Skip to content

Bubble Banter: Is Pitt still an NCAA tournament team?

Mar 3, 2014, 11:55 PM EST

Pitt v Syracuse Getty Images

There are 12 days left until Selection Sunday. Every morning from now until the bracket comes out, we’ll help you get caught up on the happenings with impact on the bubble from the night before. 

You can see NBCSports.com’s latest bracket here.

Just for kicks, I’m going to give you a profile of a bubble team. You tell me if you think they’re tournament-worthy:

  • 22-8 overall
  • RPI: 46
  • 5-8 vs. top 100
  • 1-6 vs. top 50, with no wins better than vs. No. 40
  • Non-Con SOS: 243rd

That’s Pitt after they lost to N.C. State at home on Monday night (but before the loss is reflected in their RPI, which means they could end up dropping out of the top 50). The Panthers have literally done nothing of note this season, feasting on a weak non-conference schedule before notching just four top 100 wins in ACC play. Their best win of the season came against Stanford on a neutral floor.

Is that strong enough to be considered a lock for the tournament? Well, let’s just say they may want to avoid losing at Clemson on Saturday or in the first round of the ACC tournament.

Here’s the comforting fact for the Panthers: losing at home to N.C. State, a top 75 team in the RPI, is their worse loss of the season. Dayton is the first team out in Dave Ommen’s bracket update from Monday morning. Their RPI is 49, and while they’ve beaten three teams with better RPIs than Pitt has, they’ve also lost to three teams outside the top 130, including to USC at home.

Pitt’s resume is empty, but there are a lot of unimpressive resumes this season. The question becomes this: do you value good wins or a lack of bad losses more?

MONDAY’S BUBBLE ACTION: After landing a massive win over Creighton on Saturday, Xavier (RPI: 46, KenPom: 41) looked like they had played their way off the bubble and into the NCAA tournament.

Monday night changed that.

For starters, the Musketeers suffered their third sub-140 loss of the season as they were significantly outplayed in a 71-62 loss at Seton Hall. That drops Xavier to 20-10 overall and 10-7 in the Big East with their last game of the regular season being a visit from Villanova. Lose to Villanova and drop a game early in the Big East tournament, and all of a sudden Xavier is in real danger of winding up on the wrong side of the bubble on Selection Sunday. That’s what happens when your three top 50 wins are outweighed by three ugly losses.

Here’s the bigger concern, however: Matt Stainbrook, Xavier’s starting center, leading rebounder and third-leading scorer, went down in a heap after injuring his left knee. The status of the injury won’t be known until tomorrow, but it seems very unlikely that Stainbrook will be back any time soon.

After looking like they had locked up a bid, Xavier is right back in danger of heading to the NIT.

  • N.C. State (RPI: 72, KenPom: 91) still has a lot of work left to do, but they’re not out of the picture just yet after that win at Pitt.
  • Oklahoma State (RPI: , KenPom: 27), for my money, has locked themselves into a bid after following up the win over Kansas by beating Kansas State. One more win — which would either be at Iowa State or in the first round of the Big 12 tournament — should convince everyone else.
Latest Posts
  1. Three-plus months after undergoing brain surgery, Santa Clara senior forward makes season debut

    Jan 31, 2015, 11:43 PM EST

    Santa Clara Athletics Santa Clara Athletics

    Andrew Papenfus made his season debut for the Broncos Saturday night, just over three months after a benign tumor was removed from his brain.

  2. Briante Weber suffers season-ending knee injury in No. 14 VCU’s loss to Richmond

    Jan 31, 2015, 10:42 PM EST

    Briante Weber, Shaka Smart Briante Weber, Shaka Smart

    Kendall Anthony scored 20 points in the second half to lead Richmond to the 64-55 win, but the status of Weber is VCU’s greatest concern.

  3. No. 4 Duke ends No. 2 Virginia’s unbeaten season

    Jan 31, 2015, 9:03 PM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    No. 4 Duke lands a stunning, come-from-behind win over No. 2 Virginia.

