Nov 8, 2013, 7:00 AM EDT
The Road to the Final Four is about to begin, and a host of familiar names sit atop our preseason bracket projection.
Reigning NCAA champion Louisville opens as the top overall seed in the Midwest Region, which again goes through nearby Indianapolis. The Cardinals are followed by Michigan State (East), Kentucky (South), and Kansas (West) as favorites to reach AT&T Stadium in April. Close behind are Duke, Arizona, Syracuse, and Oklahoma State. Need more heavyweights? How about Michigan, Ohio State, Florida, and North Carolina as possible three-seeds?
Beyond conference realignment – and remembering that Syracuse, Notre Dame and Pittsburgh are now in the ACC, for example – the NCAA has changed a few of its bracketing principles for 2014. If you want to read them for yourself, visit http://www.ncaa.com. The most significant updates are an emphasis on maintaining a team’s true seed (from the seed list), and allowing teams from the same conference to potentially meet before a regional final if they played less than three times during the regular season. (Note: This could happen previously but only if more than eight teams from a conference were selected). There are a lot of variables, but the goal is to provide the Selection Committee with more options during the bracketing process. In year’s past, bracketing procedures often required moving several teams up or down a seed line to avoid such things as conference conflicts within the region. While this may still occur, it should be less frequently. What we can’t predict in the preseason is how many times conference foes will actually meet because conference tournament games are included.
With the arrival of the American Athletic Conference (AAC), there will also be one less at-large bid in 2014. We now have 32 automatic qualifiers and 36 at-large spots. In our preseason bracket the First Five out are Illinois, California, Providence, Massachusetts, and Xavier. Purdue, Iowa State, Pittsburgh, Missouri, Washington, and Florida State are next. A host of other potential at-large candidates were also evaluated.
Our opening First Four? BYU, Indiana State, San Diego State, and SMU.
Fortunately, the actual bracket will develop over the course over four and a half months. At this point, it’s guesswork. The journey will be tremendous. Think about the storylines we already have: Will John Calipari blend his vaunted recruits into a championship team? Can the Cardinals repeat? Will Tom Izzo return Michigan State to the Final Four? Who will be this year’s Wichita State, Butler, VCU, or George Mason? And the list goes on.
It’s almost time for tip-off. Grab a seat. It’s going to be quite a ride toward Selection Sunday.
UPDATED: November 7, 2013
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- San Diego State vs. Indiana State | Midwest Region
- BYU vs. SMU | South Region
- CHARLESTON SO vs. NC-CENTRAL | East Region
- TX-SOUTHERN vs. NORTHWESTERN ST | Midwest Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|EAST – New York||MIDWEST- Indianapolis|
|1) MICHIGAN STATE||1) LOUISVILLE|
|16) CHARLESTON SO / NC-CENTRAL||16) N’WESTERN ST / TX-SOUTHERN|
|8) Saint Louis||8) HARVARD|
|9) Georgetown||9) Villanova|
|5) Colorado||5) Tennessee|
|12) TOLEDO||12) San Diego St / Indiana St|
|4) Memphis||4) Oregon|
|13) WRIGHT STATE||13) WEBER STATE|
|6) Connecticut||6) MARQUETTE|
|11) Maryland||11) LSU|
|3) Florida||3) Michigan|
|14) IONA||14) EASTERN KENTUCKY|
|7) Indiana||7) Notre Dame|
|10) UNLV||10) Stanford|
|2) Syracuse||2) Oklahoma State|
|15) WAGNER||15) WESTERN KENTUCKY|
|SOUTH – Memphis||WEST – Anaheim|
|1) KENTUCKY||1) KANSAS|
|16) MOUNT ST. MARY’S||16) BOSTON UNIVERSITY|
|8) Baylor||8) Virginia|
|9) Boise State||9) Arizona State|
|San Antonio||San Diego|
|5) Wisconsin||5) WICHITA STATE|
|12) NEW MEXICO ST||12) SOUTHERN MISS|
|4) VCU||4) Iowa|
|13) ELON||13) TOWSON|
|6) UCLA||6) GONZAGA|
|11) BYU / SMU||11) St. John’s|
|3) Ohio State||3) North Carolina|
|14) MERCER||14) UC-IRVINE|
|7) Creighton||7) NEW MEXICO|
|10) Cincinnati||10) La Salle|
|2) DUKE||2) ARIZONA|
|15) VERMONT||15) NO DAKOTA ST|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Louisville is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Michigan State, Kentucky, and Kansas. Next in line: Duke, Arizona, Syracuse, and Oklahoma State.
