Skip to content

College Basketball Talk Bracketology: Arizona, Syracuse headline first bracket of the year

Jan 6, 2014, 5:59 PM EST

source:

The countdown to March Madness has officially arrived.  We begin the trek toward Selection Sunday with Arizona and Syracuse as the top two seeds in the opening bracket of 2014.  Joining the Wildcats and Orange on the top line … two teams from the Big Ten: Wisconsin and Michigan State.  Villanova and Ohio State are close behind.

If you’re new to bracket watching or are returning for the new year, a couple of quick housekeeping notes:

  • The NCAA Selection Committee implemented new bracketing procedures designed to keep more teams on their true seed line (from the seed list or s-curve).  If you want all the details, visit http://www.ncaa.com.  Today’s bracket is a fitting example.  In the South Region, Saint Louis is the No. 8 seed – which puts the Billikens in the same half of the bracket as Massachusetts, the No. 5 seed.  Both reside in the Atlantic 10 conference.  In previous years, Saint Louis would have had been bumped a seed line higher or lower – or moved out of its geographic region – to avoid two teams from the same conference (unless more than eight were selected) meeting before a Regional Final.   That bump would have affected more than Saint Louis, perhaps dropping another team from a seven seed to an eight.  The new configuration is allowable in part because SLU and UMass are scheduled to meet only once during the A10 regular season.  Without going into detail, you’ll also notice Florida and Tennessee engaged in a similar scenario.  If those two happened to meet in the SEC tourney (which would be their third meeting), the set-up in this bracket would not be possible.  But since we don’t know whether that will occur, it’s accurate for today.
  • Teams are selected and seeded based on their overall body of work (now and moving forward).  Just because Team A beat Teams B doesn’t necessarily mean Team A’s overall body of work – such as quality wins, strength of schedule – is superior to Team B’s.  Teams lose games.  If overall accomplishments weren’t considered, we would rank Belmont ahead of North Carolina and Northern Colorado ahead of Kansas State.  But that would not be an accurate way to assess either team’s overall performance.
  • It’s too early to be overly concerned about the bubble or cutline.  Conference play us just beginning.  Try not to overreact to a team being one of the last few in or first few out.  We have a long way to go.  Some teams currently in the bracket will miss the tournament and others will climb into the bracket come March.
  • Teams earn bids, not conferences.  Although it’s unlikely the Big 12 will earn seven bids on Selection Sunday, it worked out that way through games played on January 5.  Next week, it could be different.

College hoops is entering its annual March to Madness.  Enjoy the journey to Selection Sunday.

UPDATED: January 6, 2014

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc). While conference play has begun, not all teams have yet played conference games. You may see a few “projected” champions that have not played a game, or that team remains favored to win the automatic bid at this point. We will adjust as the standings progress.

Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Virginia vs. Texas | Midwest Region
  • Oklahoma vs. California | South Region
  • E. TENNESSEE ST vs. UNC-ASHEVILLE | Midwest Region
  • NO COLORADO vs. SOUTHERN | West Region

BRACKET PROJECTION:

WESTAnaheim EAST - New York                            
San Diego Buffalo
1) ARIZONA 1) SYRACUSE
16) NO COLORADO / SOUTHERN 16) ALBANY
8) Florida State 8) Illinois
9) GONZAGA 9) Xavier
San Diego Orlando
5) LOUISVILLE 5) Memphis
12) UAB 12) TOLEDO
4) Kansas 4) Kentucky
13) UC-SANTA BARBARA 13) MANHATTAN
San Antonio Spokane
6) Michigan 6) Missouri
11) Notre Dame 11) HARVARD
3) WICHITA STATE 3) Oregon
14) BELMONT 14) NEW MEXICO ST
San Antonio Buffalo
7) New Mexico 7) Pittsburgh
10) Connecticut 10) Kansas State
2) BAYLOR 2) Ohio State
15) DREXEL 15) BOSTON UNIVERSITY
SOUTH – Memphis MIDWEST – Indianapolis
Milwaukee Milwaukee
1) MICHIGAN STATE 1) WISCONSIN
16) DAVIDSON 16) E. TENN ST / NC-ASHEVILLE
8) Saint Louis 8) UCLA
9) Georgetown 9) Dayton
Raleigh Spokane
5) MASSACHUSETTS 5) SAN DIEGO ST
12) Oklahoma / California 12) Virginia / Texas
4) Duke 4) Colorado
13) GREEN BAY 13) NORTH DAKOTA ST
St. Louis St. Louis
6) Iowa 6) North Carolina
11) Tennessee 11) Minnesota
3) Oklahoma State 3) Iowa State
14) S.F. AUSTIN 14) WESTERN KENTUCKY
Orlando Raleigh
7) Creighton 7) Cincinnati
10) VCU 10) Arkansas
2) FLORIDA 2) VILLANOVA
15) NC-CENTRAL 15) BRYANT

NOTES on the BRACKET: Arizona is the overall No. 1 seed followed by Syracuse, Wisconsin, and Michigan State.