  4. Louisville’s Montrezl Harrell channeled his inner Grant Hill Saturday afternoon (VIDEO)

    Jan 31, 2015, 8:31 PM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    In the midst of Louisville’s comeback from an 18-point deficit, Montrezl Harrell showed why he’s considered to be one of the best athletes in college basketball.

  5. Foul line, offensive rebounding aid No. 13 Louisville’s comeback effort

    Jan 31, 2015, 8:02 PM EST

    Montrezl Harrell, Justin Jackson Montrezl Harrell, Justin Jackson

    Louisville outscored North Carolina by 16 from the foul line and by 15 in second-chance points, which helped them erase an 18-point second half deficit.

  6. Saturday’s Snacks: No. 4 Duke rebounds to beat No. 2 Virginia, and No. 8 Notre Dame falls

    Jan 31, 2015, 7:10 PM EST

    Cameron Wright, James Robinson Cameron Wright, James Robinson

    Also of note Saturday afternoon was No. 18 Northern Iowa rolling past No. 12 Wichita State.

  7. Seth Tuttle, No. 18 Northern Iowa roll past No. 12 Wichita State

    Jan 31, 2015, 6:39 PM EST

    Seth Tuttle Seth Tuttle

    UNI went on a 22-6 run over a ten-plus minute stretch as they moved into a tie for first in the Missouri Valley.

  8. No. 8 Notre Dame upset by Pitt

    Jan 31, 2015, 3:11 PM EST

    Notre Dame v Pittsburgh Getty Images

    Jerian Grant, Notre Dame see comeback fall short at Pitt.

  9. Trevor Lacey’s insane 3-pointer gives N.C. State a buzzer-beating win at Georgia Tech (VIDEO)

    Jan 31, 2015, 2:34 PM EST

    Justin Jackson, Trevor Lacey, Marcus Paige AP

    Trevor Lacey makes one of the best buzzer-beaters of the season to give N.C. State a road win at Georgia Tech.

  10. POSTERIZED: Florida’s Alex Murphy dunks all over Arkansas defender after breaking a press (VIDEO)

    Jan 31, 2015, 1:45 PM EST

    Mississippi St Florida Basketball AP

    Florida’s Alex Murphy with a nominee for Saturday’s dunk of the day.

  11. Auburn coach Bruce Pearl greeted with cheers during first return to Tennessee (VIDEO)

    Jan 31, 2015, 1:15 PM EST

    Auburn Tennessee Basketball AP

    Bruce Pearl received a warm ovation from Tennessee fans in his first game back as an opposing head coach.

  12. Injured Illinois guards suspended indefinitely

    Jan 31, 2015, 12:34 PM EST

    Rayvonte Rice, Joseph Young AP

    Illinois will continue to be without two injured guards as both players were suspended indefinitely.

  13. UMBC loses leading scorer for the rest of the season

    Jan 31, 2015, 12:15 PM EST

    Maurice Walker, Aaron Morgan, Cody Joyce, Wayne Sparrow AP

    A tumultuous season gets worse for UMBC.

  14. POSTERIZED: Louisiana Tech’s Raheem Appleby goes over Western Kentucky defender for big dunk (VIDEO

    Jan 31, 2015, 11:15 AM EST

    Raheem Appleby, Markel Brown AP

    Raheem Appleby showed surprising hops as the 6-foot-4 guard threw down a solid dunk over a Western Kentucky defender.

  15. Rick Pitino on Terry Rozier’s impending NBA Draft decision: ‘He’s not coming back’

    Jan 31, 2015, 10:10 AM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Louisville head coach Rick Pitino believes one of his underclassmen will definitely leave for the NBA.

  16. Bill Self on the loss of Kansas-Missouri rivalry: ‘It hasn’t been great’

    Jan 30, 2015, 7:45 PM EST

    AP AP

    That rivalry ended when Mizzou left the Big 12 in favor of the SEC.

  17. UMass guard Trey Davis ‘OK’ after being leveled by screen, expected to play Saturday

    Jan 30, 2015, 6:30 PM EST

    AP AP

    Trey Davis left the court with only seconds remaining after colliding into a Kendall Pollard screen.