Mar 3, 2014, 8:11 AM EDT
We’re two weeks from Selection Sunday and we’ve got a long way to go.
Championship Week is going to be fun and tension-filled. As this juncture, as many as 15 at-large spots remain uncertain. That’s a high number entering March. Here’s what we do know. Barring an unexpected turn of events, Florida and Arizona will be No. 1 seeds. Although the Gators retain their overall No. 1 seed today, the Wildcats may pass them soon. Either way, it’s about time to lock them in to the South and West regions.
Today’s bracket is also quite unsettled when it comes to the seed list. The first four lines (s-curve spots 1-16) are pretty solid. The middle tier could fluctuate greatly depending on conference tournament results. Teams are that tightly bunched. As for the bubble, it continues to move and shift. Depending on which resume criteria or metrics you prefer, the final teams in and first teams out could be ranked in a variety of orders. Every Selection Committee member will have his or her own viewpoint. Hopefully, a few things will clear between now and March 16.
It’s also worth mentioning the potential for bid thieves – a surprise team winning its conference tournament. For example, if Wichita State were to lose in the Missouri Valley tourney, there would be one less at-large bid available. We saw this happen at the SEC tournament a year ago.
Buckle up, it’s going to be a fun ride.
UPDATED: March 3, 2014
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings with RPI as a tiebreaker for teams with the same number of losses. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).
Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Missouri vs. Oregon | Midwest Region
- Colorado vs. Tennessee | West Region
- ALABAMA STATE vs. FLA GULF COAST | South Region
- WEBER STATE vs. HIGH POINT | Midwest Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|SOUTH – Memphis||WEST – Anaheim|
|1) FLORIDA||1) ARIZONA|
|16) FLA GULF COAST / ALABAMA ST||16) UTAH VALLEY|
|8) SMU||8) VCU|
|9) Stanford||9) Baylor|
|5) Oklahoma||5) Louisville|
|12) SOUTHERN MISS||12) HARVARD|
|4) North Carolina||4) Michigan State|
|13) DELAWARE||13) NORTH DAKOTA ST|
|6) Connecticut||6) NEW MEXICO|
|11) BYU||11) Colorado / Tennessee|
|3) VILLANOVA||3) Iowa State|
|14) S.F. AUSTIN||14) BOSTON UNIVERSITY|
|7) Kansas State||7) Massachusetts|
|10) Pittsburgh||10) GONZAGA|
|2) MICHIGAN||2) VIRGINIA|
|15) DAVIDSON||15) UC-IRVINE|
|EAST – New York||MIDWEST – Indianapolis|
|St. Louis||St. Louis|
|1) KANSAS||1) WICHITA STATE|
|16) ROBERT MORRIS||16) WEBER ST / HIGH POINT|
|8) Iowa||8) Arizona State|
|9) George Washington||9) Xavier|
|5) UCLA||5) Texas|
|12) GREEN BAY||12) Missouri / Oregon|
|4) CINCINNATI||4) San Diego State|
|13) TOLEDO||13) BELMONT|
|6) Kentucky||6) SAINT LOUIS|
|11) Oklahoma State||11) California|
|3) Creighton||3) Duke|
|14) IONA||14) GEORGIA STATE|
|7) Ohio State||7) Memphis|
|10) Saint Joseph’s||10) Arkansas|
|2) Syracuse||2) Wisconsin|
|15) VERMONT||15) NC-CENTRAL|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Florida remains the overall No. 1 seed followed by Arizona, Wichita State, and Kansas.
Last Five teams in (at large): BYU, Colorado, Missouri, Oregon, Tennessee
First Five teams out (at large): Dayton, Providence, Georgetown, Nebraska, Minnesota
Next five teams out (at large): Florida State, St. John’s, LSU, Clemson, Marquette
Breakdown by Conference …
Big 12 (7): Kansas, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma State
Pac 12 (7): Arizona, UCLA, California, Stanford, Arizona State, Oregon, Colorado
Big Ten (5): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin
Atlantic 10 (5): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, George Washington, Saint Joseph’s
ACC (5): Duke, Virginia, Syracuse, North Carolina, Pittsburgh
American (5): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati, SMU
SEC (5): Kentucky, Florida, Missouri, Arkansas, Tennessee
Big East (3): Creighton, Villanova, Xavier
Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State
West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU
Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … Southern Miss (C-USA), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Georgia State (Sun Belt), Boston University (Patriot), North Dakota State (Summit), Green Bay (Horizon), Davidson (Southern), Utah Valley (WAC), Iona (MAAC), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), Toledo (MAC), Florida Gulf Coast (A-Sun), Harvard (IVY), UC-Irvine (Big West), Delaware (Colonial), Vermont (American East), Weber State (Big Sky), NC-Central (MEAC), High Point (Big South), Robert Morris (NEC), Alabama State (SWAC)
Jul 1, 2015, 10:05 PM EDT
Dillard becomes Oklahoma State’s fourth addition to the program.
Jul 1, 2015, 9:00 PM EDT
Next up for the United States is Italy, and they could run into hosts Greece in the semifinals.
Jul 1, 2015, 8:10 PM EDT
Jones recently received his qualifying score on the SAT, only to inform SDSU that he wanted to be released from his NLI.
Former Illinois women’s basketball players file lawsuit against athletic director, head coach and former assistant
Jul 1, 2015, 6:45 PM EDT
AD Mike Thomas stated in May that there would be an investigation into the allegations.
Jul 1, 2015, 5:03 PM EDT
KD, Stephen and Russ lead the way, and two of those three weren’t even ranked coming out of high school.
Jul 1, 2015, 4:50 PM EDT
Cal already has two members of its 2015 class on campus, and they added another to the mix Wednesday.
Jul 1, 2015, 3:54 PM EDT
He’s currently teammates with a soon-to-be Oregon Duck. Hmm …
Jul 1, 2015, 1:53 PM EDT
That makes three commitments in 24 hours for Cincinnati.
Jul 1, 2015, 12:30 PM EDT
Terrence Samuel was recruited over at UConn.
Jul 1, 2015, 11:24 AM EDT
Kansas is in South Korea repping the USA in the World University Games.
Jul 1, 2015, 10:00 AM EDT
Minnesota head coach Richard Pitino gave his take on the situation surrounding Jarvis Johnson.
Jul 1, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT
Missouri is missing sophomore forward Montaque Gill-Caesar from summer workouts.
Jun 30, 2015, 10:00 PM EDT
Virginia has some talented backcourt pieces committed in the 2016 class.
Jun 30, 2015, 9:00 PM EDT
Kansas head coach Bill Self had the jumper going before practice in South Korea.
Jun 30, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
Cincinnati landed a big man target right before the July live period.
Jun 30, 2015, 7:03 PM EDT
Shaka Smart landed the brother of a recent NBA draft pick.
Jun 30, 2015, 5:45 PM EDT
Should I mention he throws the ball off the backboard to himself?
Jun 30, 2015, 4:30 PM EDT
One of the best passers in the Class of 2016, Howard Washington, committed to Butler on Tuesday.
Jun 30, 2015, 3:35 PM EDT
Rick Barnes spoke publicly for the first time about accusations levied against Texas.
Jun 30, 2015, 2:30 PM EDT
A very weak class has some decent guards.
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