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Bracketology: Final No. 1 seed still a question mark

Mar 16, 2014, 9:12 AM EDT

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We are a few hours from the release of the 2014 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship bracket.  And the final No. 1 seed may not be decided.  By reaching the Big Ten title game, Michigan is probably the frontrunner having already won the regular-season title.  Should Michigan fall to rival Michigan State, Virginia will be knocking on the door if the Cavaliers beat Duke to win both the ACC regular season and tournament titles.  Lest we forget about Villanova.  The Wildcats could still emerge as the East Region leader if both the Wolverines and Cavaliers lose.

In other words, the Selection Committee in Indianapolis will spend its Sunday building multiple brackets depending on what happens this afternoon.  Florida will be the top overall seed.  Arizona and Wichita State should also be locked in place on the top line.

RELATED: Six things to watch for on Selection Sunday

Providence erased any doubt about its spot in the Field of 68 by winning the Big East tournament Saturday night.  The three potential bid thieves from Saturday (NC State, Georgia, St. Bonaventure) all lost.  So the rest of the field remains in tact.

Enjoy your Selection Sunday.

Teams in CAPS represent the AUTOMATIC bid based on tournament results. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UCLA, BYU, etc).

MORE: Get to know all of the Automatic Bids

Several new bracketing principles were introduced after last year’s tournament. You can read them for yourself at http://www.ncaa.com. For example: teams from the same conference may now meet before a Regional final, even if fewer than eight teams are selected. The goal is to keep as many teams as possible on their actual seed line.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS – Dayton (First Round)

  • Nebraska vs. SMU | East Region
  • Dayton vs. BYU | West Region
  • TEXAS SOUTHERN vs. MOUNT ST. MARY’S | Midwest Region
  • CAL-POLY vs. COASTAL CAROLINA | East Region

BRACKET PROJECTION …

SOUTH – Memphis                             WEST Anaheim
Orlando San Diego
1) Florida 1) Arizona
16) ALBANY 16) WEBER STATE
8) Oregon 8) Memphis
9) GONZAGA 9) Kansas State
San Diego Spokane
5) Ohio State 5) Baylor
12) HARVARD 12) Dayton / BYU
4) Syracuse 4) San Diego State
13) WESTERN MICHIGAN 13) S.F. AUSTIN
San Antonio San Antonio
6) North Carolina 6) Connecticut
11) PROVIDENCE 11) Tennessee
3) Iowa State 3) Creighton
14) MERCER 14) NEW MEXICO STATE
Milwaukee St. Louis
7) VCU 7) Kentucky
10) Stanford 10) Saint Joseph’s
2) Wisconsin 2) Kansas
15) NC-CENTRAL 15) MILWAUKEE
EAST – New York MIDWEST – Indianapolis
Milwaukee St. Louis
1) Michigan 1) WICHITA STATE
16) CO CAROLINA / CAL-POLY 16) TX SOUTHERN / MT ST MARY’S
8) George Washington 8) Oklahoma State
9) Pittsburgh 9) Colorado
Spokane Orlando
5) UCLA 5) NEW MEXICO
12) NORTH DAKOTA ST 12) MANHATTAN
4) Cincinnati 4) Michigan State
13) DELAWARE 13) TULSA
Raleigh Buffalo
6) Texas 6) Oklahoma
11) Nebraska / SMU 11) Xavier
3) Duke 3) LOUISVILLE
14) Georgia State 14) EASTERN KENTUCKY
Buffalo Raleigh
7) Saint Louis 7) Massachusetts
10) Arizona State 10) Iowa
2) Villanova 2) Virginia
15) AMERICAN 15) WOFFORD

NOTES on the BRACKET: Florida remains the overall No. 1 seed followed by Arizona, Wichita State, and Michigan.

Last Five teams in (at large): Xavier, Nebraska, Dayton, SMU, BYU

First Five teams out (at large): Florida State, Minnesota, California, Arkansas, Missouri

Next five teams out (at large): Green Bay, Southern Miss, Louisiana Tech, NC State, Toledo

Breakdown by Conference …

Big 12 (7): Kansas, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma State

Pac 12 (6): Arizona, UCLA, Stanford, Arizona State, Oregon, Colorado

Atlantic 10 (6): Massachusetts, VCU, Saint Louis, George Washington, Saint Joseph’s, Dayton

Big Ten (6): Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Nebraska

ACC (5): Duke, Virginia, Syracuse, North Carolina, Pittsburgh

American (5): Louisville, Memphis, Connecticut, Cincinnati, SMU

Big East (4): Creighton, Villanova, Xavier, Providence

SEC (3): Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee

Mountain West (2): New Mexico, San Diego State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, BYU

Missouri Valley (1): Wichita State

Conference Automatic Qualifiers … TULSA (C-USA), EASTERN KENTUCKY (Ohio Valley), Georgia State (Sun Belt), AMERICAN (Patriot), NORTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit), MILWAUKEE (Horizon), WOFFORD (Southern), NEW MEXICO STATE (WAC), MANHATTAN (MAAC), STEPHEN F AUSTIN (Southland), WESTERN MICHIGAN (MAC), MERCER (A-Sun), HARVARD (IVY), CAL-POLY (Big West), DELAWARE (Colonial), ALBANY (American East), WEBER STATE (Big Sky), NC-CENTRAL (MEAC), COASTAL CAROLINA (Big South), MOUNT ST. MARY’S (NEC), TEXAS SOUTHERN (SWAC)

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