Skip to content

Bracketology: Overtime pays off for Arkansas, Oregon

Feb 28, 2014, 1:15 PM EDT

anderson Getty Images

It was quite a night for a couple of bubble teams.

With March knocking on the door, road wins for Arkansas and Oregon pushed the Razorbacks and Ducks into the Field of 68 – they are paired against each other in a First Four matchup in Dayton.  Missouri and Minnesota are the other at-large participants in today’s Opening Round games. The revolving door, known as the 2014 bubble, continues to churn.

Nothing new at the top of the bracket: Florida, Arizona, Wichita State, and Syracuse retain No. 1 seeds.  In fact, there weren’t many changes – other than some regional adjustments – to the first quadrant (Top 4 seeds).  St. Louis did drop a seed line, with surging North Carolina now the final No. 4 seed (No. 16 on the s-curve).

Iowa continues to slide a bit, having lost three straight and 4 of 6 games.  The Hawkeyes are not in any danger of missing the NCAA Tournament at this point, but they are at risk of finding themselves in the 7-9 seed range without reversing course.  A rather weak non-conference schedule isn’t helping: Iowa’s best non-league wins are Xavier, UTEP, and Notre Dame.

Buckle up for a busy weekend of college hoops.  Championship Week is right around the corner.

UPDATED: February 28, 2014

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings with RPI as a tiebreaker for teams with the same number of losses. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).

Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament.  You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com.   For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected.  The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Arkansas vs. Oregon Midwest Region
  • Missouri vs. Minnesota South Region
  • ALABAMA STATE vs. UTAH VALLEY East Region
  • WEBER STATE vs. HIGH POINT Midwest Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

SOUTH – Memphis                            WEST – Anaheim                              
Orlando San Diego
1) FLORIDA 1) ARIZONA
16) DAVIDSON 16) ROBERT MORRIS
8) VCU 8) SMU
9) GONZAGA 9) Pittsburgh
Spokane Spokane
5) Louisville 5) Kentucky
12) Missouri / Minnesota 12) BYU
4) VIRGINIA 4) Iowa State
13) BELMONT 13) NORTH DAKOTA ST
San Antonio Raleigh
6) UCLA 6) Ohio State
11) Oklahoma State 11) Saint Joseph’s
3) San Diego State 3) Duke
14)  GEORGIA STATE 14) S.F. AUSTIN
Buffalo Milwaukee
7) Kansas State 7) Stanford
10) Xavier 10) Baylor
2) MICHIGAN 2) CREIGHTON
15) VERMONT 15) UC-IRVINE
EAST – New York MIDWEST – Indianapolis
Buffalo St. Louis
1) SYRACUSE 1) WICHITA STATE
16) UTAH VALLEY / ALABAMA ST 16) WEBER ST / HIGH POINT
8) George Washington 8) Iowa
9) Arizona State 9) Memphis
Orlando San Diego
5) Texas 5) SAINT LOUIS
12) HARVARD 12) SOUTHERN MISS
4) CINCINNATI 4) North Carolina
13) DELAWARE 13) WESTERN MICHIGAN
Raleigh San Antonio
6) Oklahoma 6) NEW MEXICO
11) GREEN BAY 11) Arkansas / Oregon
3) Villanova 3) Michigan State
14) IONA 14) MERCER
Milwaukee St. Louis
7) Massachusetts 7) Connecticut
10) Colorado 10) California
2) Wisconsin 2) KANSAS
15) BOSTON UNIVERSITY 15) NC-CENTRAL

NOTES on the BRACKET: Florida is the overall No. 1 seed followed by Arizona, Wichita State, and Syracuse.

Last Five teams in (at large): Oklahoma State, Arkansas, Missouri, Oregon, Minnesota

First Five teams out (at large): Providence, Tennessee, Georgetown, Richmond, Dayton

Next five teams out (at large): Nebraska, LSU, Florida State, St. John’s, Marquette

Breakdown by Conference …

Big 12 (7): Kansas, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma State

Pac 12 (7): Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, California, Stanford, Arizona State, Oregon

Big Ten (6): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota

Atlantic 10 (5): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, George Washington, Saint Joseph’s

ACC (5): Duke, Syracuse, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Virginia

American (5): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati, SMU

SEC (4): Kentucky, Florida, Missouri, Arkansas

Big East (3): Creighton, Villanova, Xavier

Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU

Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … Southern Miss (C-USA), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Georgia State (Sun Belt), Boston University (Patriot), North Dakota State (Summit), Green Bay (Horizon), Davidson (Southern), Utah Valley (WAC), Iona (MAAC), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), Western Michigan (MAC), Mercer (A-Sun), Harvard (IVY), UC-Irvine (Big West), Delaware (Colonial), Vermont (American East), Weber State (Big Sky), NC-Central (MEAC), High Point (Big South), Robert Morris (NEC), Alabama State (SWAC)

Latest Posts
  1. Indiana dismisses Emmitt Holt

    Aug 31, 2015, 4:44 PM EDT

    AP AP

    Indiana dismissed the forward after his second alcohol-related incident.

