players in the NBA. More pretty good players.”

Terrence is also the lead writer at NEHoopNews.com and can be followed on Twitter: @terrence_payne

Latest Posts
  1. Harvard releases non-conference schedule for 2014-15 season

    Sep 23, 2014, 10:45 PM EDT

    Siyani Chambers and Tommy Amaker (AP Photo) AP

    Harvard is a potential preseason top-25 team and they’ll face some tough non-conference opponents.

  2. College of Charleston hires another assistant coach for Earl Grant’s staff

    Sep 23, 2014, 9:45 PM EDT

    Earl Grant Earl Grant

    Earl Grant is continuing to add to his staff at College of Charleston.

  3. Report: Five-star 2015 center Stephen Zimmerman will wait until spring

    Sep 23, 2014, 8:45 PM EDT

    Franklin Bishop Gorman Basketball AP

    Stephen Zimmerman appears to be announcing his decision late.

  4. Top 2015 and 2016 prospects comment on high school-to-pro move in new report

    Sep 23, 2014, 7:35 PM EDT

    (adidas) (adidas)

    Now that Emmanuel Mudiay has gone from high school to professional basketball in China, others high school players are intrigued.

  5. Maryland’s Dez Wells finds photo of himself in college textbook (PHOTO)

    Sep 23, 2014, 6:10 PM EDT

    Dez Wells2 AP

    Dez Wells took to social media when he found himself in a college textbook.

  6. Assigned Reading: “The Owl Without a Vowel”

    Sep 23, 2014, 4:54 PM EDT

    Bettman/Corbis Images Bettman/Corbis Images

    Bill Mlkvy is one of the greatest players in the history of Temple Basketball.

  7. Phoenix/Glendale bid organizers hope to reel in Final Four

    Sep 23, 2014, 3:57 PM EDT

    San Francisco 49ers v Arizona Cardinals Getty Images

    The Final Four hasn’t been played in the western United States since 1995.

  8. Four-star 2015 shooting guard commits to Illinois

    Sep 23, 2014, 2:32 PM EDT

    Jon Lopez/Nike Jon Lopez/Nike

    Illinois now has three commitments in the Class of 2015, and there’s still a five-star point guard on the board that they’re pursuing.

  9. Maryland transfer eligible this season at Georgia Tech

    Sep 23, 2014, 2:20 PM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    The 6-foot-8 forward has two years of eligibility remaining.

  10. Houston announces plans for new practice facility

    Sep 23, 2014, 2:05 PM EDT

    University of Houston University of Houston

    This facility is a nice boost for a basketball program that has made one NCAA tournament appearance since 1992.

  11. Malik Newman, Jaylen Brown among 53 invited to US Junior National Team minicamp

    Sep 23, 2014, 12:55 PM EDT

    FIBA U17 World Championships - Dubai Getty Images

    The two-day camp will be held October 4-5 in Colorado Springs, Colorado.

  12. UConn star among 13 finalists for United States senior women’s national team

    Sep 23, 2014, 11:27 AM EDT

    Breanna Stewart Breanna Stewart

    Breanna Stewart is the lone current college player among the finalists, with the team playing one final exhibition before the world championships begin September 27.

  13. Ohio State center won’t request immediate eligibility waiver

    Sep 23, 2014, 10:10 AM EDT

    Marshall Plumlee, Trevor Thompson AP

    The former Virginia Tech big man will work hard in 2014-15 with an eye towards being a primary option in 2015-16.

  14. Purdue athletic department will sell copies of old game films

    Sep 22, 2014, 9:00 PM EDT

    Matt Painter AP

    Purdue is offering to sell old game films using a company that hopes to do the same with over 600 colleges.

  15. Florida State gets commitment from 7-foot-4 2015 center

    Sep 22, 2014, 7:47 PM EDT

    Leonard Hamilton AP

    Florida State added a big man in 2015 to go along with its three talented perimeter threats.

  16. N.C. State has three new jersey designs for 2014-15 (PHOTO)

    Sep 22, 2014, 6:45 PM EDT

    Mark Gottfried AP

    The Wolfpack have some new threads for the upcoming season.

  17. Creighton lands 2015 point guard commitment

    Sep 22, 2014, 5:30 PM EDT

    300x1 AP

    Creighton picked up a point guard in the 2015 class on Monday.

  18. Newspaper apologizes for its illustration of Kentucky head coach John Calipari

    Sep 22, 2014, 3:54 PM EDT

    John Calipari John Calipari

    The image places alongside a column on the recent USA Basketball debate caused an uproar in the Bluegrass State.