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Eight teams that won’t win the National Title

Mar 18, 2014, 10:30 AM EDT

source: AP


RELATEDEast Region | South Region | Midwest Region | West Region

1. Wichita State Shockers: After running the table, Wichita State was rewarded for its 34-0 record with the top spot in the bracket’s most difficult region. How difficult? The Shockers could end up playing Kentucky, which appears to be putting it all together, in the Round of 32. I think the Shockers have the experience and toughness to get to the Sweet 16, but then there is a potential matchup with defending national champion Louisville, which is playing its best basketball. I’d love the Shockers to get back to the Final Four because this team is talented — better than last year’s, in fact — and it would quiet some season-long doubters, but I would not like to face the Cardinals right now.

2. Duke Blue Devils: Another member of the Midwest Region, the Blue Devils enter the tournament coming off a ACC Tournament championship loss to Virginia. Duke should get to the Sweet 16, where it could play a familiar opponent. The Blue Devils defeated Michigan back on Dec. 3. But this Wolverines team is much improved. Derrick Walton has grown up. Caris LeVert has been great, which is big because it takes pressure off Nik Stauskas, who was limited to four points in that meeting in Durham. Let’s say Duke does get by Michigan. The trendy pick to reach the Elite 8 at the top of the bracket is Louisville, which has Montrezl Harrell inside, who will be tough for Duke to stop.

3. Virginia Cavaliers: The ACC regular season and tournament champion came on late this season, winning 16 of its last 17 games. But, the Cavaliers weren’t stellar in the non-conference. Virginia’s best win before ACC play was against NCAA tournament snub SMU, while losing back-to-back games against Wisconsin and Green Bay, another NCAA tournament caliber team, and to VCU — a No. 5 seed in the South. It’s clear the selection committee placed a lot of weight on the ACC Tournament and Virginia’s success in conference play. Many think the last No. 1 seed didn’t belong to Virginia, but that could be answered in the Sweet 16 with a potential clash against surging Michigan State.

source: Getty Images

Getty Images

4. Villanova Wildcats: In the Big East Tournament quarterfinals, a buzzer-beater from Sterling Gibbs’ sent Villanova back to Philadelphia. The Wildcats got a generous seeding from the committee, especially when you consider that Creighton dominated them, twice. My personal thinking is that Saint Joseph’s gets by UConn. The Hawks were throttled by Villanova earlier this season, but Phil Martelli’s club is rolling after its Atlantic 10 Tournament run. St. Joe’s has good guard play, led by Langston Galloway and Halil Kanacevic is grabbing 13.8 rebounds per game in his last five contests.

MOREEight teams that can win the national title

5. Wisconsin Badgers: Bo Ryan has yet to reach a Final Four. This is likely his best chance to do so, with the Badgers ability to score. However, Oregon is playing well as of late. If the Ducks get by BYU, they can pose as a problem for the Badgers. Wisconsin has been up-and-down, going from No. 3 in the nation to a dreadful January to eight straight Big Ten wins. A deeper tournament run than in years past is dependent on the Badgers making shots.

6. Kansas Jayhawks: It’s not typically wise to bet against Bill Self in March, but Kansas is without freshman center Joel Embiid. If New Mexico advances past Stanford Round of 64, the Jayhawks will have to deal with Cameron Bairstow and Alex Kirk in the frontcourt. I’d love to see Kansas get a rematch against Florida in the South Regional final, but without Embiid that may not happen.

7. Cincinnati Bearcats: The committee did not do the American Athletic Conference any favors. The conference’s co-regular season champion drew Harvard in the Round of 64. Last season, three No. 12 seeds knocked off No. 5 seeds. This one is a common upset pick in many brackets as the Crimson are coming off last year’s shocking win over No. 3 New Mexico. Harvard has the tournament experience, which was only added to with the return of Kyle Casey and Brandyn Curry. The Crimson could pull off another tourney win if they catch the Bearcats in a drought. If Cincy does advance, it’ll likely face one of the hottest teams in the nation in Michigan State

8. Syracuse Orange: They didn’t lose until Feb. 19, but the Orange were playing with fire for weeks leading up. The previously 25-0 Orange went 2-5 in their last seven games. The length of the zone, freshman point guard Tyler Ennis and the seasoned C.J. Fair can all help turn it around in March. But if Syracuse plays like it had in the past six weeks, it could be an early exit for Cuse.

  1. knoxxlive - Mar 18, 2014 at 11:38 AM

    So if you say Syracuse won’t win the title but in the overview of the team you say they’ll have a hard time how is that ruling them out for winning it? Wouldn’t that mean they will struggle? Instead of NOT winning all together ?

  2. sportsfan18 - Mar 18, 2014 at 12:19 PM

    I’m NOT a Virginia fan, but the author says that if Duke meets Michigan again, who they beat earlier in this season, they’ll find this Michigan team much improved and would therefore lose.

    But, just as Michigan had a tough beginning to their season and then improved, so too did Virginia and the author speaks to this, talking of their rough start and then finishing strong, winning 16 of their last 17 games.

    So it’s OK for Michigan to be improved after a rough start but the same logic doesn’t hold for Virginia?

    Hey, Virginia may NOT win, but different logic is needed as it can’t be true for Michigan but not Virginia.

    The author says “But this Michigan team is much improved” and from how they began the season, they ARE.

    But, the way the Virginia team began the season, ending up as both regular season and conference tourney champs in the ACC and winning 16 of their last 17 games, I’d say that counts as them being much improved too…

    The ACC might not be the toughest conf anymore but it is NOT chopped liver.

    Michigan was 6 & 4 after it’s first 10 games. At one point they lost 3 of 5 games. They lost to Iowa St. and lost at home to Charlotte.

    I see no difference between these two teams. They each had a rough start, came on strong and won their regular season conferences.

    Virginia DID, unlike Michigan, win their conference tourney too though…

  3. shockertalk - Mar 18, 2014 at 1:23 PM

    Teams like Wichita State have gotten this far BECAUSE they have been told they CAN’T do something. Thanks for the extra motivation!

  4. 11stanleycups - Mar 18, 2014 at 2:44 PM

    Syracuse and Witchita State are the most overrated of any of the teams in the tournament. Neither make the Sweet 16 in my bracket.

  5. provguard - Mar 18, 2014 at 11:05 PM

    O’ great swami, if you know who won’t win, then tell us who will???

  6. beattention - Mar 19, 2014 at 8:01 AM

    KU could lose every game but there are those that believe they still should be a high seed. What does it take to put these clowns where they belong?

  7. musketmaniac - Mar 19, 2014 at 2:00 PM

    if those shox run the table the damage to the bcs super conferences has been done. Haven’t seen a fight this fixed since Ali-liston.

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