Mar 3, 2014, 8:11 AM EDT
We’re two weeks from Selection Sunday and we’ve got a long way to go.
Championship Week is going to be fun and tension-filled. As this juncture, as many as 15 at-large spots remain uncertain. That’s a high number entering March. Here’s what we do know. Barring an unexpected turn of events, Florida and Arizona will be No. 1 seeds. Although the Gators retain their overall No. 1 seed today, the Wildcats may pass them soon. Either way, it’s about time to lock them in to the South and West regions.
Today’s bracket is also quite unsettled when it comes to the seed list. The first four lines (s-curve spots 1-16) are pretty solid. The middle tier could fluctuate greatly depending on conference tournament results. Teams are that tightly bunched. As for the bubble, it continues to move and shift. Depending on which resume criteria or metrics you prefer, the final teams in and first teams out could be ranked in a variety of orders. Every Selection Committee member will have his or her own viewpoint. Hopefully, a few things will clear between now and March 16.
It’s also worth mentioning the potential for bid thieves – a surprise team winning its conference tournament. For example, if Wichita State were to lose in the Missouri Valley tourney, there would be one less at-large bid available. We saw this happen at the SEC tournament a year ago.
Buckle up, it’s going to be a fun ride.
UPDATED: March 3, 2014
Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings with RPI as a tiebreaker for teams with the same number of losses. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).
Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.
FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)
- Missouri vs. Oregon | Midwest Region
- Colorado vs. Tennessee | West Region
- ALABAMA STATE vs. FLA GULF COAST | South Region
- WEBER STATE vs. HIGH POINT | Midwest Region
BRACKET PROJECTION …
|SOUTH – Memphis||WEST – Anaheim|
|1) FLORIDA||1) ARIZONA|
|16) FLA GULF COAST / ALABAMA ST||16) UTAH VALLEY|
|8) SMU||8) VCU|
|9) Stanford||9) Baylor|
|5) Oklahoma||5) Louisville|
|12) SOUTHERN MISS||12) HARVARD|
|4) North Carolina||4) Michigan State|
|13) DELAWARE||13) NORTH DAKOTA ST|
|6) Connecticut||6) NEW MEXICO|
|11) BYU||11) Colorado / Tennessee|
|3) VILLANOVA||3) Iowa State|
|14) S.F. AUSTIN||14) BOSTON UNIVERSITY|
|7) Kansas State||7) Massachusetts|
|10) Pittsburgh||10) GONZAGA|
|2) MICHIGAN||2) VIRGINIA|
|15) DAVIDSON||15) UC-IRVINE|
|EAST – New York||MIDWEST – Indianapolis|
|St. Louis||St. Louis|
|1) KANSAS||1) WICHITA STATE|
|16) ROBERT MORRIS||16) WEBER ST / HIGH POINT|
|8) Iowa||8) Arizona State|
|9) George Washington||9) Xavier|
|5) UCLA||5) Texas|
|12) GREEN BAY||12) Missouri / Oregon|
|4) CINCINNATI||4) San Diego State|
|13) TOLEDO||13) BELMONT|
|6) Kentucky||6) SAINT LOUIS|
|11) Oklahoma State||11) California|
|3) Creighton||3) Duke|
|14) IONA||14) GEORGIA STATE|
|7) Ohio State||7) Memphis|
|10) Saint Joseph’s||10) Arkansas|
|2) Syracuse||2) Wisconsin|
|15) VERMONT||15) NC-CENTRAL|
NOTES on the BRACKET: Florida remains the overall No. 1 seed followed by Arizona, Wichita State, and Kansas.
