Skip to content

Bracketology: Eight teams in play for No. 1 seeds

Mar 7, 2014, 9:21 AM EST

source: Getty Images

Photo credit: Getty images

Championship Week begins tomorrow.  It’s time to start handing out Dance tickets.

The two teams leading our March Madness Gala … Florida and Arizona.  The Gators and Wildcats both have the opportunity to enter the NCAA Tournament dance as the overall No. 1 seed.  Should both win their remaining games – including conference tournament titles – the edge will likely to go Arizona.  Not that it’s that critical this year because the two teams are geographically separated.  Florida will lead the South Region; Arizona the West.  A year ago, when Louisville and Indiana were battling for the top spot in the Midwest, and a route through Indianapolis, that top position meant more.

Wichita State begins Missouri Valley Tournament play today in St. Louis.  The Shockers ended the regular season without a blemish.  If they win three more under the Arch, expect WSU to be a No. 1 seed on Selection Sunday.  Kansas continues to hold the final No. 1 slot.  Four other teams are chasing the top line: Wisconsin, Michigan, Virginia, and Villanova.  Recent struggles make it difficult for Syracuse to regain a No. 1 seed.

MORE: Duke-UNC headlines a packed college hoops weekend

It’s going to be another busy week on the bubble.  With so many teams tightly bunched around the cutline we’ll find out who plays their way in or out.  Keep a close eye on conference tournaments in the Big East, Atlantic 10, SEC, Big Ten and Pac-12.  In particular, those leagues have several teams with an uncertain prognosis.

Those same teams will be watching conference tournaments in the Missouri Valley and Horizon League, among others.  If Wichita State were to lose, one less at-large berth will be available.  And what if Green Bay reaches the Horizon final and loses a close game?  Whether or not the Phoenix would earn an at-large bid is up for debate.  But they will certainly be discussed inside the Selection Committee bunker.

Enjoy the Madness.

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid based on current standings with RPI as a tiebreaker for teams with the same number of losses. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).

Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Missouri vs. Dayton | Midwest Region
  • Pittsburgh vs. BYU | West Region
  • ALABAMA STATE vs. UTAH VALLEY | South Region
  • WEBER STATE vs. HIGH POINT | Midwest Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

SOUTH – Memphis WEST - Anaheim                             
Orlando San Diego
1) FLORIDA 1) ARIZONA
16) UTAH VALLEY / ALABAMA ST 16) ROBERT MORRIS
8) Baylor 8) SMU
9) GONZAGA 9) Oklahoma State
Spokane Orlando
5) Louisville 5) Oklahoma
12) LOUISIANA TECH 12) BYU / Pittsburgh
4) North Carolina 4) Michigan State
13) NORTH DAKOTA ST 13) BELMONT
San Antonio Buffalo
6) NEW MEXICO 6) Ohio State
11) GREEN BAY 11) Stanford
3) Creighton 3) Syracuse
14) GEORGIA STATE 14) BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Milwaukee Buffalo
7) SAINT LOUIS 7) Kansas State
10) Oregon 10) Saint Joseph’s
2) MICHIGAN 2) VILLANOVA
15) DAVIDSON 15) UC-IRVINE
EAST – New York MIDWEST – Indianapolis
St. Louis St. Louis
1) KANSAS 1) WICHITA STATE
16) FLA GULF COAST 16) WEBER ST / HIGH POINT
8) Memphis 8) Iowa
9) George Washington 9) Arizona State
Spokane San Diego
5) UCLA 5) Texas
12) HARVARD 12) Missouri / Dayton
4) San Diego State 4) Duke
13) DELAWARE 13) TOLEDO
Raleigh San Antonio
6) Kentucky 6) Connecticut
11) Georgetown 11) Xavier
3) CINCINNATI 3) Iowa State
14) S.F. AUSTIN 14) IONA
Raleigh Milwaukee
7) Massachusetts 7) VCU
10) Colorado 10) Arkansas
2) VIRGINIA 2) Wisconsin
15) VERMONT 15) NC-CENTRAL

NOTES on the BRACKET: Florida remains the overall No. 1 seed followed by Arizona, Wichita State, and Kansas.