Last Five teams in (at large): St. John’s, BYU, Indiana State, San Diego State, SMU
First Five teams out (at large): Illinois, California, Providence, Massachusetts, Xavier
Next five teams out (at large): Purdue, Iowa State, Pittsburgh, Missouri, Washington
Breakdown by Conference …
ACC (6): Duke, Syracuse, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Virginia, Maryland
Pac 12 (6): Arizona, Oregon, Colorado, UCLA, Arizona State, Stanford
Big Ten (6): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Indiana
American (5): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati, SMU
Big East (5): Marquette, Creighton, Georgetown, Villanova, St. John’s
Mountain West (4): New Mexico, Boise State, UNLV, San Diego State
SEC (4): Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee, LSU
Big 12 (3): Kansas, Oklahoma State, Baylor
Atlantic 10 (3): VCU, Saint Louis, La Salle
Missouri Valley (2): Wichita State, Indiana State
West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … Southern Miss (C-USA), Eastern Kentucky (Ohio Valley), Western Kentucky (Sun Belt), Boston University (Patriot), North Dakota State (Summit), Wright State (Horizon), Elon (Southern), New Mexico State (WAC), Iona (MAAC), Northwestern State (Southland), Toledo (MAC), Mercer (A-Sun), Harvard (IVY), UC Irvine (Big West), Towson (Colonial), Vermont (American East), Weber State (Big Sky), North Carolina Central (MEAC), Charleston Southern (Big South), Wagner (NEC), Texas-Southern (SWAC)
Sep 14, 2014, 11:59 PM EDT
Of Wyoming’s five 2015 verbal commitments, three have come from Florida natives.
Sep 14, 2014, 10:08 PM EDT
The Tabor Academy forward picked Fordham over offers from Duquesne, Quinnipiac and Saint Joseph’s.
Sep 14, 2014, 8:47 PM EDT
With Anthony Drmic and Derrick Marks both being seniors, this is an important addition for the Broncos.
Sep 14, 2014, 7:50 PM EDT
The Roselle Catholic (New Jersey) product is expected pick from Rhode Island, Seton Hall and South Carolina.
Sep 14, 2014, 6:15 PM EDT
Playing with an all-star team this summer helped the Arkansas transfer shake off the rust accumulated during his season on the sidelines.
Sep 14, 2014, 4:45 PM EDT
Before this season Johnathan Loyd hadn’t played football since high school, and on Saturday he scored his first college touchdown.
Sep 14, 2014, 3:15 PM EDT
Dunk City is using platelet-enriched plasma injections to help heal its athletes.
Sep 14, 2014, 2:00 PM EDT
DePaul picked up its first 2015 pledge on Sunday.
Sep 14, 2014, 1:00 PM EDT
Houston picked up a commitment from a junior college forward.
Sep 14, 2014, 12:03 PM EDT
Arizona added a four-star big man to its three five-star perimeter threats.
Sep 14, 2014, 11:15 AM EDT
Allen Iverson made a rare trip back to Georgetown’s campus and shared some cool moments with former coach John Thompson.
Sep 14, 2014, 10:00 AM EDT
A three-star stretch forward is down to two Big Ten schools.
Sep 14, 2014, 9:05 AM EDT
A summer mixtape of 2015 point guard Jawun Evans.
Sep 13, 2014, 10:59 PM EDT
The 6-foot-10 power forward grew up a UConn fan, and his commitment came as no surprise.
Sep 13, 2014, 9:50 PM EDT
After going through a difficult senior season at the high school level, Daniel Hamilton’s move to UConn has been a beneficial one thus far.
Sep 13, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT
“I will miss him ’til the day I die.”
Sep 13, 2014, 6:33 PM EDT
Kansas State landed a commitment from a 6-foot-10 Texan on Saturday.
Sep 13, 2014, 5:00 PM EDT
Boston College has reeled in its third commitment in less than a week.
Sep 13, 2014, 3:15 PM EDT
Lots of high-level plays in this mixtape.
Sep 13, 2014, 1:45 PM EDT
An Arizona State commit is in trouble for allegedly shoplifting some DVDs.
- Arizona lands four-star center to potential No. 1 recruiting class in 2015 2
- Allen Iverson, Georgetown legends return to campus for new John Thompson practice facility 2
- In-state power forward verbally commits to UConn 0
- Former Indiana guard A.J. Guyton writes an open letter to Bob Knight 6
- College Basketball Talk’s Recruiting Roundup 0
- Born without a right hand, Omar Ndiaye looking for his chance 0
- Illinois starting point guard suffers season-ending knee injury 1
- Former Indiana guard A.J. Guyton writes an open letter to Bob Knight (6)
- Four-star power forward becomes Indiana’s first 2015 commitment (3)
- Arizona State commit arrested for allegedly shoplifting less than $20 in DVDs from Walmart (3)
- Report: Providence legend Marvin ‘Bad News’ Barnes passes away (2)
- Villanova lands commitment from five-star point guard Jalen Brunson (2)