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Advanced analysis on the impact of transfers

Oct 15, 2013, 1:00 PM EDT

Memphis Athletics Memphis Athletics

More and more, transfers are becoming an integral part of college basketball.

As such, figuring out precisely how a player will fit in with his new team is becoming an integral part of the preseason prognostication process.

And as you might expect, someone smarter than your average writer as tried to figure out an answer. Ken Pomeroy, founder of and writing for ESPN’s Insider, developed a formula to try to determine exactly how effective these transfers will be at their new schools.

(MORE: Top 20 Transfers)

What KenPom found was that Memphis transfer Michael Dixon, Missouri transfer Jordan Clarkson and San Diego State transfer Josh Davis will be three of the newcomers likely to have the biggest impact. That’s not a surprise, as those are three names that every expert has managed to come up with simply by looking at a box score. Dixon was one of the best players on a 30-win Missouri team, Clarkson averaged 16.5 points at Tulsa and Davis was a contender for Conference USA Player of the Year a season ago.

The two names that KenPom dug up that most haven’t discussed ad nauseum? Richie Edwards, who is heading to Arizona State from Valpo, and Four McGlynn, who joins Towson after a year at Vermont. McGlynn would make sense. He’s a shooter that will spread the floor for a talented Tigers team. Edwards, however, is a bit of a weird pick seeing as he’s the third-most notable transfer that Arizona State brings in and likely to find himself playing limited minutes this year.

Read through the rest of KenPom’s analysis here.

  1. hawkfather - Oct 15, 2013 at 2:42 PM

    I can see Edwards playing about 20-25 minutes per game until Kearney becomes eligible after the break. Edward’s arrival will allow stretch four Jonathan Gilling to slide back over to his more natural position at the three. I believe Sendek will run out the lineup of Carson-Marshall-Gilling-Edwards-Bachynski and bring the uber-athletic wing Shaq McKissic (who played great in the scrimmage) first off the bench which will allow Gilling to see some time at power forward as well. Richie is a great fit at the four as he can get up and down the floor and is capable of stepping out and knocking it down from the perimeter like Gilling. Tummala will add depth and athleticism to the frontcourt as well. Shout out to Bo Barnes for putting in work this offseason as he looked like a completely different player in that scrimmage. If he shoots like that, he’ll definitely see his minutes double from last year. I’m just as high as you are on the Sun Devils and can’t wait to see this squad in action during Pac-12 play after they’ve had time to gel.

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