  2. Bill Self remains “confident” Cheick Diallo will be eligible this season

    Aug 31, 2015, 4:35 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP

    Cheick Diallo is still waiting to hear from the NCAA Eligibility Center.

  3. Five-star 2016 guard Frank Jackson set to announce his decision

    Aug 31, 2015, 2:05 PM EDT

    (adidas) (adidas)

    Frank Jackson will make his college decision on Tuesday.

  4. New mixtape of five-star 2016 guard Rawle Alkins (VIDEO)

    Aug 31, 2015, 12:45 PM EDT

    Adidas Eurocamp 2015 - Day One Getty Images

    Rawle Alkins is one of the best players to come out of New York in years.

  5. Wisconsin’s Bo Ryan makes another statement wavering on potential retirement

    Aug 31, 2015, 11:20 AM EDT

    boryan Getty Images

    Wisconsin head coach Bo Ryan seems to be taking things slowly when it comes to deciding his future.

  6. Five-star 2016 big man Marques Bolden is down to seven schools

    Aug 31, 2015, 10:00 AM EDT

    (Nike) (Nike)

    Texas native Marques Bolden is focusing on seven schools.

  7. Rick Pitino blogs about his summer with Louisville and the Puerto Rican national team

    Aug 31, 2015, 9:05 AM EDT

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Rick Pitino gives some candid thoughts on Louisville and Puerto Rico.

  8. Iowa State lands Iowa Western CC point guard Donovan Jackson

    Aug 30, 2015, 9:52 PM EDT

    Steve Prohm AP

    With Monte’ Morris being a junior and Nick Noskowiak leaving the program, Iowa State needed a point guard in the 2016 class.

  9. Michigan State caps Italy trip with one-point loss to Georgian national team (VIDEO)

    Aug 30, 2015, 8:41 PM EDT

    Lourawls Nairn Jr. AP

    These games against seasoned competition will help Michigan State in the tough Big Ten this season.

  10. Syracuse guard Michael Gbinije helps Nigeria clinch Olympic berth

    Aug 30, 2015, 7:27 PM EDT

    Michael Gbinije AP

    Gbinije averaged 7.3 points and 2.1 rebounds per game at Afrobasket.

  11. Avoiding summer fatigue key for Illinois junior Malcolm Hill

    Aug 30, 2015, 6:01 PM EDT

    Malcolm Hill AP

    Hill led the team in minutes played last season, and it’s been tough to keep him out of the gym this summer despite attempts to get him to spend some time resting.

  12. Stanford getting great production from Reid Travis on overseas trip

    Aug 30, 2015, 1:05 PM EDT

    AP Photo AP Photo

    Reid Travis is looking like a potential go-to scorer for the Cardinal this season after some strong outings in Europe.

  13. Colorado State finds difficulty scheduling good non-conference games

    Aug 30, 2015, 10:50 AM EDT

    Larry Eustachy AP

    Colorado State is having a rough go of getting great programs to play in their building.

  14. POSTERIZED: Northwestern’s Scottie Lindsey dunks on a defender on team’s foreign trip (VIDEO)

    Aug 30, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT

    Purdue Northwestern Basketball AP

    Scottie Lindsey put one on a defender during Northwestern’s trip to Spain.

  15. Assistant coach Dwayne ‘Tiny’ Morton leaves Seton Hall staff

    Aug 30, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT

    Seton Hall Athletics Seton Hall Athletics

    According to the New York Post, Morton will go back to teaching full-time.

  16. Michigan State falls short against Italian national team (VIDEO)

    Aug 29, 2015, 9:04 PM EDT

    Tom Izzo, Alvin Ellis III AP

    Michigan State scheduled games against three national teams preparing for next month’s Eurobasket championships (Russia, Italy and Georgia).

  17. European shooting guard not joining Western Kentucky program

    Aug 29, 2015, 6:50 PM EDT

    Ray Harper AP

    According to head coach Ray Harper, Kristaps Gluditis was regarded as one of the top shooters in Europe.

  18. French power forward Killian Tillie commits to Gonzaga

    Aug 29, 2015, 4:39 PM EDT

    cd0ymzcznguwzdbhnduynddiytjhm2yyzthlmtjjotqwyyznptc5mwmxmje1ngi4y2iwzjgyn2qxyjgxntuxnzu1ndm0 AP

    Tillie is a skilled forward who will have the chance to contribute immediately in 2016-17 due to the eventual losses of Kyle Wiltjer and Przemek Karnowski (both are seniors this season).

  19. North Carolina’s Theo Pinson calls his shot before draining a deep shot in the Dean Dome (VIDEO)

    Aug 29, 2015, 1:30 PM EDT

    Virginia Tech v North Carolina Getty Images

    Theo Pinson makes a bold statement and backs it up by burying a tough shot.