Last Five teams in (at large): Georgetown, BYU, Dayton, Pittsburgh, Missouri

First Five teams out (at large): California, Tennessee, Providence, Nebraska, Minnesota

Next five teams out (at large): Florida State, St. John’s, LSU, Clemson, Southern Miss

Breakdown by Conference …

Big 12 (7): Kansas, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma State

Pac 12 (6): Arizona, UCLA, Stanford, Arizona State, Oregon, Colorado

Atlantic 10 (6): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, George Washington, Saint Joseph’s, Dayton

Big Ten (5): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin

ACC (5): Duke, Virginia, Syracuse, North Carolina, Pittsburgh

American (5): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati, SMU

SEC (4): Kentucky, Florida, Missouri, Arkansas

Big East (4): Creighton, Villanova, Xavier, Georgetown

Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU

Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … Louisiana Tech (C-USA), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Georgia State (Sun Belt), Boston University (Patriot), North Dakota State (Summit), Green Bay (Horizon), Davidson (Southern), Utah Valley (WAC), Iona (MAAC), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), Toledo (MAC), Florida Gulf Coast (A-Sun), Harvard (IVY), UC-Irvine (Big West), Delaware (Colonial), Vermont (American East), Weber State (Big Sky), NC-Central (MEAC), High Point (Big South), Robert Morris (NEC), Alabama State (SWAC)

Latest Posts
  1. Georgetown lands commitment from Class of 2015 wing

    Jan 28, 2015, 3:00 PM EST

    John Thompson III AP

    Johnson was considering some other high major programs.

  2. Report: Stanford’s Reid Travis to return on Wednesday

    Jan 28, 2015, 12:39 PM EST

    AP Photo AP Photo

    Travis is a key piece for the Cardinal front court.

  3. Pregame Shootaround: Get ready for Duke-Notre Dame

    Jan 28, 2015, 11:17 AM EST

    J.P. Tokoto, Jerian Grant AP

    A thrilling top ten battle highlights the night.

  4. Michigan’s Derrick Walton missed Tuesday with foot injury, extent unknown

    Jan 28, 2015, 10:25 AM EST

    Derrick Walton Jr. (AP Photo) AP

    You know what Michigan doesn’t need? More injuries.

  5. Heartbreak fuels Renardo Sidney’s new sense of purpose

    Jan 28, 2015, 9:16 AM EST

    Photo via the Island Storm facebook page Photo via the Island Storm facebook page

    We have heard Renardo Sidney say he is a changed man before. He explains why a two-year hiatus from basketball has changed him.

  6. Late Night Snacks: Florida, Xavier, West Virginia earn good road wins; VCU rolls past George Washington

    Jan 27, 2015, 11:35 PM EST

    wvu Getty Images

    Xavier and West Virginia earned nice conference road wins while VCU rolled over George Washington.

  7. #POSTERIZED: Dorian Finney-Smith with the rare game-winning poster (VIDEO)

    Jan 27, 2015, 11:16 PM EST

    MISSISSIPPI FLORIDA MISSISSIPPI FLORIDA

    Florida needed this win badly. Dorian Finney-Smith dunked them there.

  8. Wyoming guard Riley Grabau banks in 3/4 court first-half buzzer-beater against Utah State (VIDEO)

    Jan 27, 2015, 10:55 PM EST

    Wyoming v UNLV Getty Images

    Wyoming’s Riley Grabau banked in a buzzer-beater from long distance to end the first half against Utah State.

  9. Uncertainty still plagues South Florida forward after weekend hospitalization

    Jan 27, 2015, 7:15 PM EST

    Chris Perry AP

    South Florida is still without its most productive player after after he went into the hospital with chest pains this weekend.

  10. Colorado gets a commitment from Class of 2016 guard

    Jan 27, 2015, 6:00 PM EST

    Tad Boyle AP

    Colorado gets another guard in the 2016 class.

  11. Akron to play second-annual ‘Purple Out’ in purple uniforms to help raise pancreatic cancer awareness

    Jan 27, 2015, 5:00 PM EST

    (Akron Athletics) (Akron Athletics)

    Akron is having its second-annual “Purple Out” against Ball State to help raise pancreatic cancer awareness.

  12. Duke releases awesome ‘mixtape’ to celebrate Coach K’s 1,000th win (VIDEO)

    Jan 27, 2015, 4:00 PM EST

    You sometimes forget just how good some of the Duke guards were throughout the years. Here’s a reminder.

  13. New Mexico governor donates $10,000 to Lobo star’s charity

    Jan 27, 2015, 3:33 PM EST

    Getty Images Getty Images

    Hugh Greenwood made headlines last week for responding to an online troll.

  14. Dan Patrick Show: Coach K talks 1,000 wins, most important player (VIDEO)

    Jan 27, 2015, 12:00 PM EST

    Mike Krzyzewski AP

    Can you guess who the most important player in program history was?

  15. Winter Storms postponing a few college basketball games (UPDATED)

    Jan 27, 2015, 9:16 AM EST

    Ed Cooley (AP Photo) AP

    DePaul may have to reschedule their trip to Providence.