Archives › Dave Ommen
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Depending on your viewpoint, it’s a 50-50 call on whether Indiana or Louisville will be the No. 1 overall seed and thus the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region. Early this morning, we had Indiana in that spot. After a few more hours to think about it, the Hoosiers stay put. An outright regular-season title in…
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Who will be the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region? That’s one of the biggest questions we’ll all wait to have answered later tonight. With Louisville’s win over Syracuse on Saturday, combined with Indiana’s loss to Wisconsin, the floor is open for debate. It will come down to this: Which of those two teams is…
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If anything, Friday complicated an already complicated bubble picture. The SEC could end up with five teams or two. Both are in play at this point. How will the NCAA Selection Committee handle Middle Tennessee State and Saint Mary’s? And how will they compare those teams against La Salle, Boise State, and even Oklahoma? These are questions we…
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We had an interesting Thursday on the college hoops landscape. Several bubble teams completed their profiles – some of which will fall a bit short of the NCAA tournament. For the rest, today could prove to be a critical juncture. Action and results in the SEC will definitely impact the bottom part of the bracket. There are…
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For now, Saint Mary’s remains in our projected NCAA tournament bracket. Losing to a potential No. 1 seed isn’t a reason to drop the Gaels. But as we noted in the Bubble Update, the third loss to Gonzaga leaves Saint Mary’s profile a bit light on high quality wins. Between now and Sunday, dozens of important conference tournament games will be…
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Bubble Banter: Long wait for Saint Mary’s, Middle Tennessee
Mar 12, 2013, 1:30 PM EDT
It’s going to be a long wait for Saint Mary’s and Middle Tennessee. The Gaels lost to Gonzaga for a third time Monday night, and the Blue Raiders fell in the semifinals of the Sun Belt. Which leaves both in agonizing limbo until the NCAA Selection Show this Sunday. An already tough job for members of the NCAA…
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In November, the Louisville Cardinals were projected to be a No. 1 seed when the NCAA tournament began. Now, less than a week until Selection Sunday, the Cardinals have reclaimed their spot on the top line. Louisville sits as the fourth No. 1 seed, heading to the South Region. Duke (East), Indiana (Midwest), and Gonzaga…
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We should be in for an exciting week. It’s not often that so many potential at-large spots and seeding questions remain this close to Selection Sunday. Which means several teams – many from the SEC in particular – will be paying close attention to conference tournament results. A surprise winner or two could jolt the…
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As the roller-coaster college basketball season continues, the race for at-large bids to the 2013 NCAA tournament remains unsettled. In the span of a few hours this past Saturday, six teams projected to be on the cusp of at-large selection all lost. Which brings us here: an estimated 11 at-large spots are still available with Selection Sunday right around the corner. Since…
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After another wild weekend of college hoops, one thing is certain. We can expect the unexpected. Which should make for an incredible month of March. Take the top seed line. Indiana remains in control of its current No. 1 seed position. The other three spots still have some wiggle room – although based on Ryan Kelly’s return performance…
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Riding a six-game conference winning streak, the Tennessee Volunteers find themselves in the thick of the at-large conversation. Since losing at home to Georgia in early February, the Vols have won three league road games and beaten Kentucky and Florida in Knoxville. And while one could argue (correctly) that the SEC isn’t particularly strong or deep, Tennessee…
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This probably isn’t a surprise: Indiana and Duke are one-two on the s-curve and are the strongest No. 1 seed candidates as we move toward March. Since a last-second loss at Illinois, the Hoosiers have reclaimed the outright Big Ten lead by winning at both Ohio State and Michigan State. A victory at Minnesota tonight puts IU…
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It’s been a big two weeks for Illinois. The Illini have won four straight, including victories over Indiana and Minnesota. When combined with wins over Gonzaga, Butler, and Ohio State, it’s hard to imagine the Illini as a bubble team at this point in time. Taking care of winnable games down the stretch should be…
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No doubting ‘Canes — they’re a 1 seed in our new NCAA tourney projections
Feb 12, 2013, 8:57 AM EDT
Healthy and playing some sugar-sweet basketball, the Miami Hurricanes are the latest team to grab a No. 1 seed in our latest bracket. Miami sits atop the East Region. Despite a last-second loss at Illinois, Indiana remains the No. 1 overall seed thanks to an impressive road win at Ohio State on Sunday. Michigan and…
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With just over a month until Selection Sunday, it’s time to take a look at the current NCAA bubble. It’s a bit crazy – especially with teams like Kentucky and North Carolina missing from “lock” status. We also have teams like Virginia - whose resume features quality wins, head-scratching losses, and a weak strength of schedule. How will the Selection Committee…
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The Super Bowl is behind us. Selection Sunday is rapidly approaching. Which means college basketball takes center stage for the next two months. By beating Michigan on Saturday, the Indiana Hoosiers took center stage, too. IU vaulted into first place in the Big Ten, grabbed a No. 1 ranking in the polls, and landed atop the Midwest Region as…
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Florida grabs a No. 1 seed in the East Region in our latest bracket projection. The other number one seeds are Kansas, Michigan, and Arizona. It’s shaping up to be quite a race for the top line. Indiana, Syracuse, and Duke are close behind. It would take some help, but it’s not impossible for Gonzaga or even…
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If Arizona continues its strong play during the next two months, it’ll be hard for the Selection Committee to keep the Wildcats off the top line out West. That’s where the Wildcats reside in our latest bracket projection. At No. 4 on the s-curve, Arizona trails Duke, Kansas, and Michigan in the chase for the…
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Louisville making a push for the top overall seed in our latest bracket
Jan 15, 2013, 8:45 AM EDT
Healthy and hungry, the Louisville Cardinals are pushing toward the top position on the s-curve. Duke retains that position for another week. The Blue Devils’ overall body of work remains impressive, and Ryan Kelly’s foot injury is a bigger concern than a close loss to NC State in Raleigh. If Kelly doesn’t return healthy, the…
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Make way for the Big Ten. Led by No. 1 overall seed Indiana, four teams – including Michigan State, Ohio State, and Michigan – grab top three seeds in our 2013 NCAA Tournament preseason bracket projection. Will that be true come March? Nobody knows. Crystal balls are always a little cloudy this time of year.…
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As Big Blue Nation continues to celebrate its eighth NCAA championship, it’s certainly possible that UK will be a No. 1 seed again next March – depending on how many current Wildcats return. Even with some expected departures, coach John Calipari is bringing another Top 5 recruiting class to Lexington. So let’s go ahead and…
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Now that the 2012 NCAA tournament bracket has been revealed, how did the Selection Committee do? Just fine. This year’s group of bubble teams presented a variety of unique challenges. They either had bad losses, not enough good wins, or some combination of both. Several more lacked quality schedules. Added together, we had a collection…
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Regardless of how the final selections come together tonight, the Selection Committee has completed a monumental task. There has rarely been a field this diverse and a bubble this large. We could see a variety of outcomes, and none of them will necessarily be wrong or right. That’s the truth about this year’s bubble. What…

