Jan 21, 2014, 11:54 AM EDT
Since losing to San Diego State, the Kansas Jayhawks have put together a five-game surge that includes victories over its biggest competitors in the Big 12 conference – Oklahoma, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, and Baylor. Two of those (Oklahoma, Iowa State) were on the road. Add in victories over Duke and New Mexico in non-conference play, and KU has notched eight Top 50 RPI victories. That’s two more than Syracuse, four more than Arizona, and three more than Michigan State – the other members of today’s No. 1 seed club. It’s also worth noting that Kansas has played the nation’s toughest schedule and currently sits atop the RPI. That’s a pretty strong profile (despite four losses – all to Top 25 RPI Teams), and the primary reason why the Jayhawks received the No. 4 slot on this week’s seed list (s-curve). When evaluating KU’s overall body of work, it’s pretty strong.
We still have two months to go and several other teams could reach the No. 1 seed line by March. Teams like Florida and Wichita State are building strong resumes, as is San Diego State. And it’s too early to count out Iowa, Michigan, or Wisconsin from the Big Ten title chase. The final contenders will be much more clear by mid-February.
On the flip side, January hasn’t been a good month for teams like Ohio State, Baylor, and North Carolina – or Georgetown for that matter; as the Hoyas are among the First Five OUT today. Through the first third of conference play, the Buckeyes, Bears, and Tar Heels own a combined 4-12 record (in league play). Some of that is due to scheduling and some of it has been inconsistent play. Either way, it would be a good time for those squads to reverse course. By the time we reach mid-February, a seriously sub-par conference record will not be endearing to the Selection Committee.
One of the best things about college basketball is that we never know what will happen. Enjoy the hoops.
UPDATED: January 21, 2014
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings with RPI as a tiebreaker for teams with the same number of losses. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).
Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- BYU vs. Arkansas | Midwest Region
- VCU vs. Providence | South Region
- SAVANNAH ST vs. UNC-ASHEVILLE | East Region
- SOUTHERN vs. CHATTANOOGA | South Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|WEST – Anaheim||EAST – New York|
|1) ARIZONA||1) SYRACUSE|
|16) SOUTH DAKOTA||16) SAVANNAH ST / NC-ASHEVILLE|
|8) Baylor||8) Xavier|
|9) GONZAGA||9) UCLA|
|5) Duke||5) Oklahoma|
|12) GREEN BAY||12) HARVARD|
|4) Kentucky||4) Michigan|
|13) S.F. AUSTIN||13) MANHATTAN|
|6) Kansas State||6) Memphis|
|11) Stanford||11) Dayton|
|3) SAN DIEGO STATE||3) Iowa State|
|14) UC-IRVINE||14) GEORGIA STATE|
|7) Connecticut||7) Ohio State|
|10) Missouri||10) Florida State|
|2) Wisconsin||2) Villanova|
|15) UTAH VALLEY||15) BOSTON UNIVERSITY|
|SOUTH – Memphis||MIDWEST – Indianapolis|
|1) KANSAS||1) MICHIGAN STATE|
|16) SOUTHERN / CHATTANOOGA||16) ROBERT MORRIS|
|8) Oregon||8) Colorado|
|9) Minnesota||9) New Mexico|
|5) Pittsburgh||5) CREIGHTON|
|12) SOUTHERN MISS||12) BYU / Arkansas|
|4) MASSACHUSETTS||4) CINCINNATI|
|13) TOLEDO||13) MERCER|
|San Antonio||San Antonio|
|6) Louisville||6) Saint Louis|
|11) VCU / Providence||11) North Carolina|
|3) Iowa||3) Oklahoma State|
|14) DELAWARE||14) BELMONT|
|7) Virginia||7) California|
|10) Texas||10) George Washington|
|2) FLORIDA||2) WICHITA STATE|
|15) STONY BROOK||15) NO COLORADO|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Arizona is the overall No. 1 seed followed by Syracuse, Michigan State, and Kansas.
Last Five teams in (at large): Dayton, VCU, Providence, Arkansas, BYU
First Five teams out (at large): SMU, Tennessee, Clemson, Boise State, Georgetown
Next five teams out (at large): Purdue, LSU, Saint Mary’s, Ole Miss, Illinois
Breakdown by Conference …
Big 12 (7): Kansas, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas
Big Ten (6): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota
Pac 12 (6): Arizona, Oregon, Colorado, UCLA, California, Stanford
ACC (6): Duke, Syracuse, North Carolina, Florida State, Pittsburgh, Virginia
Atlantic 10 (5): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, Dayton, Geo Washington
SEC (4): Kentucky, Florida, Missouri, Arkansas
American (4): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati
Big East (4): Creighton, Villanova, Xavier, Providence
Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State
West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU
Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … Southern Miss (C-USA), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Georgia State (Sun Belt), Boston University (Patriot), South Dakota (Summit), Green Bay (Horizon), Chattanooga (Southern), Utah Valley (WAC), Manhattan (MAAC), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), Toledo (MAC), Mercer (A-Sun), Harvard (IVY), UC-Irvine (Big West), Delaware (Colonial), Stony Brook (American East), Northern Colorado (Big Sky), Savannah State (MEAC), UNC-Asheville (Big South), Robert Morris (NEC), Southern (SWAC)
Jun 30, 2015, 10:00 PM EDT
Virginia has some talented backcourt pieces committed in the 2016 class.
Jun 30, 2015, 9:00 PM EDT
Kansas head coach Bill Self had the jumper going before practice in South Korea.
Jun 30, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
Cincinnati landed a big man target right before the July live period.
Jun 30, 2015, 7:03 PM EDT
Shaka Smart landed the brother of a recent NBA draft pick.
Jun 30, 2015, 5:45 PM EDT
Should I mention he throws the ball off the backboard to himself?
Jun 30, 2015, 4:30 PM EDT
One of the best passers in the Class of 2016, Howard Washington, committed to Butler on Tuesday.
Jun 30, 2015, 3:35 PM EDT
Rick Barnes spoke publicly for the first time about accusations levied against Texas.
Jun 30, 2015, 2:30 PM EDT
A very weak class has some decent guards.
Jun 30, 2015, 1:48 PM EDT
Sindarius Thornwell and TeMarcus Blanton both underwent surgery this offseason.
Jun 30, 2015, 11:55 AM EDT
Harry Giles and Jayson Tatum led the way for the Americans.
Jun 30, 2015, 11:26 AM EDT
Cal’s name seems to always pop up in the NBA.
Jun 30, 2015, 10:47 AM EDT
It will be expanded into a full-length movie.
Jun 30, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT
It’s fun to watch Tacko Fall dominate high school competition.
Jun 29, 2015, 10:05 PM EDT
Maverick Rowan is reportedly focused on three schools.
Jun 29, 2015, 9:00 PM EDT
UCF is losing its third-leading scorer from last season to transfer.
Jun 29, 2015, 7:30 PM EDT
Xavier landed a three-star forward on Monday.
Jun 29, 2015, 6:00 PM EDT
Former Iowa State head coach Fred Hoiberg returned to Hilton Coliseum to give one final pre-game speech before a fantasy camp.
Jun 29, 2015, 4:52 PM EDT
It should not be a surprise who the best player from this class ended up being.
Jun 29, 2015, 2:30 PM EDT
Tony Hawk approves this court.
Jun 29, 2015, 1:40 PM EDT
Ryan has never finished below fourth in the Big Ten.
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