Last Five teams in (at large): Tennessee, Virginia, California, Oklahoma, Texas

First Five teams out (at large): George Washington, LSU, Stanford, Boise State, Butler

Next five teams out (at large): SMU, Arizona State, Purdue, BYU, Saint Mary’s

Breakdown by Conference …

Big Ten (7): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota

Big 12 (7): Kansas, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas

ACC (7): Duke, Syracuse, North Carolina, Florida State, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Virginia

Pac 12 (5): Arizona, Oregon, Colorado, UCLA, California

SEC (5): Kentucky, Florida, Missouri, Arkansas, Tennessee

Atlantic 10 (4): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, Dayton

American (4): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati

Big East (4): Creighton, Georgetown, Villanova, Xavier

Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State

Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State

West Coast (1): Gonzaga

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … UAB (C-USA), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Western Kentucky (Sun Belt), Boston University (Patriot), North Dakota State (Summit), Green Bay (Horizon), Davidson (Southern), New Mexico State (WAC), Manhattan (MAAC), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), Toledo (MAC), East Tennessee State (A-Sun), Harvard (IVY), UC-Santa Barbara (Big West), Drexel (Colonial), Albany (American East), Northern Colorado (Big Sky), NC-Central (MEAC), UNC-Asheville (Big South), Bryant (NEC), Southern (SWAC)

Latest Posts
  1. Minnesota adds 6-foot-9 freshman power forward to roster

    Dec 18, 2014, 5:59 PM EST

    Richard Pitino AP

    Gaston Diedhiou was denied admission to Minnesota during the summer, and he is now eligible immediately after passing an English proficiency exam.

  2. New Year’s Resolutions: San Diego State Aztecs

    Dec 18, 2014, 5:08 PM EST

    Utah v San Diego State Utah v San Diego State

    While the focus has been on the Aztecs’ shooting percentages, their ability to find quality looks has been a big reason why they’ve struggled.

  3. Pregame Shootaround: Is Duke-UConn a rivalry?

    Dec 18, 2014, 3:45 PM EST

    brimah AP

    When do we start counting Duke-UConn as a rivalry?

  4. Louisville loses former top 100 big man to transfer

    Dec 18, 2014, 3:33 PM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Agau was buried on the Louisville bench with a number of young guys in front of him.

  5. Film Session: What’s plaguing Marcus Paige?

    Dec 18, 2014, 2:34 PM EST

    Marcus Paige (Getty Images) Marcus Paige (Getty Images)

    A deep look into the early-season struggles of Marcus Paige and whether or not they are fixable.

  6. Throwback Thursday: UConn ‘Shocks The World’ against Duke (VIDEO)

    Dec 18, 2014, 12:48 PM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    The last two times these teams have squared off in big games, the outcome has been memorable.

  7. New Year’s Resolutions: Virginia Cavaliers

    Dec 18, 2014, 10:53 AM EST

    Justin Anderson (AP Photo) Justin Anderson (AP Photo)

    Three-point shooting might be the key to the Virginia season.

  8. Lauren Hill’s playing career over, to become honorary coach

    Dec 18, 2014, 9:59 AM EST

    Lauren Hill AP

    She may not be playing anymore, but Lauren’s time with the basketball program has not yet come to an end.

  9. Cal Poly’s David Nwaba spins through traffic for a two-handed finish (VIDEO)

    Dec 18, 2014, 8:45 AM EST

    Cal Poly Athletics Cal Poly Athletics

    David Nwaba scored 11 second-half points to help lead the Mustangs back from a 14-points halftime deficit. Here are two of those points.

  10. Cody Doolin’s late-game heroics push UNLV past Portland (VIDEO)

    Dec 18, 2014, 8:00 AM EST

    Will Cummings, Cody Doolin AP

    Doolin finished the game with 15 points, three assists and no turnovers, and made two huge plays to get UNLV the two-point win over Portland.

  11. American’s struggles makes Cincinnati’s win over San Diego State enormous

    Dec 18, 2014, 12:04 AM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    This is the first win that the American has landed over a ranked team.

  12. Michigan State’s Branden Dawson suffers sprained left wrist in win over Eastern Michigan

    Dec 18, 2014, 12:00 AM EST

    Branden Dawson, Jalen Hayes, Matt Costello AP

    Dawson’s injury occurred on the same night that freshman Javon Bess made his regular season debut for the Spartans.

  13. Senior forward/center Erik Copes leaves George Mason program

    Dec 17, 2014, 10:33 PM EST

    Fordham v George Mason Fordham v George Mason

    Copes played in just four games this season due to injury.

  14. Green Bay with an off-the-glass alley-oop in a half court set (VIDEO)

    Dec 17, 2014, 10:07 PM EST

    AP AP

    The best part is that it was very much intentional

  15. Late Night Snacks: Ralston Turner, Trevor Lacey lead NC State past Tennessee

    Dec 17, 2014, 9:20 PM EST

    Ralston Turner AP

    Delaware State’s Amere May scored more points than anyone in college basketball has this season.

  16. Already lacking front court depth, Siena loses starting forward to ankle injury

    Dec 17, 2014, 8:19 PM EST

    Lavon Long,Karachi Edo Lavon Long,Karachi Edo

    With Lavon Long and Brett Bisping now sidelined, the Saints are without their two best rebounders.

  17. New Year’s Resolutions: Texas Longhorns

    Dec 17, 2014, 6:55 PM EST

    Rick Barnes Rick Barnes

    Defense and turnovers will be the keys for Texas when Big 12 play begins.

  18. Chase for 180: So far, so good for Virginia’s Justin Anderson

    Dec 17, 2014, 5:56 PM EST

    Justin Anderson, Jordan Price AP

    After shooting 40.7% from the field and 29.4% from three as a sophomore, Anderson’s off to a hot start for the sixth-ranked Cavaliers.

  19. Dayton dismisses big men Devon Scott, Jalen Robinson from program

    Dec 17, 2014, 4:26 PM EST

    Archie Miller Archie Miller

    With these dismissals Dayton has no eligible players taller than 6-foot-6.

  20. Pregame Shootaround: No. 19 SDSU gets a test at Cincinnati, Vols take on N.C. State

    Dec 17, 2014, 4:00 PM EST

    Winston Shepard (AP Photo) AP

    This may be the most interesting night of hoops this week.