Last Five teams in (at large): BYU, Colorado, Missouri, Oregon, Tennessee
First Five teams out (at large): Dayton, Providence, Georgetown, Nebraska, Minnesota
Next five teams out (at large): Florida State, St. John’s, LSU, Clemson, Marquette
Breakdown by Conference …
Big 12 (7): Kansas, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma State
Pac 12 (7): Arizona, UCLA, California, Stanford, Arizona State, Oregon, Colorado
Big Ten (5): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin
Atlantic 10 (5): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, George Washington, Saint Joseph’s
ACC (5): Duke, Virginia, Syracuse, North Carolina, Pittsburgh
American (5): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati, SMU
SEC (5): Kentucky, Florida, Missouri, Arkansas, Tennessee
Big East (3): Creighton, Villanova, Xavier
Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State
West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU
Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State
Conference Automatic Qualifiers … Southern Miss (C-USA), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Georgia State (Sun Belt), Boston University (Patriot), North Dakota State (Summit), Green Bay (Horizon), Davidson (Southern), Utah Valley (WAC), Iona (MAAC), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), Toledo (MAC), Florida Gulf Coast (A-Sun), Harvard (IVY), UC-Irvine (Big West), Delaware (Colonial), Vermont (American East), Weber State (Big Sky), NC-Central (MEAC), High Point (Big South), Robert Morris (NEC), Alabama State (SWAC)
May 24, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT
Already thin at the point, the situation becomes even tougher for first-year head coach Chris Mullin if this turns out to be the case.
May 23, 2015, 9:51 PM EDT
A Big 12 and a Big Ten program are among those due who have reached out to the 7-foot-2 Fairfield Prep (Connecticut) product.
May 23, 2015, 7:32 PM EDT
Colorado’s Tad Boyle doesn’t like the proposed shot clock change, and he made a good point about the physical nature of college basketball today.
May 23, 2015, 5:28 PM EDT
Les led the Aggies to a school-record (Division I era) 25 wins and their first Big West regular season title last season.
May 23, 2015, 3:45 PM EDT
Noah Dickerson had previously committed to Georgetown and Florida.
May 23, 2015, 2:00 PM EDT
The former Wolverine could remain in the Big Ten.
May 23, 2015, 12:00 PM EDT
The Wisconsin big man averaged 16.4 points and 7.3 rebounds per game in his last two seasons.
May 23, 2015, 10:30 AM EDT
The sophomore guard missed the final 12 games of the season.
May 23, 2015, 9:18 AM EDT
He is the younger brother of former UCLA Bruin Shabazz Muhammad.
May 22, 2015, 10:30 PM EDT
Nevada landed an impact transfer that could help at guard after next season.
May 22, 2015, 9:15 PM EDT
Arizona will have some intriguing home-and-home games to go along with an in-season tournament.
May 22, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
Cliff Alexander might have returned for his sophomore season if the NCAA had not been involved.
May 22, 2015, 7:00 PM EDT
Kentucky promoted a familiar face for the open assistant spot.
May 22, 2015, 5:45 PM EDT
Nebraska loses a commitment who could be headed elsewhere soon.
May 22, 2015, 4:27 PM EDT
Fox has led the Bulldogs to two NCAA tournament appearances in his six years as head coach, including last season’s 21-win team.
May 22, 2015, 2:40 PM EDT
The Rutgers perimeter rotation may be crowded, but there’s plenty of room for contributions as the team won just ten games last season.
May 22, 2015, 1:00 PM EDT
UNC now has 90 days to craft a response to the NCAA’s allegations.
May 22, 2015, 12:05 PM EDT
This isn’t the only addition UConn hopes to make to the 2016 class in the very near future.
May 22, 2015, 11:00 AM EDT
The Wildcats will also take on Arizona State, UCLA and Ohio State in non-conference play.
May 22, 2015, 9:50 AM EDT
Mohamed and Bakersfield big man Aly Ahmed argued in 2013 that bad advice led to them being ruled ineligible that season at Houston and Bakersfield, respectively.
- Academic issues may sideline St. John’s point guard for fall semester, maybe longer 0
- North Carolina announces receipt of Notice of Allegations from NCAA 2
- LSU’s ’25 is coming’ campaign doesn’t try to hide that they’re monetizing Ben Simmons 1
- Looking Forward: Catching up on the American’s offseason 1
- Five-star center Caleb Swanigan has committed to Purdue 8
- Friday’s most important rule changes only matter if refs actually enforce them 2
- Looking Forward: Catching up on the SEC’s offseason 1
- Sports book lists Maryland as early favorite to win national title (9)
- Five-star center Caleb Swanigan has committed to Purdue (8)
- John Calipari is selling his program when he says national title isn’t a goal (5)
- Frank Kaminsky writes a farewell letter to Wisconsin fans (5)
- Looking Forward: Catching up on the Big East’s offseason (4)